Why you don’t have to smoke in the smoking section—Your food choices on the fall of the Saudi king—How to prevent a friend from working too hard—Omar Sharif’s conversion—How to make a market collapse
Note:2@@@@@@@ IL POTERE DELLE MINORANZE ORGANIZZATE NEL MONDE DELLE RETIIL POTERE DEL CONTAGIO
Note:2@@@@@@@ IL POTERE DELLE MINORANZE ORGANIZZATE NEL MONDE DELLE RETIIL POTERE DEL CONTAGIO
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ensemble behaves in ways not predicted by its components.
Note:SISTEMA COMPLESSO
Note:SISTEMA COMPLESSO
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Studying individual ants
Note:L'ASSURDO APPARENTE
Note:L'ASSURDO APPARENTE
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This is called an “emergent” property
Note:LE PROPRIETA' DELL'INSIEME
Note:LE PROPRIETA' DELL'INSIEME
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The rule we discuss in this chapter is the minority rule, the mother of all asymmetries.
Note:LA MADRE DI TUTTO
Note:LA MADRE DI TUTTO
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a naive observer (who looks at the
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standard average) would be under the impression that the choices and preferences are those of the majority.
Note:L'ILLUSIONE CHE MASCHERA LA SERVITù
Note:L'ILLUSIONE CHE MASCHERA LA SERVITù
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I realized that I had been drinking kosher liquids without knowing it.
Note:MINUSCOLA ED ESOTERICA INDICAZIONE SULL'ETICHETTA
Note:MINUSCOLA ED ESOTERICA INDICAZIONE SULL'ETICHETTA
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CRIMINALS WITH PEANUT ALLERGIES
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Note:TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
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A kosher (or halal) eater will never eat nonkosher (or nonhalal) food, but a nonkosher eater isn’t banned from eating
Note:MEGLIO ADEGUARSI ALLA MINORANZA
Note:MEGLIO ADEGUARSI ALLA MINORANZA
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kosher.
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A disabled person will not use the regular bathroom, but a nondisabled person will use the bathroom for disabled people.
Note:ALTRO ESEMPIO
Note:ALTRO ESEMPIO
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Which explains why it is so hard to find peanuts
Note:GLI ALLERGICI COMANDANO
Note:GLI ALLERGICI COMANDANO
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on U.S. airplanes and why schools are often peanut-free
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Let us call such minority an intransigent group,
Note:GLI INTRANSIGENTI
Note:GLI INTRANSIGENTI
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If people following the minority rule lived in ghettos
Note:QUANDO LA MINORANZA NON COMANDA
Note:QUANDO LA MINORANZA NON COMANDA
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Muslim population is only 3 to 4 percent, a very high proportion of the meat we find is halal.
Note:IN GB
Note:IN GB
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“organic” food companies are selling more and more products precisely
Note:ALTRA MINORITY RULE
Note:ALTRA MINORITY RULE
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big agricultural companies foolishly believed that all they needed was to win the majority. No,
Note:LA MAGGIORANZA NON CONTA
Note:LA MAGGIORANZA NON CONTA
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the spread of automatic shifting cars is
Note:ALTRO ESEMPIO
Note:ALTRO ESEMPIO
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those who can drive manual shifts can always drive automatic, but the reverse is not true.
Note:CCCCCCCCCCC
Note:CCCCCCCCCCC
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flexible voters can also vote for that extreme faction,
Note:GLI INDIFFERENTI IN POLITICA
Note:GLI INDIFFERENTI IN POLITICA
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THE VETO
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Note:TTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
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this explains why some fast-food chains, such as McDonald’s, thrive.
Note:NO VETO
Note:NO VETO
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McDonald’s appears to be a safe bet. It is also a safe bet in shady places with few regulars
Note:AL RIPARO DAL RISCHIO
Note:AL RIPARO DAL RISCHIO
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Italians are seeking refuge there from a risky meal. They may hate McDonald’s, but they certainly hate uncertainty even more.
Note:SCUDO
Note:SCUDO
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Pizza is the same story:
Note:ALTRO RIFUGIO
Note:ALTRO RIFUGIO
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“Once you have 10 percent or more women at a party, you cannot serve only beer. But most men
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will drink wine. So you only need one set of glasses if you serve only wine—the universal donor, to use the language of blood groups.”
Note:MEGLIO IL VINO DELLA BIRRA
Note:MEGLIO IL VINO DELLA BIRRA
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the Khazars when they were looking to choose between Islam, Judaism, and Christianity.
Note:ALLA RICERCA DI UNA RELIGIONE
Note:ALLA RICERCA DI UNA RELIGIONE
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LINGUA FRANCA
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Note:TTTTTTTTTTTTTT
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one of the persons in the room doesn’t speak German, the entire meeting will be run in…English, the brand of inelegant English used in corporations across the world.
Note:IL MONDO DELLE CORP TEDESCHE
Note:IL MONDO DELLE CORP TEDESCHE
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asymmetric rule that those who are nonnative in English know (bad) English, but the reverse—English speakers knowing other languages—is less likely.
Note:ASIMMETRIA
Note:ASIMMETRIA
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Simply, when the Persians invaded Babylon they found an administration with scribes who could only use Aramaic and didn’t know Persian, so Aramaic became the state language.
Note:LA DIFFUSIONE DELL ARAMAICO
Note:LA DIFFUSIONE DELL ARAMAICO
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This led to the oddity of Aramaic being used in Mongolia,
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Note:Ccccccccc
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Greek replaced Aramaic as the lingua franca in the Levant, and the scribes of Damascus maintained their records in Greek. But it was not the Greeks who spread Greek around the Mediterranean, but the Romans who accelerated the spreading of Greek,
Note:GRECO
Note:GRECO
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GENES VS. LANGUAGES
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Note:Ttttttttt
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Genes follow majority rule; languages minority rule. Languages travel; genes less so.
Note:GENI E LINGUA...COME SI DIFFONDONO....EFFETTO RETE E CONCORRENZA
Note:GENI E LINGUA...COME SI DIFFONDONO....EFFETTO RETE E CONCORRENZA
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THE ONE-WAY STREET OF RELIGIONS
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Note:Ttttttttt
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under Islamic law, if a non-Muslim man marries a Muslim woman, he needs to convert to Islam—and if either parent of a child happens to be Muslim, the child will be Muslim.
Note:PRIMA ASIMMETRIA NEL CFR CON I MUSULMANI
Note:PRIMA ASIMMETRIA NEL CFR CON I MUSULMANI
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becoming Muslim is irreversible, as apostasy is the heaviest crime under the religion, sanctioned by the death penalty.
Note:SECONDA ASIMMETRIA
Note:SECONDA ASIMMETRIA
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Under these two asymmetric rules, one can do simple simulations and see how a small Islamic group occupying Christian (Coptic) Egypt can lead,
Note:FOOM
Note:FOOM
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the religion has weaker rules: the mother is required to be Jewish.
Note:EBREI
Note:EBREI
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the Druze, the Ezidi, and the Mandeans
Note:RELIGIONI GNOSTICHE ESTINTE X SCARSO EFFETTO RETE
Note:RELIGIONI GNOSTICHE ESTINTE X SCARSO EFFETTO RETE
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these three religions require both parents to be of the faith, otherwise the child and the parents say toodaloo to the community.
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Note:Cccccccccc
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Little by little a Christian or Jewish family engaging in a Marrano-style conversion becomes truly converted, as, a couple of generations later, the descendants forget the arrangement of their ancestors.
Note:MARRANI...IL FINTO DIVENTA VERO...POTERE DELL IRREVERSIBILITÀ
Note:MARRANI...IL FINTO DIVENTA VERO...POTERE DELL IRREVERSIBILITÀ
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the original spread of Christianity in the Roman empire was largely due to…the blinding intolerance of Christians; their unconditional, aggressive, and recalcitrant proselytizing.
Note:TESI
Note:TESI
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The “persecution” of the Christians had vastly more to do with the intolerance of the Christians for the pantheon of local gods than the reverse. What we read is history written by the Christian side, not the Greco-Roman one.
Note:LA XSECUZIONE DEI CRISTIANI
Note:LA XSECUZIONE DEI CRISTIANI
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Purely monotheistic religions such as Protestant Christianity, Salafi Islam, or fundamentalist atheism accommodate literalist and mediocre minds that cannot handle ambiguity.
Note:TESI SUL MONOTEISMO... SCARSO ECLETTISMO
Note:TESI SUL MONOTEISMO... SCARSO ECLETTISMO
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For Islam itself is ending up being taken over (in the Sunni branch) by purists simply because they are more intolerant than the rest:
Note:POCHI E INTOLLERANTI...I PREDESTINATI
Note:POCHI E INTOLLERANTI...I PREDESTINATI
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DECENTRALIZE, AGAIN
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Tttttttttttt
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if one needs, say, a 3 percent threshold in a political unit for the minority rule to take its effect, and on average the stubborn minority represents 3 percent of the population, with variations around the average, then some states will be subject to the rule, but not others. If, on the other hand, we merge all states in one, then the minority rule will prevail all across. This is the reason the U.S.A. works so well.
Note:METTERE DIGHE ALLA RETE...DIVERSIFICARE...ANTIFRAGILE
Note:METTERE DIGHE ALLA RETE...DIVERSIFICARE...ANTIFRAGILE
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IMPOSING VIRTUE ON OTHERS
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Note:Tttttttttttttt
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How do books get banned? Certainly not because they offend the average person—most persons are passive and don’t really care, or don’t care enough to request the banning.
Note:ALTRO FENOMENO SPIEGATO DA RM
Note:ALTRO FENOMENO SPIEGATO DA RM
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all it takes is a few (motivated) activists for the banning of some books,
Note:Ccccccc
Note:Ccccccc
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The same seems to apply to prohibitions—at least to the prohibition of alcohol in the United States,
Note:ALTRA STORIA
Note:ALTRA STORIA
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the formation of moral values in society doesn’t come from the evolution of the consensus. No, it is the most intolerant person who imposes virtue on others precisely because of that intolerance.
Note:EVOLUZIONE DELLA MORALE
Note:EVOLUZIONE DELLA MORALE
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Once a moral rule is established, it will suffice to have a small, intransigent minority of geographically distributed followers to dictate a norm in society.
Note:HALAL E HARAM
Note:HALAL E HARAM
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“Why didn’t the Poles in Warsaw help their Jewish neighbors more?,” responded that they generally did. But it took seven or eight Poles to help one Jew. It took only one Pole, acting as an informer, to turn in a dozen Jews.
Note:LA RESPONSABILITÀ DI UN POPOLO
Note:LA RESPONSABILITÀ DI UN POPOLO
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STABILITY OF THE MINORITY RULE, A PROBABILISTIC ARGUMENT
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Note:Ttttttttttt
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do not steal (at least not from within the tribe); do not hunt orphans for entertainment; do not gratuitously beat up Spanish grammar specialists for training, instead use boxing bags (unless you are Spartan and even then you can only kill a limited number of helots for training purposes), and similar interdicts.
Note:OVUNQUE SEMPRE LE STESSE REGOLE MORALI
Note:OVUNQUE SEMPRE LE STESSE REGOLE MORALI
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they are black-and-white, binary, discrete, and allow no shadow.
Note:MARCHIO
Note:MARCHIO
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it would be vastly more likely that these values emerged from a minority than a majority.
Note:TESI
Note:TESI
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He has two options. The first is cyanide, which obeys a minority rule: a drop of poison (higher than a small threshold) makes the entire liquid poisonous. The second is a “majority-style” poison; it requires more than half the ingested liquid to be poisonous in order to kill.
Note:IPOTESI....AVVELENATORE CHE VUOLE FAR FUORI TUTTI
Note:IPOTESI....AVVELENATORE CHE VUOLE FAR FUORI TUTTI
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conditional on the outcome that all people drinking the soda having been killed, the evil man opted for the first, not the second option.
Note:HOLMES INDAGA SULLA STRAGE....COSA INFERISCE?
Note:HOLMES INDAGA SULLA STRAGE....COSA INFERISCE?
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majority rule leads to fluctuations around the average, with a high rate of survival.
Note:L IMPROBABILITÀ DELLA REGOLA DI MAGGIORANZA
Note:L IMPROBABILITÀ DELLA REGOLA DI MAGGIORANZA
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POPPER-GOEDEL’S PARADOX
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Note:Tttttttttt
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Can democracy—by definition the majority—tolerate enemies?
Note:BELLA DOMANDA
Note:BELLA DOMANDA
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“Would you agree to deny the freedom of speech to every political party that has in its charter the banning of freedom of speech?”
Note:RIFORMULAZIONE
Note:RIFORMULAZIONE
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intolerant about intolerance?”
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Note:Ccccccccc
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the incoherence that Kurt Gödel (the grandmaster of logical rigor) detected in the United States Constitution while taking the naturalization exam.
Note:INCOERENZE
Note:INCOERENZE
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Karl Popper independently discovered the same inconsistency
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Note:Cccccccccc
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Yes, an intolerant minority can control and destroy democracy. Actually, it will eventually destroy our world. So, we need to be more than intolerant with some intolerant minorities.
Note:TESI
Note:TESI
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The West is currently in the process of committing suicide.
Note:LA POSIZIONE DI T
Note:LA POSIZIONE DI T
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IRREVERENCE OF MARKETS AND SCIENCE
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Note:Tttttttttttt
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price changes reflect the activities of the most motivated buyer and seller. Yes, the most motivated rules.
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REGOLA DI MERCATO
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Markets react in a way that is disproportional to the impetus.
Note:L IMPETO
Note:L IMPETO
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The overall stock markets currently represent more than thirty trillion dollars, but a single order in 2008, only fifty billion, that is, less than two-tenths of a percent of the total, triggered a drop of close to 10 percent, causing losses of around three trillion dollars.
Note:ES CONTAGIO
Note:ES CONTAGIO
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Why did the market react so disproportionately? Because the order was one-way—stubborn: they had to sell and there was no way to convince the management otherwise.
Note:CONTAGIO
Note:CONTAGIO
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The market is like a large movie theater with a small door.
Note:L ADAGIO
Note:L ADAGIO
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when someone shouts “fire”—because
Note:Cccccc
Note:Cccccc
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Science isn’t the sum of what scientists think, but exactly as with markets, it is a procedure that is highly skewed.
Note:VALE ANCHE X LA SCIENZA....
Note:VALE ANCHE X LA SCIENZA....
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Had science operated by majority consensus, we would be still stuck in the Middle Ages,
Note:NN SIAMO IN DEMOCRAZ
Note:NN SIAMO IN DEMOCRAZ
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UNUS SED LEO: ONLY ONE BUT A LION
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Note:Tttttttt
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Alexander said that it was preferable to have an army of sheep led by a lion than an army of lions led by a sheep.
Note:MOTTO
Note:MOTTO
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“Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful citizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has,” wrote Margaret Mead.
NN SOLO GUERRA
NN SOLO GUERRA