martedì 23 ottobre 2018

HL 2—Wealth makes the world go round

2—Wealth makes the world go round
Note:2@@@@@@@@@CRITICA AL PIL

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Where does value come from?
Note:IL CENTRO DELL ETICA

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The universe exists—who had to pay for it?
Note:NN CI SONO PASTI GRATIS. FALSO

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planet Earth somehow evolved from a bunch of trilobites to trillions of dollars in GDP and a Louvre full of paintings.
Note:LA NS SORTE

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where free lunches might be hiding
Note:LA RICERCA

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the dimension of time.
Note:CONCENTRIAMOCI QUI

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Imagine, for example, an apple tree that yields several apples each year. The tree also produces apple seeds. The apple seeds germinate, resulting in a steady and indeed growing supply of new apples
Note:CRUSONIA...ESEMPIO DI FREE LUNCH X IL FUTURO

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I see the Crusonia plant as an entry point for resolving aggregation problems.
Note:OBBIETTIVO

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when in doubt, choose the Crusonia plant.
Note:PRIMO PRINCIPIO ETICO

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namely ongoing and self-sustaining surges in value,
Note:Ccccccccc

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Look for social processes which are ongoing, self-sustaining, and which create rising value over time. The natural candidate for such a process is economic growth, or some modified version of that concept.
Note:IL VALORE DELLA CRESCITA

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in part because they ignore environmental sustainability and in part because they do not adequately value leisure time.
Note:CRITICHE ALLA CRESCITA

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GDP should properly be measured in terms of maximizing the long-term rate of economic growth.
Note:VISIONE MODIFICATA DEL PIL X RISPONDERE ALLE CRITICHE

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accounts for leisure time, household production (valuable activities you perform at home for free, be it mending socks or using Facebook), and environmental amenities, among other adjustments.
Note:WEALTH PLUS

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Current GDP statistics have a bias toward what can be measured easily and relatively precisely,
Note:PIL BIAS

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In this context, maximizing Wealth Plus does not mean that everyone should work as much as possible.
Note:MASSIMIZZARE IL PIL

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A fourteen-hour work day might maximize measured GDP in the short run, but it would be less propitious over time
Note:SHORT RUN

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We should therefore protect the environment enough to preserve and indeed extend economic growth into the more distant future.
Note:MAX WP...EFFETTI SULL AMBIENTE

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The Shah of Iran, for instance, tried to bring his country into the modern age very rapidly. Growth rates were high for a while but in the longer run could not be maintained.
Note:L ESEMPIO DELL IRAN...TROPPO PIL POCO PIL US

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although many people currently live in relative peace and prosperity, we should not take its durability for granted.
Note:WARNING TROPPO PIL POCO PIL PLUS

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Sumeria, Mesopotamia, Babylonia, the eight dynasties of Egypt, six civilizations in Greece, the Roman Republic and Empire, various dynasties and republics of China, four periods in Africa, three in India, two in Japan, six in Central and South America, and six in modern Europe and America.
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MICHAEL SHERMER...DURATA CIVILTÀ MEDIA 406 ANNI... DOPO ROMA 302....DATABASE DI 60 CIVILTÀ

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Human beings can and indeed do experience significant and ongoing losses of their prosperity and freedom.
Note:LA DECADENZA È LA NORMA

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military weakness, ecological catastrophe, famine, tyranny, and natural disasters,
Note:ESEMPI DI COLLASSI

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Even if in principle the life of the noble savage were best, no society that follows this path can, on its own, keep its autonomy in the longer run.
Note:NECESSITÁ DELLA FORZA...IL RICCO TIRANNO E IL NOBILE SELVAGGIO

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the more benevolent societies tend to be both richer and more technologically advanced—further
Note:FORTUNATAMENTE TOLLERANZA => RICCHEZZA

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primitive warfare appears to have been at least as frequent, as bloody, and as arbitrary in its violence as modern warfare.
Note:WARFARE...UNA VIA SENZA SBOCCHI

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Earlier societies were neither idyllic nor peaceful.
Note:Cccccccccccccc

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we need to move forward rather than seek a static, quiet existence,
Note:SIAMO SQUALI

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balancing progress and stability
Note:MA OCCORRE EQUILIBRIO

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What can we do to boost the rate of economic growth? What can we do to make our civilization more stable? How should we deal with environmental problems?
Note:LE TRE QUTIONI...LIB.DESTRA SINISYRA

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How good is growth, anyway?
Note:Ttttttttttttt

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growth alleviates misery, improves happiness and opportunity, and lengthens lives. Wealthier societies have better living standards, better medicines, and offer greater personal autonomy, greater fulfillment, and more sources of fun.
Note:LA STORIA INSEGNA CHETRA PIL E PILPLUS C È CONVERGENZA

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the U.S. standard of living has increased by a factor of five to seven, estimated conservatively,
Note:DAL 1900…NN CI RENDIAMO CONTO QUANTO SIAMO MIGLIORATI

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occupant per room
Note:DI DEGUITO ALCUNI INDICATORI DI BENESSERE

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persons per sleeping room.
Note:2

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running water,
Note:3

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refrigerators,
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gas or electric lighting.
Note:5

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telephones,
Note:6

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radio or TV.
Note:7

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high school graduation rate
Note:8

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high rates of disability or even death.
Note:LAVORO 9

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hours of work a year;
Note:10

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polio, tuberculosis, and typhoid
Note:11

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Antibiotics and vaccines
Note:11

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rates of infant mortality;
Note:12

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life expectancy
Note:14

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typical diet
Note:14

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France had about the same energy value as that of Rwanda in 1965,
Note:Ccccccccc

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Leisure time
Note:16

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My smartphone is as good as his.
Note:UGUAGLIANZA...IO E BILL GATES

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Enlightenment Now: The Case for Reason, Science, Humanism, and Progress.
Note:BIBLIOGRAFIA...PINKER *****

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trickles down,
Note:LA RICCHEZZA SGOCCIOLA

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the bottom quintile
Note:CRESCE ANCHE PIÙ DEL PRIMO

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richer economy can also do more to elevate the living standards of immigrants.
Note:ALTRI BENEFICIATI DAI RICCHI

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Migrants will often return to their home countries, bringing new skills and new business connections.
Note:INTERCONNESSIONE

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India and Israel have developed vibrant technology and software scenes precisely because of their close ties with the start-up scene of the United States.
Note:UN ESEMPIO

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New medicines and technologies developed in wealthy nations also make their way to the rest of the world,
Note:ALTRA RICADUTA....L ESEMPIO DELO SMART

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economic growth has nonetheless brought wealth to the poor and elevated their status.
Note:LO SGOCCIOLAMENTO È LA REGOLA...LA VICINANZA AI RICCHI HA SEMPRED BENEFICIATO

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recent increases in inequality within individual nations,
Note:L OBIEZIONE TIPICA NEL 2018

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global inequality has declined over the last few decades,
Note:PRIMO FATTORE DI BILANCIAMENTO

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recent world history has been an extraordinarily egalitarian time.
Note:L EPOCA IN CUI HAI VISSITO

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how global economic growth helps the poor.
Note:LA STORIA CHE CI RACCONTA LA CONTEMPORANEITA

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squeezing of the middle class in the wealthier nations,
Note:MA A NOI INTERESSA SOLO XHE....

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Much of Africa is now following suit, bolstered in part by China’s demand for raw materials,
Note:PERSINO L AFRICA SEMBRA RISOLLEVARSI

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during the early phase of the British Industrial Revolution in the late eighteenth century.
Note:FAPPRIMA MOLTE DISEGUAGLIANZE....MA INSISTERE È STATO UN BENE

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Nobel Laureate Amartya Sen has promoted the idea of “capabilities”
Note:ALTERNATIVA AL PIL

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Sen points out that our positive opportunities in life often matter more
Note:LIBERTÀ POSITIVA

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Wealth and good social outcomes are still strongly correlated on average, and this correlation is stronger over longer time horizons.
Note:UNA MISURA UTILE?

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if Kerala does not grow much in more narrow economic terms, it is unlikely to look so impressive in its social indicators
Note:ESEMPIO...TRATTO DA SEN

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so many Keralans take jobs in wealthier countries, especially in the Gulf States,
Note:ESEMPIO

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The truth is that economic growth is the only permanent path out of squalor.
Note:BOTTOM LINE

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I myself have written of the great stagnation,
Note:CONFESSIONE....RALLENTAMENTO DAL 1973

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economic growth and technological progress do not always arrive at a steady pace.
Note:SEMPRE A SINGHIOZZO

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World history offers various precedents for the idea of a “great transformation”
Note:ESEMPIO DI SINGHIOZZI

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agricultural revolution,
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“urban revolution”
Note:MESOPOTAMIA

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Industrial Revolution.
Note:GB

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East Asian revolution
Note:TIGRI

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a two percent rate of economic growth, as opposed to a one percent rate,
Note:POCA DIFFERENZA ORA MA SU LUNGO....TUTTA LA DIFFERENZA

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redo U.S. history, but assume the country’s economy had grown one percentage point less each year between 1870 and 1990.
Note:ESPERIMENTO MENTALE

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no richer than the Mexico of 1990.
Note:Ccccccc

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once one starts to think about [exponential growth], it is hard to think about anything else.”
Note:LUCAS

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much greater access to the arts and education.
Note:ALTRO PORTATO DELLA RICCHEZZA

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minimizes the chance that their destiny will be determined by the time and place in which they were born.
Note:ALTRA VIRTÙ DELA RICCHEZZA...L AUTONOMIA

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has there ever been a time in human history when so many individuals had such a good chance of becoming world-class scientists?
Note:CHIEDIAMOCI SOLO QUESTO

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Benjamin M. Friedman, in his brilliant The Moral Consequences of Economic Growth,
Note:LA VIRTÙ SI DIFFONDE

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Does economic growth make us happier?
Note:Tttttttttttttt

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Recent research suggests that wealth boosts happiness
Note:TIMIDA CONFERMA....VALE ANCHE X I PIÚ POVERI TRA I RICCHI

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Economists Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers,
Note:CHI

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the most comprehensive study of the income-happiness link to date,
Note:Cccccccccc

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income boosts happiness even at higher levels of earnings.
Note:NN C È SOGLIA

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Angus Deaton finds similar results,
Note:IL NOBEL

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suggests that additional riches do not make citizens in wealthy countries any happier, at least not above a certain level of wealth.
Note:UN VECCHIO PARADOSSO

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evidence here is taken from questionnaires
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PURTROPPO

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Some commentators argue that the curve flattens out
Note:OPINIONE DIFFUSA

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The observation of a nearly flat happiness-wealth relationship says more about the nature of language than it does about the nature of happiness.
Note:TESI

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if you ask the people of Kenya how happy they are with their health, you’ll get a pretty high rate of reported satisfaction,
Note:FELICITÁ E SALUTE...KENYA E EUROPA

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Kenyans have recalibrated their use of language to reflect what they can reasonably expect from their daily experiences.
Note:PROBABILMENTE...LINGUAGGIO E UTILITÀ

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often attach less ambitious meanings to the claim that they are happy.
Note:AMBIZIONE

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questionnaires will therefore underrate the happiness
Note:LOGICA CONSEGUENZA

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treadmill effects.
Note:UN CONCETTO CHIAVE DELLA LETTERATURA

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The wealthy develop higher standards for when they consider themselves to be “happy” or “very happy.”
Note:STANDARD

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report does not mean that you spend all of your time envying
Note:ANCHE SE PL NVIDIA È UNA COMPONENTE

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even a constant level of reported happiness implies growth in real happiness
Note:SE QS È VERO...

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Many individuals strive to earn higher incomes, even after they have experienced the strength of aspiration and treadmill effects.
Note:LA RELAZIONE È POISUPPORTATA DALL OSSERVAZIONE DIRETTA

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they know at a gut level that money will help
Note:Ccccccccc

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Individuals value happiness for their families as well as for themselves,
Note:Cccccccc

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within a country, wealthier people report unambiguously higher levels of happiness, on average, than do poorer people.
Note:E RICORDIAMOCI SEMPRE CHE...

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a quick look at where most immigrants wish to migrate,
Note:EVIDENZA DELL EMIGRAZIONE

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it is better to envy your neighbor’s Mercedes than to envy his horse and buggy.
Note:CONCLUSIONE

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Some people may seek temporary stimulations while others may want to feel fulfilled at the end of their lives,
Note:IL CONCETTO DI FELICITÀ È AMBIGUO

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Some will seek happiness through the process of out-competing their peers
Note:Cccccccccc

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Wealthier societies offer greater opportunities and freedoms to pursue preferred concepts of happiness,
Note:IL PUNTO FORTE DELLA RICCHEZZA

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A wealthier economy will offer greater options
Note:MENTRE IL QUESTIONARIO CONSIDERA SOL UN TIPO DI FELICITÀ

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A wealthier economy also gives us more “fleeting” experiences of happiness.
Note:GIOIE PASSEGGERE...LA TUA SQUADRA CHE VINCE ****

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A diverse commercial economy offers more sources of temporary stimulation
Note:Cccccccccccccccc

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more new gadgets, more entertaining videos, and more serendipitous encounters with interesting new people.
Note:MORE MORE MORE....SARÀ SUPERFICIALE MA SPIEGA LA MAGGIOR FELICITÁ

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habituation and expectation effects.
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ATTUTISCONO IL LEGAME R/F MA NN ELIMINANO GLI EFFETTI POSITIVI DI R

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most life catastrophes create significant misery.
Note:UN ESEMPIO DI CIÓ CHE CMQ SCAMPIAMO

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The death of a child or close family member profoundly damages happiness for most individuals,
Note:ALTRO ESEMPIO

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wars, revolutions, and collapses of civil order
Note:ROBA BELLA O MEGLIO EVITARE? CHIEDO A CHI OPPONE AL DENARO LA FELICITÀ

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poverty is not the solution
Note:FINALE

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the onset of a severe disability or physical handicap may cause individuals to alter their expectations for what their lives will be like. Some or even all of their initial levels of happiness may be reattained by lowering their aspirations,
Note:ANALOGIA

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Nonetheless, victims of catastrophes still report lower levels of happiness than do comparable healthy individuals,
Note:Ccccccccc

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Extra wealth also serves as a cushion against very bad events,
Note:ALTRA FUNZIONE DELLA RICCHEZZA

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since the Greek economic crisis, dating from 2009, no one uses the Greek example to make a point about the flatlining of the happiness-income relationship.
Note:LA SOGLIA E LA GRECIA

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Having some additional reserves of wealth prior to the crisis would have helped the country
Note:UNA RISERVA AVREBBE AIUTATO

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happiness measures cannot pick up the benefits of greater life expectancy.
Note:I QUESTIONARI RIGUARDANO LA VITA QUOTIDIANA...ALTRO LIMITE

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Life expectancy rises with wealth, but self-reports of happiness miss this benefit
Note:Cccccccc

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happiness research draws upon a fixed pool of people living under relatively normal circumstances. This will limit its ability to measure
Note:NORMAL CIRCUMSTANCES

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