venerdì 26 ottobre 2018

Scommettere sulla qualità

Di solito la qualità di un lavoro scientifico viene affidata alle citazioni che riceve. Non esiste qualcosa di meglio? Forse sì.

He focused on papers for which it is possible to make a replication attempt and said “We don’t need journals anymore.” That is, he argued that we should not use which journal is willing to publish a paper as a signal of paper quality, but that we should use the signal of what bet authors offer in support of their paper.

That author betting offer would specify what would count as a replication attempt, and as a successful replication, and include an escrowed amount of cash and betting odds which set the amount a challenger must put up to try to win that escrowed amount. If the replication fails, the challenger wins these two amounts minus the cost of doing a replication attempt; if not the authors win that amount.


Bets As Signals of Article Quality http://www.overcomingbias.com/2018/10/bets-as-signals-of-article-quality.html