CHAPTER 5 Experts Versus Equations
Note:5@@@@@@@@@
Note:5@@@@@@@@@
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So who’s more accurate, Super Crunchers or traditional experts?
Note:DOMANDA
Note:DOMANDA
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intuitivists and clinicians
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decision making can’t be quantified
Note:TESI INTUIZIONISTA
Note:TESI INTUIZIONISTA
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it is possible to test
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Super Crunching can be used to adjudicate
Note:CHI GIUDICA
Note:CHI GIUDICA
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Ted Ruger,
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they could predict how Supreme Court justices would vote.
Note:LA PRETESA DI MARTIN E QUINN USANDO POCHE VARIABILI
Note:LA PRETESA DI MARTIN E QUINN USANDO POCHE VARIABILI
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competition” to compare the accuracy of two different ways to predict the outcome of Supreme Court cases.
Note:LA GARA
Note:LA GARA
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Super Crunching predictions
Note:IN UN ANGOLO
Note:IN UN ANGOLO
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opinions of eighty-three legal experts.
Note:NELL ALTRO
Note:NELL ALTRO
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The political scientists’ model took into account only six factors:
Note:EQ CON 6 VARIABILI
Note:EQ CON 6 VARIABILI
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law has not been logic; it has been experience.”
Note:VISIONE DI HOLMES...POSITIVISMO...CENTRATO SULLE PERSONE
Note:VISIONE DI HOLMES...POSITIVISMO...CENTRATO SULLE PERSONE
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“law is a science,
Note:VISIONE CONTRAPPOSTA.....COERENTISMO...PIÙ MEL MERITO
Note:VISIONE CONTRAPPOSTA.....COERENTISMO...PIÙ MEL MERITO
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emphasis on the judge’s prejudices,
Note:MODELLO HOLMESIANO
Note:MODELLO HOLMESIANO
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The first decision point predicts that O’Connor would vote to reverse whenever the lower court decision was coded as being “liberal.”
Note:ESEMPIO
Note:ESEMPIO
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humans are still necessary to code the case.
Note:UN RUOLO SOGGETTIVO ANCHE X L ALGORITMO
Note:UN RUOLO SOGGETTIVO ANCHE X L ALGORITMO
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The experts lost.
Note:ESITO
Note:ESITO
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In study after study, there is a strong tendency for the Super Crunchers to come out on top.
Note:LA TENDENZA IN VARIE AREE
Note:LA TENDENZA IN VARIE AREE
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Little
CAPITOLO DA TERMINARE
CAPITOLO DA TERMINARE