martedì 27 febbraio 2018

CHAPTER 5 Experts Versus Equations

CHAPTER 5 Experts Versus Equations
Note:5@@@@@@@@@

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So who’s more accurate, Super Crunchers or traditional experts?
Note:DOMANDA

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intuitivists and clinicians
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decision making can’t be quantified
Note:TESI INTUIZIONISTA

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it is possible to test
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Super Crunching can be used to adjudicate
Note:CHI GIUDICA

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Ted Ruger,
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they could predict how Supreme Court justices would vote.
Note:LA PRETESA DI MARTIN E QUINN USANDO POCHE VARIABILI

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competition” to compare the accuracy of two different ways to predict the outcome of Supreme Court cases.
Note:LA GARA

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Super Crunching predictions
Note:IN UN ANGOLO

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opinions of eighty-three legal experts.
Note:NELL ALTRO

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The political scientists’ model took into account only six factors:
Note:EQ CON 6 VARIABILI

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law has not been logic; it has been experience.”
Note:VISIONE DI HOLMES...POSITIVISMO...CENTRATO SULLE PERSONE

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“law is a science,
Note:VISIONE CONTRAPPOSTA.....COERENTISMO...PIÙ MEL MERITO

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emphasis on the judge’s prejudices,
Note:MODELLO HOLMESIANO

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The first decision point predicts that O’Connor would vote to reverse whenever the lower court decision was coded as being “liberal.”
Note:ESEMPIO

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humans are still necessary to code the case.
Note:UN RUOLO SOGGETTIVO ANCHE X L ALGORITMO

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The experts lost.
Note:ESITO

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In study after study, there is a strong tendency for the Super Crunchers to come out on top.
Note:LA TENDENZA IN VARIE AREE

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Little
CAPITOLO DA TERMINARE