venerdì 13 aprile 2018

Chimica siriana

Ma perché Assad dovrebbe assaltare con armi chimiche una città insignificante, lontana da ogni fronte uccidendo ottanta civili e attirando su di sé la riprovazione internazionale nonché l’ira degli USA? Non sembrano esserci ragioni solide. O è uno stupido o i responsabili sono altri, ovvero i ribelli.
C’è anche una terza ipotesi che parte dall’assunto per cui le ostilità siriane finiranno necessariamente sotto l’egida di un accordo USA-Russia. Ebbene, se lo si facesse oggi una clausola riguarderebbe la defenestrazione di Assad, ma se l’accordo fosse posteriore alla riunificazione dei territori sotto la corona di Assad, la clausola di cui sopra diverrebbe più problematica. Ecco, azioni come quella che cerchiamo di spiegare potrebbero avere la funzione di ritardare l’accordo finale tra USA e Russia, il prezzo di un attacco USA sarebbe sicuramente conveniente.
L’articolo che linko si riferisce a qualche anno fa e commenta una situazione molto simile a quella di oggi.
BANGORDAILYNEWS.COM
The attack against Shayrat airbase was allegedly a retaliation for a poison gas attack on the rebel-held town of Khan Sheikhoun. But who stood to benefit from the chemical attack in the first place?. Maine news, sports, politics, election results, and obituaries from the Bangor Daily News.
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giovedì 12 aprile 2018

CHAPTER 1 The Magic of Education

CHAPTER 1 The Magic of Education
Note:1@@@@@@@@@@@@

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lecture, write, and think my thoughts. These are virtually my only marketable skills.
Note:CONFESSIONE

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The Ivory Tower routinely ignores the real world.
Note:VERA

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Employers care deeply about professors’ opinions.
Note:ASIMMETRIA STRANA

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defer to teachers’ opinions when they decide whom to interview,
Note:OMAGGIO

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financial benefits.
Note:SONO REALI

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failed investments in education
Note:UN MITO SENZA BASI

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High school graduates earn more than dropouts, college grads earn more than high school grads, and holders of advanced degrees do better still.
Note:UN FATTO

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about 10%.
Note:UN ANNO IN PIÙ DI SCUOLA

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better quality of life, and lower unemployment.
Note:ALTRI BENEFIT

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Otherworldly Education
Note:Ttttttttttt

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why.
Note:PERCHÈ AL DATORE INTERESSANO I VOTI?

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schools teach their students useful job skills.
Note:ORTODOSSIA DEL CAPITALE UMANO

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Literacy and numeracy
Note:PER LA BASE...MA

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students spend thousands of hours studying subjects irrelevant
Note:PRIMO PROB...L IRRILEVANZA

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Why do English classes focus on literature and poetry instead of business and technical writing?
Note:DILEMMA

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history? Trigonometry? Art? Music? Physics? “Physical Education”? Spanish? French? Latin!
Note:ESEMPIO

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educators teach what they know—and
Note:UNA SPIEGAZIONE

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schools boost students’ income
Note:MA

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why do they entrust students’ education to people so detached from the real world?
Note:I DATORI DI LAVORO

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your job almost certainly won’t require knowledge of geometry, French, world history,
Note:OVVIAMENTE

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Arts and Literature, Biological Science, Historical Studies, International Studies, Philosophy and Values, Physical Science, and Social and Behavioral Sciences.
Note:ALTRO CURRICULUM

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statistics and econometrics—in
Note:UNICHE MATERIE IN ECON CHE SERIE ONO SUL LAVORO

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emphasize mathematical proofs,
Note:E NEANCHE TANTO

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broadening students’ horizons.
Note:FORSE L Leggi BBIETTIVO È UN ALTRO

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studying foreign languages, so there must be lots of translators.
Note:IL MARZIANO INFERISCE

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A thriving market in literary criticism
Note:ALTRA INFERENZA

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typical worker occasionally solves quadratic equations
Note:ALTRA INFERENZA

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that economy is out of this world.
Note:IL MONDO DELLE NUVOLE

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compensation and job satisfaction
Note:COSE CHE NN SI FANNO

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Strategies for breaking into various industries?
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learning how to write a resume or affect a can-do attitude?
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The way our education system transforms students into paid workers seems like magic.
Note:MAGIA

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Students rapidly forget most of what they learn because “they’ll never need to know it again.”
Note:ALTRO FATTO

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As far as I can tell, the only marketable skill I teach is “how to be an economics professor.”
Note:SORPRESI GLI STESSI PROFESSORI

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understand the market for marriage,
Note:A CHE SERVE?

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employers decide students who fail my class aren’t worth interviewing. Abracadabra.
Note:MA

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students to become economics professors,
Note:GLI UNICI SENZA MAGIE

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I don’t know how to do the jobs most of my students are going to have.
Note:IGNORANZA

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Making Magic Pay
Note:Tttttttt

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academic success is a strong signal of worker productivity.
Note:SPIEGAZ DELLA PUBBLICITÀ...AGENZIA PUBBLICITARIA

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preexisting traits you reveal
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Certifying preexisting skills
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my condemnation is devastating.
Note:PROF

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impress educators with their brilliance and industry—or
Note:LO STUDENTE

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Basics of Signaling
Note:Tttttttttttt

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Michael Spence, Kenneth Arrow, Joseph Stiglitz, Thomas Schelling, and Edmund Phelps—all
Note:CONTRIBUTI

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Michael Spence’s work on signaling
Note:UN NOBEL AD HOC

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different types of people. Types could differ in intelligence, conscientiousness, conformity, whatever.
Note:PRIMO ELEMENTO

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individual’s type must be nonobvious. You can’t discover
Note:SECONDO

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types must visibly differ on average;
Note:TERZO

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“Which worker sends the best signals?”
Note:LA DOMANDA DEL DATORE

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measure conformity.
Note:DIFFICILE

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crew cuts
Note:PIÙ CONFO

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mohawks.
Note:MENO CONFO

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prudent employers treat hairstyle as a signal
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hiring by coin flip.
Note:ALTERNATIVA

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crew cuts pay.
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signaling sows the seeds of its own destruction.
Note:SEGNALE SIMULABILE VALORE ZERO

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viable signals must be less costly for types in higher demand.
Note:REGOLA

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rebels detest “square” haircuts,
Note:COSTO EMOZIONALE

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a gray flannel suit.
Note:SEGNALE COMPLETO

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The “on average” qualifier is crucial.
Note:IL SEGNALE HA SEMPRE UN RUMORE

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Clear signals carry a strong stigma, fuzzy signals a weak stigma.
Note:STIGMA

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statistical discrimination”:
Note:ALTRO NOME DEL MODELL

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stereotypes to save time and money.
Note:CONOSCENZA X STEREOTIPI

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The elderly pay higher life insurance premiums
Note:ES...STEREOTIPO X CUI I VECCHI MUOIONO PRIMA

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Cab drivers are more willing to pick up a young man in a suit than a young man in gang colors
Note:TAXISTI

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Statistical discrimination may be unfair and ugly, but it’s hardly weird or implausible.
Note:È OVUNQUE...È ANCHE NELLA SCUOLA

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What Does Education Signal?
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the ideal student is well behaved, unaggressive, docile, patient, meticulous, and empathetic
Note:STUDENTE IDEALE

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likely to please the teacher.
Note:Cccccccc

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economists have kept the model in a ghetto.
Note:LA SORTE DEL MODELLO SEGNALETICO

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haircut, clothes, punctuality, polite laughter at interviewers’ jokes.
Note:SEGNALI MINORI

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your education.
Note:SEGNALE MAGGIORE

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education is just a signal of intelligence.
Note:PRIMA IPOTESI

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Education really is a strong signal of intelligence—and
Note:IN EFFETTI...CORRELAZIONE

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SAT scores,
Note:BASTA MOLTO MENO A SEGNALARE L INTELLIGENZA

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education signals not just intelligence, but conscientiousness—the student’s discipline, work ethic, commitment to quality, and so forth.
Note:COSCIENZIOSITÀ...MA AMCORA NN BASTA

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Jenn spent twenty hours a week earning her college degree part time. Karen, in contrast, spent twenty hours a week creating the world’s biggest ball of yarn.
Note:COSCIENZIOSITÀ CONVENZIONALE E TRASGRESSIVA

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equally smart;
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equally conscientious.
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challenging project
Note:ENTRAMBI

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she toiled in the service of socially approved goals.
Note:LA CONFORMISTA

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eccentric vanity project.
Note:LA STRANA

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deference to social expectations;
Note:LA PRIMA

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team player.
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When the boss says, “Jump,” she’ll ask, “How high?”
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education also signals conformity—the
Note:CONCLUSIONE

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If you defy these expectations,
Note:POCO AMATO CHI SFIDA LE CONVENZIONI

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denounce credentialism,
Note:DA EVITARE IN CATENZA

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humbly hold your tongue.
Note:PIUTTOSTO

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Hippies strive to look, talk, and act like fellow hippies.
Note:MA TUTTI SONO CONFORMISTI IN SENSO GENERICO...IL LAVORO CERCA UN C.PARTICOLARE

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modern model workers.
Note:UN RITRATTINO

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team players.
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deferential to superiors, but not slavish.
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congenial toward coworkers but put business first.
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dress and groom conservatively.
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nothing remotely racist or sexist,
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away from anything construable as sexual harassment.
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they know and do what’s expected,
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Employers don’t have to tell
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intelligence, conscientiousness, and conformity.
Note:RICAPITOLIAMO

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prosperous family,
Note:ALTRI SEGNALI MENO INTERESSANTI DELLA LAUREA...AL DATORE INTERESSANO MENO

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cosmopolitan
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the road to academic success and the road to job success are paved with the same materials.
Note:LE STESSE TRE DOTI

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conscientious worker labors until the job’s done right.
Note:LO STESSO CON I COMPITI

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Employers are running businesses, not logic classes.
Note:FINCHÈ LE ECCEZIONI RESTANO TALU IL MODELO FUNZIONA

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Locked-In Syndrome
Note:Ttttttt

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Education signals a package of socially desirable strengths.
Note:SOLO LÌ C È IL PACCHETTO...INTELL COSC E CONF SONO SEGNALABILI ANCHE SEPARATAMENTE

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the trifecta:
Note:PRESENTE SEMPRE AI VERTICI

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probably strong in at least one, and woefully deficient in none.
Note:CHI SI LAUREA

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if you’re so smart, why didn’t you go to college?
Note:IL SOSPETTO CHE DESTA IL SUPERSAT

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The higher your scores, the more suspicious your missing diploma becomes.
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If you have the work ethic to copy the dictionary by hand, completing college should be a cakewalk—unless
Note:ALTRO SOSPETTO

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“alternative” signals of conformity signal nonconformity.
Note:C È POI IL PARADOSSO DEI SEGNALI ALTERNATIVI DEL CONFORMISMO

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Telling employers, “I’m self-taught” or “I graduated from a brand-new Internet university” makes you sound weird.
Note:ALTERNATIVE AL PERCORSO CLASSICO

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“I’m not Jewish, but I keep kosher to prove I can conform to intricate rules.”
Note:FREAK

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Students are supposed to graduate;
Note:TUTTO IL RESTO È SOSPETTO

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Consider norms against bragging.
Note:L IN PIÙ È MAL CONSIDERATOSE NN ORTODOSSO...SPACCONATA

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while employers rarely request applicants’ standardized test scores, applicants remain free to provide these scores
Note:ESEMPIO

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Few do. What do applicants have to lose?
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You’re doing something that’s “simply not done.”
Note:CONSUETUDINE

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The process is self-reinforcing:
Note:Ttttttttt COME SI ARRIVA ALLA CREDENZA CHE LA SCUOLA SIA SPECIALE

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Employers notice the link between success at school and success at work,
Note:1

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Talented, motivated people notice education’s gatekeeping role, so
Note:2

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The frequency of talented, motivated people without a strong academic record falls, tightening the link between success at school and success at work.
Note:3

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alternatives to traditional education already exist,
Note:EPPURE

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you face a stark choice: do what’s socially expected, or take your chances with the outcasts.
Note:IL DILEMMA DEL TALENTUOSO

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In short, education suffers from what I call “locked-in syndrome.”
Note:CONCLUSIONE

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Signaling “Simply Doesn’t Make Sense”
Note:Ttttttttttttt

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it contradicts experience.
Note:L OBIEZIONE MAI FATTA

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the leading objections insist experience is deceiving.
Note:LA VERA OBIEZIONE

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Signaling=100% signaling. The most egregious straw man treats signaling as all-or-nothing.
Note:VIZIETTO ALL OR NOTHING

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curriculum clearly contains useful subjects;
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Signaling=“Signaling intelligence alone.”
Note:ALTRO ASSUNTO CHE SVIA

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Then they demolish it.
Note:IL CRITICO CHE SBAGLIA MDELLO

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But so does an IQ test.
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Signaling shouldn’t take years.
Note:ALTRA OBIEZ

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For many traits, however, there are no definitive “show-stopping”
Note:RISPOSTA...GUARDA I TRATTI IMPLICATI

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When the competition sends better signals and you don’t,
Note:ESSENZIALE

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A lazy rebel will toil and conform for two semesters if the wage is right.
Note:IL CONFORMISMO

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easy-to-fake traits like conscientiousness and conformity
Note:FALSIFICAZIONE

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Giving up early is surrender.
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“You can’t fool the market for long.”
Note:ALTRA OBIEZIONE

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employers discern their employees’ true productivity in a matter of months.
Note:QUEL CHE SI PENSA

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companies rather quickly discover
Note:GARY BECKER

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researchers explicitly gauge the speed of employer learning, the process seems to take years or decades, not months—especially
Note:EVDENZA

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This hardly makes signaling futile.
Note:MA ANCHE SE..

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reason to signal is to get your foot in the door—to
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it is no small affair.
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“You can’t fool the market for long” doesn’t imply “The market won’t overlook you forever.”
Note:CONCLUSIONE

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employers can’t afford to give every applicant an interview,
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What’s a diamond in the rough to do? Get the credentials
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Becker’s critique also naively assumes that employers automatically dismiss any worker who falls short of expectations.
Note:LICENZIARE È MOLTO DURA

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firms are not run by robots.
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they develop fraternal feelings
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the blow to remaining workers’ morale.
Note:LA PAURA DEL LICENZIATORE

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After a firm hires you, you’re part of the team.
Note:SENTIMENT

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ALTERNATIVE...OTTIME REFERENZE

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“dehiring.”
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The more firms fear to fire, the more educational signaling matters.
Note:CONC

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Relying on credentials is a good way to avoid getting stuck in the first place.
Note:ASSUMERE MALE

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Imagine, however, that you have the world’s only perfectly forged Harvard diploma. With any luck, you’ll ride the Harvard gravy train for years.
Note:UN FALSO...BOCCONI CASSINO

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Riddle Me This
Note:Ttttttttttttt

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Higher education is the only product where the consumer tries to get as little out of it as possible.
Note:IL MENO POSSIBILE

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The best education in the world is already free.
Note:AULE APERTE

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anyone can study at Princeton for free. While tuition is over $45,000 a year,42 anyone can show up and start attending classes.
Note:UN FATTO

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If you ask permission to sit in, most professors will be flattered. What a rare pleasure to teach someone who wants to learn!
Note:ONORATO

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you can have either a Princeton education without a diploma, or a Princeton diploma without an education.
Note:DILEMMA

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Failing versus forgetting.
Note:Ttttttttt

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How would your career have been different if you flunked all the classes you’ve forgotten?
Note:DOMANDINA SEMPLICE SEMPLICE

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failing a class and forgetting a class would have identical career consequences.
Note:IMMAGINA SOLO SE...

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claim studying a subject improves you in subtle ways
Note:RIFUGIARSI IN CALCIO D'ANGOLO

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Educational psychologists have spent a century measuring such subtle learning;
Note:UN SECOLO DI STUDI PER CAPIRE COSA

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My Spanish teachers’ official goal was to teach me Spanish. It was their native language.
Note:ESEMPIO DI INTROSPEZIONE

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signaling can explain these facts without torturing them
Note:SOLUZIONE MOLTO PIù SEMPLICE

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you were lacking in intelligence, conscientiousness, and/or conformity—and
Note:TU HAI QUALCOSA ANCHE SE NON SAI PIù NULLA

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Easy As.
Note:TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT

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Students struggle to win admission to elite schools. Once they arrive, however, they hunt for professors with low expectations.
Note:ALLA RICERCA DEL PROF DALLA MANICA LARGA...PERCHè?

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George Mason students know I’m not an easy A; their future employers don’t. Anyone who likes money and dislikes studying has an obvious two-part strategy:
Note:LA DOPPIA STRATEGIA

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Cheating.
Note:TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT

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cheating is futile.
Note:NEL MODELLO DEL CAPITALE UMANO

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all educators who try to prevent cheating are wasting their time.
Note:ALTRA IMPLICAZIONE ASSURDA DEL MODELLO CAPITALE UMANO

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All exams might as well be take-home.
Note:CONSEGUENZA LOGICA

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Signaling, in contrast, explains why cheating pays—and
Note:TUTTO QUADRA

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detecting and punishing cheaters preserve the signaling value
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Why do students rejoice when the teacher cancels class?
Note:TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT ORA BUCA

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If human capital purists are right, such jubilation is bizarre.
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Once they’re in college, myopic, immature students can unilaterally skip class whenever they like.
Note:ALL UNIVERSITA' NON CI SONO STUDENTI IMMATURI...ALMENO TRA I FREQUENTANTI

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When your teacher cancels class, everyone learns less, leaving your relative performance unimpaired.
Note:LA RISPOSTA OVVIA CHE IL PURISTA DEL CAPITALE UMANO NON PUO' ACCETTARE

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Lead into Gold
Note:TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT

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education turns lead into gold.
Note:MAGIA

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both sculptors and appraisers have the power to raise the market value of a piece of stone. The sculptor raises the market value of a piece of stone by shaping it. The appraiser raises the market value of a piece of stone by judging it.
Note:ANALOGIA...COME ALZARE IL VALORE DI UNA PERSONA...PROFESSORE VALUTATORE...PERCENTUALI

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“How much of what we do is sculpting,
LA DOMANDA

PITTORE O SCULTORE?

Si puo’ valorizzare una pietra scolpendola o stimandola. Ci sono abili scultori e abili periti.
Domanda: l’insegnante (rispetto ai suoi ragazzi) è più scultore o perito?
Questo libro, facendosi forte dell'evidenza quotidiana, propende per la seconda ipotesi.

AMAZON.COM
Why we need to stop wasting public funds on educationDespite being immensely popular--and immensely lucrative—education is grossly overrated. In this explosive book, Bryan Caplan argues that the primary function of education is not to enhance students' skill but to certify their intelligenc...