venerdì 13 gennaio 2017

Is There a Right to Own a Gun? Michael Huemer

Notebook per
Is There a Right to Own a Gun?
Michael Huemer
Citation (APA): Huemer, M. (2014). Is There a Right to Own a Gun? [Kindle Android version]. Retrieved from Amazon.com

Parte introduttiva
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 2
Is There a Right to Own a Gun? By Michael Huemer
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 12
1. Introduction
Nota - Posizione 13
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 13
Gun control supporters often assume that the acceptability of gun control laws turns on whether they increase or decrease crime rates. The notion that such laws might violate rights, independently of whether they decrease crime rates, is rarely entertained.
Nota - Posizione 14
x ASSUNTO SBAGLIATO DEI PROIBIZIONISTI
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 15
Thus, a colleague who teaches about the issue once remarked to me that from the standpoint of rights, as opposed to utilitarian considerations, there wasn’t much to say. The only right that might be at stake, he said, was “a trivial right—‘ the right to own a gun.’”
Nota - Posizione 17
x UN ESEMPIO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 19
I contend that individuals have a prima facie right to own firearms, that this right is weighty and protects important interests, and that it is not overridden by utilitarian considerations.
Nota - Posizione 20
x TESI CONTRARIA
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 22
2. Preliminary remarks about rights
Nota - Posizione 22
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 22
2.1. Assumptions about the Nature of Rights
Nota - Posizione 23
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 23
moral framework I presuppose.
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 24
I assume that individuals have at least some moral rights that are logically prior to the laws enacted by the state, and that these rights place restrictions on what sort of laws ought to be made. I assume that we may appeal to intuitions to identify some of these rights.
Nota - Posizione 25
x INTUIZIONISMO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 25
An example [298] is the right to be free from physical violence: intuitively, it is, ceteris paribus, wrong for people to do violence to one another, and this limits what sort of laws may, morally, be made— it explains, for instance, why the state ought not to pass a law according to which a randomly chosen person in each district is flogged each week.
Nota - Posizione 28
x ESEMPIO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 28
I further assume that we normally have a right to do as we wish unless there is a reason why we should not be allowed to do so— and hence that one who denies our right to act in a particular way has the dialectical burden to provide reasons against the existence of the right in question.
Nota - Posizione 30
x ONERE DELLA PROVA
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 50
2.2. What Sort of Right Is the Right to Own a Gun?
Nota - Posizione 51
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 51
A right is derivative when it derives at least some of its weight from its relationship to another, independent right. A right is fundamental when it has some force that is independent of other rights.
Nota - Posizione 53
x DIRITTI FONDAMENTALI
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 53
Derivative rights are usually related to fundamental rights as means to the protection or enforcement of the latter,
Nota - Posizione 54
c
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 56
Second, I distinguish between absolute and prima facie rights. An absolute right is one with overriding importance, such that no considerations can justify violating it. A prima facie right is one that must be given some weight in moral deliberation but that can be overridden by sufficiently important countervailing considerations.
Nota - Posizione 58
x PRIMA FACIE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 60
It is doubtful whether any rights are absolute.
Nota - Posizione 60
c
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 61
overridden
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 62
exceptions
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 63
To illustrate the distinction: assume that it is morally permissible to kill an aggressor in self-[ 300] defense. This might be permissible in virtue of an exception to the right to life (the aggressor temporarily loses his right not to be killed by his intended victim), rather than because the aggressor’s right to life is overridden.
Nota - Posizione 66
x ECCEZIONE E SUPERAMENTO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 67
suppose it is permissible to kill an innocent person to save the lives of 1000 others. Plausibly, this is a case of the overriding of the first individual’s right to life,
Nota - Posizione 68
x CASO DI SUPERAMENTO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 72
2.3. Weighing Rights
Nota - Posizione 73
T
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 74
three broad principles about the weighing of rights.
Nota - Posizione 74
x TRE CRITERI X PESARE UN DIRITTO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 74
First: Ceteris paribus, the weight of a fundamental right increases with the importance of the right to an individual’s plans for his own life or other purposes.
Nota - Posizione 75
x REALIZZAZIONE DI UNA VITA. DIRITTO IMPORT
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 77
On some theories of self-interest, one’s purposes may diverge from one’s interests. In such a case, I maintain that the weight of a right should be at least partly determined by the rights-bearer’s aims, and not [301] merely by the rights-bearer’s actual interests. Consider an example to motivate this view: imagine a proposed law forbidding all homosexual relationships. Suppose its proponents argue that the law is at most a trivial rights-violation, because homosexual relationships are morally bad, so homosexuals are mistaken in believing they have a positive interest in such relationships. Without entering into a debate concerning the value of homosexuality, we can say that intuitively, the proponents’ argument is invalid: the law would seem to be a major restriction of the civil liberties of homosexuals, regardless of whether homosexuality is healthy or virtuous.
Nota - Posizione 83
x CONTA L ANIMO DEL PROT. ES OMOSEX
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 85
Second: In the case of a derivative right, the seriousness of its violation is proportional to the importance of the other right that it subserves.
Nota - Posizione 86
x CRITERIO DEL DIRITTO FOND
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 88
Third: The seriousness of a violation of a derivative right also depends upon how important the derivative right is to the other right that it subserves. For example, censorship of books criticizing the government would be a more serious violation of free speech than would censorship of pornographic material, because the ability to publish political criticism is more important to protecting other rights than is the ability to publish pornography.
Nota - Posizione 91
x TERZO POLITICA E PORNO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 93
3. Is there a prima facie right to own a gun?
Nota - Posizione 94
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 94
Given the presumption in favor of liberty, there is at least a prima facie right to own a gun,
Nota - Posizione 94
x GUN PRIMA FACIE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 96
one lacks a right to do things that harm others, treat others as mere means, or use others without their consent. It is difficult to see how owning a gun could itself be said to do any of those things, even though owning a gun makes it easier for one to do those things if one chooses to.
Nota - Posizione 98
x ECCEZIONE POSSIBILE? NO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 100
Consider the principle that one lacks a right to do things that impose unacceptable, though unintended, risks on others. Since life is replete with risks, to be plausible, the principle must use some notion of excessive risks. But the risks associated with normal ownership and recreational use of firearms are minimal. While approximately 77 million Americans now own guns, the accidental death rate for firearms has fallen dramatically during the last century, and is now about .3 per 100,000 population.
Nota - Posizione 103
x RISCHI ECCESSIVI? NO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 103
citizen is nineteen times more likely to die as a result of an accidental fall, and fifty times more likely to die in an automobile accident, than to die as a result of a firearms accident.
Nota - Posizione 105
x CFR
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 107
Nicholas Dixon argues: “In 1990, 34.5% of all murders resulted from domestic or other kinds of argument. Since we are all capable of heated arguments, we are all, in the wrong circumstances, capable of losing control and killing our opponent.”
Nota - Posizione 108
x ALTRO CFR
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 117
It might be argued that the total social cost of private gun ownership is significant, that the state is unable to identify in advance those persons who are going to misuse their weapons, and that the state’s only viable method of significantly reducing that social cost is thus to prevent even noncriminal citizens from owning guns.
Nota - Posizione 119
x ARGOMENTO DEL COSTO SOCIALE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 119
this is not an argument against the existence of a prima facie right to own a gun. It is just an argument for overriding any such right.
Nota - Posizione 120
x NO. È ARG PER OVERRIDING NN PER IL PRIMA FACIE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 125
Most gun control advocates would claim, not that there is not even a prima facie right to own a gun, but that the right is a minor one, and that the harms of private gun ownership, in comparison, are very large.
Nota - Posizione 127
x OPPOSIZIONE AL DIRITTO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 127
4. Is the right to own a gun significant?
Nota - Posizione 127
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 130
4.1. The Recreational Value of Guns
Nota - Posizione 130
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 131
The recreational uses of guns include target shooting, various sorts of shooting competitions, and hunting. In debates over gun control, participants almost never attach any weight to this recreational value
Nota - Posizione 132
x DEF
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 134
charge of frivolousness
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 135
First: One might think life is lexically superior to (roughly, of infinitely greater value than) recreation, such that no amount of recreational value could counterbalance even one premature death.
Nota - Posizione 136
x VITA E PASSSTEMPO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 138
This position is implausible, since recreation is a major source of enjoyment, and enjoyment is (at least) a major part of what gives life value.
Nota - Posizione 139
x VITA BIOLOGICA VALORE SCARSO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 140
non-reproductive sexual activity, reading fiction, watching television or movies, talking with friends, listening to music, eating dessert, going out to eat, playing games, and so on.
Nota - Posizione 141
x ES ATTIVITÀ RICREATIVE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 144
Second, and more plausibly: one might claim that the value of the lives that could be saved by anti-gun laws is simply much greater than the recreational value of firearms.
Nota - Posizione 145
x ARGOMENT SEECONDA OB. VITE SASLVATE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 147
recreational shooting is a way of life.
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 147
At a rough estimate, the number of gun owners is two thousand times greater than the number of annual firearms-related deaths.
Nota - Posizione 148
x VITE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 155
this suffices to show that such a prohibition would be a serious rights-violation.
Nota - Posizione 155
x SERIA VIOLAZIONE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 155
4.2. The Right of Self-Defense
Nota - Posizione 156
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 156
The main argument on the gun rights side goes like this: 1. The right of self-defense is an important right. 2. A firearms prohibition would be a significant violation of the right of self-defense. 3. Therefore, a firearms prohibition would be a serious rights-violation.
Nota - Posizione 160
x ARG PRO GUN
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 160
strength of the conclusion depends upon the strength of the premises:
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 164
A killer breaks into a house, where two people—“ the victim” and “the accomplice”— are staying. (The “accomplice” need have no prior interaction with the killer.) As the killer enters the bedroom where the victim is hiding, the accomplice enters through another door and proceeds, for some reason, to hold the victim down while the killer stabs him to death. In this scenario, the killer commits what may be the most serious kind of rights-violation possible.
Nota - Posizione 168
x ES UN COMPLICE CHE NN UCCIDE MA È DECISIVO.
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 175
It is common to distinguish killing from letting die. In this example, we see a third category of action: preventing the prevention of a death.
Nota - Posizione 176
x PRATICAMENTE OMICIDIO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 179
intuition of the extreme wrongness of the accomplice’s act
Nota - Posizione 179
x GRAVITÀ DEL CFOMPLICE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 184
Example 2 As in example 1, except that the victim has a gun by the bed, which he would, if able, use to defend himself from the killer. As the killer enters the bedroom, the victim reaches for the gun. The accomplice grabs the gun and runs away, with the result that the killer then stabs his victim to death.
Nota - Posizione 186
x ES 2 COMPLICE E ARMA
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 187
The accomplice’s action in this case seems morally comparable to his action in example 1.
Nota - Posizione 188
x SIMILITUDINE TRA I DUE ESEMPI
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 189
The analogy between the accomplice’s action in this case and a general firearms prohibition should be clear. A firearms ban would require confiscating the weapons that many individuals keep for self-defense [308] purposes, with the result that some of those individuals would be murdered, robbed, raped, or seriously injured.
Nota - Posizione 191
x ANALOGIA
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 193
it might be said that in the case of a gun ban, the government would have strong reasons for confiscating the guns, in order to save the lives
Nota - Posizione 194
xOBIEZIONE A CUI SI RISP. DOPO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 196
it might be argued that example 2 differs from a gun ban in that the murder is imminent
Nota - Posizione 197
x IMMINENZA
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 198
suppose that the accomplice, knowing that someone is coming to kill the victim tomorrow (while the victim does not know this), decides to take the victim’s gun away from him today, again resulting in his death.
Nota - Posizione 199
x ANCHE SENZA IMMINENZA
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 200
whereas we assume that in example 2 the accomplice knows that the victim is going to be killed or seriously injured, the state does not know that its anti-gun policy will result in murders and injuries to former gun-owners.
Nota - Posizione 202
x ALTRA OBIEZIONE SULLA CONOSCENZA
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 202
Although the state may claim that the lives saved by a gun ban would outnumber the lives cost, one cannot argue that no lives will be cost at all, unless one claims implausibly that guns are never used in self-defense against life-threatening attacks.
Nota - Posizione 204
x NON VERA
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 205
it may be observed that in example 2, there is a specific, identifiable victim: the accomplice knows who is going to die
Nota - Posizione 206
x OB DELL IDENTIFICABILITÀ
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 207
this seems morally irrelevant. Consider: Example 3 An ‘accomplice’ ties up a family of five somewhere in the wilderness where he knows that wolves roam. He has good reason to [309] believe that a pack of wolves will happen by and eat one or two of the family members (after which they will be satiated), but he doesn’t know which ones will be eaten. He leaves them for an hour, during which the mother of the family is eaten by the wolves.
Nota - Posizione 211
x MORALMENTE IRRILEVANTE. ESEMPIO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 214
Fifth, the victims of a gun ban would presumably have sufficient forewarning of the coming ban to take alternative measures to protect themselves, unlike the victim in example 2.
Nota - Posizione 215
x OB 5 PREAVVISO E SOLUZ ALTERNAT
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 215
statistics from the National Crime Victimization Survey indicate that such alternative means of self-protection would be relatively ineffective— individuals who defend themselves with a gun are less likely to be injured and far less likely to have the crime completed against them than are persons who take any other measures.
Nota - Posizione 218
x ALTERNATIVE INEFGICACI
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 226
5. Are gun rights overridden?
Nota - Posizione 226
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 227
there is a strong prima facie right to own a gun. [310] Nevertheless, firearms prohibition might be justified, if the reasons for prohibition were strong enough to override that right.
Nota - Posizione 228
x POSSIBILITÀ DI SUPERAMENTI
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 232
empirical literature
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 234
5.1. The Case against Guns
Nota - Posizione 234
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 234
5.1.1. The 43-to-1 Statistic
Nota - Posizione 234
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 235
One prominent argument claims that a gun kept in the home is 43 times more likely to be used in a suicide, criminal homicide, or accidental death than it is to kill an intruder in self-defense.
Nota - Posizione 236
x ANTIGUN. USO DELL ARMA
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 239
Kellerman and Reay made no estimate of the frequency with which guns are used to stop attacks, life-threatening or otherwise; they only considered cases in which someone was killed.
Nota - Posizione 240
x SI SORVOLA SULLA DETERRENZA
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 243
A second problem is that 37 of Kellerman and Reay’s 43 deaths were suicides.
Nota - Posizione 244
x PREVALENZA SUICIDI
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 250
A third problem is that Kellerman and Reay only counted as “self-defense” cases that were so labeled by the police and the local prosecutor’s office; they ignored the possibility of cases that were later found in court to be self-defense.
Nota - Posizione 252
x PROBLEMI CON LA SELF DEFENCE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 253
5.1.2. International Comparisons
Nota - Posizione 253
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 253
A second type of argument often used by gun-control proponents relies on comparisons of homicide rates between the United States and other industrialized democracies, such as Canada, Great Britain, Sweden, and Australia.
Nota - Posizione 255
x ANTI GUN. GUARDA AI CFR COI NS SIMILI
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 256
Skeptics suggest that the United States has a number of unique cultural factors that influence the murder rate and that invalidate such cross-country comparisons.
Nota - Posizione 257
x USA CULTURA UNICA. ECCEZIONALISMO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 258
test the claim empirically,
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 258
across jurisdictions
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 260
When we do this, we find that (i) jurisdictions with stricter gun laws tend to have higher crime rates, (ii) shifts to more permissive gun laws tend to be followed by drops in crime rates, (iii) areas with higher gun ownership rates have lower crime rates, and (iv) historically, crime rates have fluctuated with no discernible pattern as the civilian gun stock has increased drastically.
Nota - Posizione 263
x SUPERARE LA CULTURA CON I CFR TRA STATI E CONTEE. RISULTATI
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 263
I do not claim to have proved that gun laws cause increased crime or that civilian gun ownership fails to do so. Nor do I deny there is any evidence on the gun control advocates’ side. What I am claiming at this point is that the evidence presented by gun control advocates fails to make a very convincing case for the net harmfulness of private gun ownership.
Nota - Posizione 265
x CIÒ CHE SI VUOLE PROVARE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 269
5.2. The Benefits of Guns
Nota - Posizione 269
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 269
5.2.1. Frequency of Defensive Gun Uses
Nota - Posizione 269
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 270
Fifteen surveys, excluding the one discussed in the following paragraph, have been conducted since 1976, yielding estimates of between 760,000 and 3.6 million defensive gun uses per year, the average estimate being 1.8 million.
Nota - Posizione 272
15 STUDI SULL USO DOFENSIVO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 272
Kleck and Gertz’ 1993
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 273
Gun users in 400,000 of these cases believe that the [313] gun certainly or almost certainly saved a life.
Nota - Posizione 274
x CREDENZA
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 275
if even one tenth of them were correct, the number of lives saved by guns each year would exceed the number of gun homicides and suicides.
Nota - Posizione 275
c
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 278
Kleck’s statistics imply that defensive gun uses outnumber crimes committed with guns by a ratio of about 3: 1.
Nota - Posizione 279
c
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 284
One survey, the National Crime Victimization Survey, obtained an estimate an order of magnitude below the others. The NCVS statistics imply something in the neighborhood of 100,000 defensive gun uses per year. Though even this number would establish a significant self-defense value of guns, the NCVS numbers are probably a radical underestimate, given their extreme divergence from all other estimates.
Nota - Posizione 286
x LA STIMA PIÙ PESSIMISTA
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 287
NCVS is a non-anonymous survey (respondents provide their addresses and telephone numbers)
Nota - Posizione 288
c
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 294
5.2.2. The Benefits of Concealed Weapons
Nota - Posizione 294
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 294
In the United States, some states prohibit the carrying of concealed weapons. Others have “discretionary”
Nota - Posizione 295
x PORTO D ARMI DISCR. OPPORTUNITÀ X STUDIARE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 301
John Lott and David Mustard conducted a study, probably the most rigorous and comprehensive study
Nota - Posizione 302
x LOTT
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 302
Lott’s study uses time-series and cross-sectional data for all 3,054 counties in the United States from 1977 to 1992. Overall, states with shall-issue laws have a violent crime rate just over half (55%) of the rate in other states.
Nota - Posizione 304
x RISULTATO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 304
This alone does not establish that the more restrictive gun laws are a cause of the dramatically higher violent crime rates in the states that have them, since the correlation could be explained by the hypothesis that states that already have higher crime rates are more likely to pass restrictive gun laws. The latter hypothesis, however, would not explain why violent crime rates fell after states adopted shall-issue concealed carry laws.
Nota - Posizione 307
x CAUSA O CORRELAZIONE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 308
Lott found that upon the adoption of shall-issue laws, murder rates declined immediately by about 8 percent, rapes by 5 percent, and aggravated assaults by 7 percent, with declines continuing in subsequent years (Lott explains the latter fact by the gradually increasing numbers of individuals obtaining permits).
Nota - Posizione 311
c
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 313
Increased availability of guns to citizens, including the ability to carry concealed weapons, increases the risks to would-be criminals of experiencing undesired consequences as a result of attempting a violent crime.
Nota - Posizione 314
x LA TEORIA IN LINEA CON I DATI È DI BUON SENSO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 317
the theory is more plausible than that offered by gun control supporters. Gun control laws tend to influence the behavior of would-be crime victims much more than the behavior of criminals. Those who are willing to commit violent felonies are much more likely than the average citizen to be willing to commit misdemeanors such as carrying a concealed weapon without a permit.
Nota - Posizione 319
x LA TEORIA PIÙ PLAUSIBILE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 331
5.3. Why a Gun Ban Must Have Much Greater Benefits than Harms to Be Justified
Nota - Posizione 332
T
Segnalibro - Posizione 332
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 334
1. It is wrong to murder a person, even to prevent several other killings. (premise) 2. A violation of a person or group’s right of self-defense, predictably resulting in the death of one of the victims, is morally comparable to murder. (premise) 3. If it is wrong to commit a murder to prevent several killings, then it is wrong to commit a rights-violation comparable to murder to prevent several killings. 4. Therefore, it is wrong to violate a person or group’s right of self-defense, predictably resulting in the death of one of the victims, even to prevent several killings. (from 1, 2, 3) 5. Therefore, it is wrong to violate a group of people’s right of self-defense, predictably resulting in the deaths of many of the victims, even to prevent several times as many killings. (from 4) 6. Gun prohibition would violate a group of people’s right of self-defense, predictably resulting in the deaths of many of the victims. (premise) 7. Therefore, gun prohibition is wrong, even if it would prevent several times as many killings as it contributed to. (from 5, 6)
Nota - Posizione 344
x QUANTE VITE DOBBIAMO SALVARE PER PROIBIRE? MOLTE MOLTISSIME
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 374
6. Replies to objections
Nota - Posizione 374
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 374
Objection #1
Nota - Posizione 374
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 375
in some cases, it is permissible to violate one person’s rights to prevent a comparable harm to a few other people, as in the infamous “trolley car problem”:
Nota - Posizione 376
x PREMESSA 1 E TROLLEY
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 388
Those who believe that it is generally worse to punish an innocent person than to let several guilty people go free should consider that principle in the light of this example.
Nota - Posizione 389
x LO STANDARD GIUDIZIARIO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 425
Objection #2
Nota - Posizione 425
T
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 426
Perhaps an argument can be made, based on principles similar to those I have used, that the sale of guns is morally wrong. A company that sells many guns can be more or less certain that some of the guns it sells will be used to commit crimes.
Nota - Posizione 427
x ACCUSE AL VENDITORE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 431
Seller Responsibility applies in some cases. If I sell a gun to a customer who I know plans to use it to commit a murder, then I am partly responsible for the subsequent murder. If there is merely a high probability that the buyer plans to commit a murder, then I have still acted wrongly, though not as wrongly as in the first case. Likewise, if I run a gun store and I market my guns specifically to criminals, then I am partly responsible for any resulting crimes.
Nota - Posizione 434
x GRADI DI COINVOLGIMENTO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 435
we cannot accept Seller Responsibility without qualification.
Nota - Posizione 435
x CONC
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 437
I propose, therefore, a restricted Seller Reponsibility principle which holds that a seller is responsible for the criminal use of his product only if (i) the product has no morally legitimate uses, (ii) on the information available to the seller, there is a substantial probability, in an individual sale, that the buyer intends to use the product in a morally objectionable manner, or (iii) the seller willfully or negligently fails to take reasonable steps to reduce the chances of selling to criminal users.
Nota - Posizione 441
x SOLUZIONE PROP
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 443
Objection #3
Nota - Posizione 443
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 443
Some object that strong gun rights positions imply the existence of a right to own all sorts of weapons.
Nota - Posizione 444
x OB DEL PIANO INCLINATO
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 445
nuclear missile,
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 445
While my premises may support some prima facie right to own all manner of weapons, from machine guns to nuclear missiles, the arguments of §4 do not imply that all such prima facie rights are equally weighty, nor do those of §5 imply that the reasons for overriding all such prima facie rights are of equal strength. Based on empirical evidence discussed above, firearms, particularly handguns, are the most effective means of self-defense against violent criminals, while both handguns and rifles are commonly used for recreational purposes. It would be, to say the least, difficult to make a case for the importance of nuclear missiles for either recreational or self-defense purposes,
Nota - Posizione 447
x INTERVIENE L OVERIDING
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 451
7. Extensions of the argument
Nota - Posizione 451
t
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 453
First, many support a ban on all handguns. Second, many states either prohibit or place severe restrictions on the carrying of concealed weapons in public places.
Nota - Posizione 454
x MISURE INTERMEDIE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 454
I think that these measures are also serious rights-violations, though not as serious as a complete gun ban.
Nota - Posizione 455
x POSIZIONE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 458
almost no one in our society would carry a gun for self-protection unless they were able to carry it concealed. Almost no one would carry any kind of gun other than a handgun for self-protection. So laws that prevent law-abiding citizens from carrying concealed weapons, or from owning handguns at all, effectively eliminate self-defense uses of guns outside the home, to the extent that the laws are obeyed.
Nota - Posizione 461
x POSIZIONE
Evidenzia (giallo) - Posizione 462
All mentally competent, noncriminal adults should therefore be allowed to own and carry concealed handguns.
Nota - Posizione 463
x CONCL

Calma e gesso

Viviamo nella società dell'ignoranza e cerchiamo  di gestirla come i dottori medievali gestivano i loro malcapitati pazienti, con salamandre e decotti.
Questa almeno l'opinione da cui parte Mike Huemer nel suo "In Praise of Passivity"...
... Voters, activists, and political leaders of the present day are in the position of medieval doctors. They hold simple, prescientific theories about the workings of society and the causes of social problems, from which they derive a variety of remedies– almost all of which prove either ineffectual or harmful. Society is a complex mechanism whose repair, if possible at all, would require a precise and detailed understanding of a kind that no one today possesses...
Chi vuole agire per porre un rimedio si fermi a riflettere. Anzi, meglio ancora se si ferma e basta...
... the wisest course for political agents is often simply to stop trying to solve society’s problems...
Ma cosa non conosciamo esattamente? La politica e le sue leggi, per esempio.
Esempi di ignoranza proverbiale...
... Michael Delli Carpini and Scott Keeter give the flavor of public political knowledge in America: The most commonly known fact about George [H.W.] Bush’s opinions while he was president was that he hated broccoli. During the 1992 presidential campaign 89 percent of the public knew that Vice President Quayle was feuding with the television character Murphy Brown, but only 19 percent could characterize Bill Clinton’s record on the environment. Also during that campaign, 86 percent of the public knew that the Bushes’ dog was named Millie, yet only 15 percent knew that both presidential candidates supported the death penalty... International data indicate that Americans’ political knowledge is no more than moderately below average...
Il consenso degli esperti è bellamente ignorato anche quelle poche volte che lo si riscontra...
... Fortunately, in some areas of social theory, one can find a clear, policy-relevant consensus among the experts. Unfortunately, this consensus is often boldly defied by both political leaders and the general public...
Il  caso del "protezionismo"...
... The vast majority of economists– the people whose profession is to study these kinds of things– oppose protectionism and believe that it harms the domestic economy... even left-wing economists such as Paul Krugman, famous for advocating government management of the economy,[ 21] have signed on to this consensus... When experts from opposite sides of the political spectrum converge on a given position, in contradiction to conventional opinion, who is the more likely victim of a cognitive bias: the community of experts, or the uneducated masses?...
Il caso del terrorismo...
... Experts whose careers center on the study of terrorism generally agree that terrorism functions as retaliation for specific government policies, especially for foreign military occupation of territories that the terrorists prize.[... Political leaders in countries subject to terrorist attacks, however, typically blame the attacks on fundamental and irreconcilable clashes of values, on the moral virtue of their own country and the sheer evil of the terrorists... They hate our freedoms: our freedom of religion, our freedom of speech, our freedom to vote and assemble and disagree with each other...
Non che gli esperti abbiano la verità in tasca: sanno ben poco anche loro...
... In light of the ignorance of typical political leaders and members of the general public, we might be tempted by the idea of rule by experts, as in Plato’s Republic.[ 28] [4] Unfortunately, when it comes to descriptive social theory, even the experts’ knowledge is unimpressive, as demonstrated recently by the social psychologist Phillip Tetlock...
Giusto qualcosina in più del profano... più che altro sono bravi a razionalizzare...
... the best experts did only slightly better than chance at predicting outcomes...  What the experts were good at was rationalizing their failures...
Ahimé, la politica è zeppa di questioni non testabili...
... Might it be that experts have highly reliable beliefs about these untestable matters? There is no reason to think so. Typically, if a person proves unreliable whenever you actually test that person’s claims, it is reasonable to assume that that person is also unreliable with regard to the claims you did not test... Thus, experts are probably even less reliable when it comes to these untestable matters...
Senza contare che molte scelte politiche riguardano i valori: quanta eguaglianza perseguire? I disaccordi etici sono inevitabili, chi avrà ragione? Boh...
... There is no generally accepted theory– either among ordinary people or among experts– for any of the central evaluative categories of moral or political philosophy. There is no generally accepted theory of the good, the right, justice, authority, human rights, equality, or liberty...
La tentazione è quella di gridare: io ho ragione, ovvio. Ma "io" non sono un essere speciale...
... We may be tempted to argue that while other people are unreliable about evaluative questions, we ourselves have the correct values... I would suggest that we ought to be very suspicious of any attempt to treat ourselves as special...
Cose che sappiamo...
... I think we know that slavery is unjust, that democracy is superior to dictatorship, that torture is almost always wrong, that free markets work better than communist planning...
Davvero poco considerate le discussioni in cui ci impegniamo di solito.
Discutiamo di problemi a cui eminenti studiosi hanno dedicato la vita. Ma a noi, curiosamente, non interessa quanto avevano da dire costoro...
... People often vociferously defend a policy while having no awareness of the literature on the subject...
Ma come riconoscere la conoscenza?
Ci sono 7  indizi...
... Genuine political knowledge tends to be: 1. Simple... 2. Accepted by experts... 3. Non-ideological... 4. Weak... 5. Specific and concrete... 6. Supported by appropriate evidence... 7. Undefeated by counter-evidence...
Forse il punto decisivo è il quarto: la vera conoscenza della società umana è soggetta a molte eccezioni.
Facciamo un caso in cui si riscontrano i 7 requisiti: "le democrazie sono preferibili alla dittatura"...
... Consider now the claim that democracy is better than dictatorship. This claim fares reasonably well with respect to the above list...
Possiamo dire che questa è “conoscenza”. Ma non andiamo molto lontano con questa conoscenza, a noi interessa ben altro.
Ma perché siamo tanto ignoranti in politica?
Innanzitutto l'ignoranza politica è razionale: informarsi costa tanto e rende poco...
... The benefits of political knowledge are dubious. For the overwhelming majority of individuals, political knowledge makes no practical difference to how their lives go, since the probability of their causing a change in public policy is approximately zero... The costs of political knowledge, however, can be enormous, beginning with the costs in sheer time and effort...
Persino coltivare un’abitudine al razionalismo è costoso: il carico cognitivo sopportabile è limitato, meglio investirlo altrove.
Potremmo riassumere l'argomento in quattro punti...
... 1. People act only when the benefits exceed the costs. 2. The benefits of acquiring political knowledge are minimal. 3. The costs of acquiring political knowledge are substantial. 4. Therefore, people will not acquire political knowledge...
E i politici di professione? Hanno interessi diversi dal bene pubblico...
... politician may have strong motives to discover which positions are popular among voters and campaign contributors. But this is quite a different matter from discovering which policies are truly best...
Non voglio essere pessimista: molta gente è sicuramente ben intenzionata. Ma lo è veramente o vuole solo sentirsi tale per sentirsi in pace con se stessa?...
... most of those who think of themselves as deeply moved by high ideals are not in fact so moved. This may seem a surprising claim...
Come discernere i veri "santi"...
... there is at least one way of distinguishing the desire for X from the desire to perceive oneself as promoting X. This is to observe the subject’s efforts at finding out what promotes X...
È una questione empirica...
... It seems to me that most people who expend a great deal of effort promoting political causes expend very little effort attempting to make sure their beliefs are correct...
I riscontri sono scoraggianti: pochi tra i più impegnati studiano, pochi cambiano idea... chiari indizi che l'ideologia spadroneggia e la santità latita. Noi vogliamo sentirci impegnati per il bene, non lo siamo veramente.
Nessuno studia anche perché la materia è difficile...
... There is another reason why human beings are terrible at figuring out political issues: it is a lot harder to figure things out than it appears...
In un certo senso le scienze sociali sono anche più ostiche delle scienze fisiche, il fatto che non esistano laboratori non significa che la sperimentazione sia bandita ma che deve essere molto più sofisticata.
I secoli passati sono cosparsi dai cadaveri di teorie elaborate nelle scienze che riteniamo più affidabili…
… From ancient Greece through the middle ages, the received view in (what then passed for) science was that the physical world was composed of four elements: earth, air, fire, and water. The received medical theory was that diseases were caused by imbalances among the four bodily fluids, namely, black bile, yellow bile, blood, and phlegm. For instance, a fever was caused by an excess of blood, which therefore needed to be treated by draining the patient’s blood. The 20 ancient and medieval theory of the cosmos located the Earth at the center with the sun and planets orbiting the Earth. The fixed stars were points of light on a large spherical shell encompassing the sun, Earth, and planets….
Cosa dovremmo pensare delle teorie di moda oggi nelle pseudoscienze sociali?
L’attenzione, la cura, l’impegno deve come minimo decuplicarsi!
C'è un altro fatto: il numero di teorie possibili che spiegano un fenomeno è infinito...
... the number of possible theories of any given phenomenon is enormous, if not infinite. Of these, all but one are false. So given just the information that T is a theory, the probability that T is correct is approximately zero....
Conseguenza prevedibile: bias ovunque (specie di conferma)…
… 1. People act only when the benefits exceed the costs. 2. The benefits of acquiring political knowledge are minimal. 3. The costs of acquiring political knowledge are substantial. 4. Therefore, people will not acquire political knowledge…
Non sorprende che la politica sia il paradiso dell’ideologia e della “razionalizzazione”: “pensare male” ci consola e ci costa poco, “pensare bene” ci costa caro e ci deprime…
… We now test hypotheses experimentally, making serious and explicit efforts at falsification. But when it comes to political ideology, no such techniques have been developed…
Nessun laboratorio a disposizione, nessun test, nessun esito fastidioso da razionalizzare…
… questions are difficult to investigate because of the unavailability of controlled experiments. If we want to test whether fiscal stimulus cures recessions, we cannot prepare two identical societies, with identical recessions, and then apply fiscal stimulus in one society but not the other… social phenomena are vastly more complex than the phenomena studied by physicists and chemists…
Le generalizzazioni delle scienze valgono “a parità di condizioni”. Ma in politica le condizioni non sono mai “pari”, cambiano sempre come cambia sempre una nube gassosa…
… Generalizations about human behavior almost always contain “ceteris paribus” clauses. Almost any factor influencing our behavior can be amplified or moderated by numerous other factors. When we move to the behavior of an entire society, matters are only that much more complicated. If there are laws of social evolution, they are no doubt incredibly complex… But as Tetlock found, this rarely happens; most experts prefer to explain away their errors in ways that preserve the experts’ theoretical beliefs…
Ma non lasciamoci sedurre dallo scetticismo assoluto: non siamo completamente ignoranti…
… Fortunately, however, we are not completely ignorant, and we can derive some plausible recommendations for political agents…
Traiamo allora alcune conseguenze pratiche dalle considerazioni svolte.
Primo, meglio non votare.
Analogia…
… Imagine that someone asks you for directions to a local restaurant. If you have no idea where the restaurant is, you should not make it up. You should not tell the person some guess that seems sort of plausible to you. You should tell them you don’t know and let them get directions from someone more knowledgeable… Ignorant voting is even worse than ignorant giving of directions, because voting is an exercise of political power (albeit a very small one)– to vote for a policy is not only to make a recommendation, but to request that the policy be imposed on others by force…
Si potrebbe imporre all’elettore lo studio e la razionalità, ma sarebbe una forma di schiavismo vista la mole di studi e di sforzo cognitivo richiesto…
… One might suggest that citizens have an obligation to become informed, and then vote. But becoming sufficiently informed to know who is the best candidate in a given election is typically extremely difficult…
Seconda conseguenza pratica: trascurare i problemi sociali.
Analogia della droga
… Consider for example the problem of recreational drug use, which leads to health problems, addiction, and general deterioration of the lives of drug users and their families. Perhaps there is something government could do to solve the problem. But given the ignorance of political leaders, activists, and the public, a government attempt to solve the problem is unlikely to succeed…
Obiezione: ma se qualcosina so, qualcosina posso fare… magari poco ma qualcosina…
… one might think that, if we were completely ignorant, our policies would be as likely to increase as to reduce the problem; but as long as we have some relevant knowledge and understanding, and we are aiming at a reduction in the problem, we should be at least slightly more likely to alleviate the problem than to exacerbate it….
Sbagliato per almeno quattro ragioni. Innanzitutto, intervenire produce già dei costi certi a terzi (esempio proibizioni) a fronte di benefici incertissimi…
… First, any government policy that imposes requirements or prohibitions on citizens automatically has certain costs. One cost is the reduction of citizens’ freedom…
Ci sono poi i costi delle punizioni inflitte…
… suffering on the part of those who violate the law and are subsequently punished by the legal system…
C’è il costo della burocrazia necessaria da mettere in piedi…
… the monetary cost involved in implementing the policy…
C’è poi una questione morale: se per te vale il principio “liberty first” non ha senso agire di fronte a tanta incertezza e tanta ignoranza…
… moral presumption against coercive interventions…
L’omissione ci rende meno colpevoli da un punto di vista etico…
… when the state actively intervenes in society– for example, by issuing commands and coercively harming those who disobey its commands– the state then becomes responsible for any resulting harms, in a way that the state would not be responsible for harms that it merely (through lack of knowledge) fails to prevent…
Ma l’argomento più forte è l’ultimo: la possibilità di produrre danni è sempre preponderante.
Se turbo un ordine naturale complesso e non lo faccio dominando tutte le variabili in gioco, avrò degli scompensi, anche se magari la mia conoscenza di quel sistema è molto avanzata. Conoscere poco non serve perché non serve nemmeno conoscere molto: bisogna conoscere tutto quando si toccano sistemi complessi…
… Fourth and finally, a policy made under conditions of extreme ignorance is not equally likely to be beneficial as harmful; it is much more likely to be harmful…
Torniamo ai medici medievali, ma anche a quelli che curarono il povero George Washington per comprendere meglio l’idea di fondo…
… It is here that we must recall the case of George Washington. Washington’s doctors, ignorant of the germ theory of disease and lacking in antibiotics, had no chance of curing Washington’s infection. The human body is a complex mechanism with parts that work together in specific ways. Nearly all things one might add to or take away from the body, and nearly all ways in which one might rearrange the parts of the body, will interfere with that mechanism. Indeed, almost all large changes in the body are fatal. Thus, given their state of ignorance, almost any treatment the former President’s doctors prescribed could be expected to be harmful. Society can be viewed as a vast mechanism, whose parts (individual human beings), like the parts of an organism, work together in extremely complex ways…
Non è questo un invito all’inazione, molte soluzioni registrano un consenso e debbono essere implementate…
… I am not arguing that states should never intervene in society. Some interventions are clearly justified. For instance, prohibitions on murdertheft, and assault are justified. What differentiates these from, say, a prohibition on recreational drug use? A number of differences might be cited, 10 but what is most relevant to this paper is the difference in the state of our knowledge with respect to these prohibitions. We know that prohibitions on murder are beneficial– there are no real counter-arguments to the claim, and all experts agree…
Il non-intervento prudenziale non è un dogma quanto un modo per attribuire l’onere della prova
… Rather than recommending universal non-intervention, I am advocating a strong burden of proof for those who advocate legal demands or prohibitions…
Ora sappiamo come trattare i casi dubbi di intervento: alcuni esempi…
… The same lesson applies to many other controversial issues, such as gun control, fiscal stimulus, the minimum wage, immigration, and so on…
Altra raccomandazione pratica: indebolire la democrazia.
Qual è il difetto delle democrazie? possono  sempre “agire” anche in assenza  senza un consenso diffuso…
… for issues that are controversial or require careful reasoning or specialized knowledge, democracy is about the equivalent of drawing policies out of a hat… When an issue is controversial, the best solution is not to simply take a vote; the best solution is to remove the issue from the political arena…
Una soluzione pratica: super-maggioranze
… It is perhaps infeasible for a Constitution to include prohibitions on all the policies that would be controversial or whose effects would be unknown. A reasonable proxy would be to require large supermajority votes for the passage of any law. For example, a state could be designed in which a 70% vote of the legislature would be required to pass any new law, while a 30% vote would suffice to repeal any existing law…
Altra conseguenza pratica: non lottare mai per cio’ in cui credi.
Qui do’ per scontato che si “lotta” solo per ideali controversi
… Fighting for something, as I understand the term, involves fighting against someone. If one’s goal faces no (human) opposition, then one might be described as working for a cause (for instance, working to reduce tuberculosis, working to feed the poor) but not fighting for it. Thus, one normally fights for a cause only when what one is promoting is controversial…
Lottare per qualcosa di controverso produce molti costi che paghiamo in prima persona e riversiamo su terzi, e in molti casi l’esito è deprecabile… non ne vale la pena…
… Fighting for a cause has significant costs. Typically, one expends a great deal of time and energy, while simultaneously imposing costs on others, particularly those who oppose one’s own political position. This time and energy is very likely to be wasted, since neither side knows the answer to the issue over which they contend… In many cases, the effort is expended in bringing about a policy that turns out to be harmful or unjust…
Un caso esemplare…
… Thus, suppose you are deciding between donating time or money to Moveon.org (a left-wing political advocacy group), and donating time or money to the Against Malaria Foundation (a charity that fights malaria in the developing world). For those concerned about human welfare, the choice should be clear. Donations to Moveon.org may or may not affect public policy, and if they do, the effect may be either good or bad– that is a matter for debate. But donations to Against Malaria definitely save lives. No one disputes that…
Scegliete allora solo cause non controverse e dedicatevi a quelle, sono più che sufficienti per assorbire tutte le vostre energie.
***
Rolf Dobelli spiega bene i bias dell’iper-reazione parlando di calcio
…I calciatori che devono tirare un rigore calciano per un terzo nel mezzo, per un terzo a sinistra e per un altro terzo a destra. E i portieri che fanno? Nel 50 per cento dei casi si buttano a sinistra, e nel restante 50 a destra. Ma in pochissimi casi rimangono fermi nel mezzo, anche se un terzo delle palle finisce proprio lì. Perché? Perché sembra loro preferibile e meno doloroso buttarsi dalla parte sbagliata invece di rimanere fermi come scemi e vedere sfrecciare la palla a sinistra o a destra. Questo comportamento si chiama action bias (traducibile con iperattività): agire anche quando non serve…
L’action bias è più forte nelle situazioni nuove o poco chiare…
…Quindi: nelle situazioni incerte sentiamo il bisogno di fare qualcosa, qualunque cosa, poco importa se serve o meno. Ci fa sentire meglio, a prescindere dal fatto che la situazione sia migliorata. Spesso non lo è…
Chiudo citando Pascal
… «La più grande sventura dell’umanità consiste nel fatto di non essere in grado di restarsene tranquilli nella propria stanza»…

COMMENTO PERSONALE
La preghiera è il modo migliore per coltivare una sana e razionale abitudine alla passività, per tenere a bada cioè lo sciagurato istinto di reagire in modo eccessivo (overeaction) quando capita qualcosa di spiacevole. I terroristi compiono un attentato? Prega, prega per almeno una settimana e invita i politici a farlo. La crisi economica colpisce duro? Prega, prega a lungo e invita i politici a farlo. Si scatena il terremoto o l’alluvione? Limitati all’emergenza, dopodiché prega a lungo invitando i politici a fare altrettanto. Pregare a lungo ci impedisce di agire, l’attività interiore genera passività esteriore, e quindi anche un mondo migliore. I motivi sono finalmente ben spiegati nel saggio di Huemer.
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