venerdì 5 febbraio 2016

The Folly of Fools: The Logic of Deceit and Self-Deception in Human Life Robert Trivers - Religione ch 12

The Folly of Fools: The Logic of Deceit and Self-Deception in Human Life Robert Trivers - Religione ch 12

  • CHAPTER 12 Religion and Self-Deception
  • Dawkins. Some people think of religion itself as complete self-deception, all of it nonsense on its face, counterfactual, and in the extreme having nothing but negative side effects.
  • Critica a D.: but these people have no theory for how this malady could have spread so far... What some have is a metaphor. Religion is a viral meme; that is, it is not an actual virus, which can easily bring a population to its knees, but rather it is merely a thought system... This is not a very impressive foundation for an evolutionary theory of religion,
  • First we need to separate the truth value of religious statements from the possible benefits of believing in them,
  • Il credente e il meta ateo convivono. there is often an internal struggle within religions between general truth and personal or group falsehood. That is, the essence of religion is neither self-deception nor deep truth, but a mixture of the two,
  • Esempio do beneficio. Religions tend to increase within-religion cooperation at the cost of lowered cooperation with outsiders. Often this involves a false historical narrative
  • COOPERATION WITHIN THE GROUP
  • the double-edged sword of religion, inside and outside: a religion urges its own members to treat each neighbor as they would treat themselves, yet also to slaughter every nonbeliever and outsider, as is ordered in the good book, for group after group, down to every last man, woman, and child.
  • Dio ti vede: comportati bene. In some religions, people imagine that God is watching and evaluating their every action.
  • One study shows that even a pair of eyelike objects on a small part of a computer screen can unconsciously increase cooperative behavior in an anonymous economic game.
  • Sopravvivenza delle comunità. One interesting fact on the effect of religion on cooperation emerges from comparing small religious organizations—“sects”—with small nonreligious communes. There is a striking tendency for the religious to outlast the secular... So religion provides some kind of social glue that makes organizations based on them more likely to endure
  • Strategie pastorali. Another interesting difference between the two kinds of communes is that the more costly the requirements imposed on group members in a commune (regarding food, tobacco, clothing, hairstyle, sex, communication with outsiders, fasts, and mutual criticism), the longer the survival of a religious commune... Spiegazione: greater cost needs to be rationalized, leading to greater self-deception, in this case in the direction of group identity and solidarity.
  • RELIGION: A RECIPE FOR SELF-DECEPTION
  • A Unified, Privileged View of the Universe for Your Own Group
  • I prescelti. Either you are the founding people and all others degenerate dogs, or else yours are the “chosen people”either by ethnicity (Jewish)
  • There May Be a Series of Interconnected Phantasmagorical Things
  • Once you have signed on to a few of these notions, there are hardly any boundaries left, and very small details can turn out to be critical features of dogma.
  • IMHO: sul punto vedi Plantinga vs Swinburne
  • RELIGION AND HEALTH
  • Religious behavior and practice appear to be positively correlated with health, a well-established fact with dozens of careful studies in support,
  • tendency of religions to establish rules related to health: avoid tobacco and alcohol, pork, top predators such as sharks and lions (which tend to concentrate toxins as they move up the food chain), and generally risky or unwise behavior,
  • Some effects may come from the benefits of positive belief itself—for example, on immune function—as well as benefits that flow from being a member of a mutually supporting group,
  • The exalting, positive music of so many religions is probably on the high end for positive immune
  • Even confessing sins to God and disclosing trauma may have beneficial immune effects.
  • One benefit of religion is that it does provide a framework for understanding and acting within our world, a framework we might expect to provide some psychological and mental benefits.
  • Benefici alla corteccia cetebrale. It was as if religion was providing them a buffer against error.
  • PARASITES AND RELIGIOUS DIVERSITY
  • Religions have repeatedly split into subreligions that are sometimes at one another’s throats.
  • Recent work suggests that parasites and, in particular, parasite load may drive religions to split... The argument goes as follows: Where parasite load is low, an in-group and out-group member may be almost equivalent where risk of transmitting a new infection is concerned, namely, low. But where parasite load is high, an asymmetry emerges. An in-group member will in general have been exposed to the same set of parasites as the other members and will carry some of the same genes that give at least partial resistance to many of these parasites...From the standpoint of each group, the other is a threat
  • What is the evidence? Two broad factors are of interest: religious and linguistic diversity. That is, how many languages and religions coexist per unit area? With high parasite load, we expect many of each, since splitting into smaller groups facilitates language formation.
  • Il freddo ci rende omogenei. Canada and Brazil are roughly the same size, yet Canada has 15 religions and Brazil, 159. Canada is located in the far north, where parasite load is low;
  • Processo. Presumably, no one is saying, “Look, worm density has increased alarmingly in ourselves in this area for the past ten years. Perhaps it would be wise for us to be more focused on in-group interactions, including mating. Let’s up our racism level.”Instead, as I imagine it, religion provides substitute logics with similar.
  • WHY THE BIAS AGAINST WOMEN?
  • Contro l'argomento prevedente: molti parassiti sino favoriti dalla riproduzione intra druppo. We know that sexual reproduction—and the recombination it promotes—is strongly associated with evolutionary protection from coevolving parasites.
  • Consider greater sexual promiscuity, or diversity of mating partners, well known to be higher in both birds and humans in the tropics, and presumed to represent an adaptive response to parasite load by increasing genetic quality of offspring.
  • Tradimento. women would benefit more from such activity (improved genetic quality of their offspring) and thus provoke greater male countermoves, the kind of behavior we described so vividly in Chapter 5: mutilation, beating, terror, and murder?
  • L'obbligo di castità. There are very few genetic dynasties in the Catholic Church (contrast North Korea, Syria, Egypt, Jordan, India, Haiti, and the United States), so the Church is likely to be corrupt but not nepotistically so.
  • Bioetica cattolica. The Catholic Church outlaws all control by a woman over her own reproduction short of abstinence from sex at the very moment that she is most eager for it. She is not allowed to prevent conception if copulation occurs, and she is not allowed to terminate a pregnancy, however induced (rape and incest included). This appears to be a simple strategy for maximizing group reproduction.
  • POWER CORRUPTS
  • the powerful are less attentive to others, see the world less from their standpoint, and feel less empathy for them.
  • Dimmi con chi vai e ti dirò che dottrina hai. The religious effects are that humility, fairness, forgiveness, and neighborly love are more apt to be virtues preached among the powerless.
  • Religioni di minoranza. Islam’s more peaceful injunctions came when it was an oppressed minority, its more assertive when it reemerged with military power.
  • monotheistic religions: with state power comes a new source of bias.
  • Pope Paul XXIII and Vatican II inspired in the Latin American Church a new “liberation theology”in the 1980s closer to the humble, persecuted church (prior to Constantin), the time when Jesus’s teachings were actually written down.
  • RELIGIONS IMPOSE MATING SYSTEMS
  • Religions tend to impose their own mating systems, and these in turn affect degrees of relatedness within and between religions.
  • inbreeding has well-known effects. Products of inbreeding show less internal variability than do products of outbreeding. This genetic similarity can have two detrimental effects. On the one hand, relatively rare negative traits that require two copies of the same gene for expression (for example, sickle-cell anemia, Tay-Sachs disease) become more common. On the other, greater genetic variability has well-known benefits in defending against rapidly coevolving diseases,
  • Mitigare gli effetti dell' in breeding. The second form of in-migration is simple conversion (initially unconnected to marriage), and religions differ in their rules regarding this. Thus, Christianity has usually been a proselytizing religion,
  • RELIGION PREACHES AGAINST SELF-DECEPTION
  • It is often argued that self-deception interferes with one’s ability to know not only oneself and others but also God herself.
  • Regola aurea come tegola gnoseologica. If you are told to treat others as you wish to be treated, then you have a rule, which, if actually followed, would counter much of your unconscious self-deceptive tendencies.
  • Religions also preach explicitly against self-deception. Consider Jesus’s famous teachings about not judging others (Matthew 7:1–5):
  • Pagliuzze. Why do you see the minor fault in your neighbor but fail to see the major one in yourself?
  • Another argument against the speed—and injustice—with which we judge others comes from the case where Jesus is presented with a woman about to be stoned to death for committing adultery. His reaction? “Let he who is without sin cast the first stone.”
  • one that is opposed to the in-group/out-group bias. In the parable of the Good Samaritan
  • Padre nostro
  • 1 assertion of humility: “hallowed be thy name” and “thy will be done.”
  • 2 you may ask that your own sins be forgiven but only insofar as you forgive those of others. This is critical: no blanket amnesty. You must give to get; you must forgive to be forgiven. This binds you to a psychological
  • 3 ask not to be led into temptation—really an injunction against allowing yourself to be tempted—and to be protected from all evil (self-induced included).
  • Salmo. hard to imagine looking God straight in the face and lying—to
  • Islam. the jihad against oneself, called the greater jihad... This is a personal struggle that requires controlling your bodily desires (for money, pleasure, satisfaction) in order to purify your soul. These desires occlude self-knowledge, in our system of logic, by encouraging self-deception.
  • Greek sage Thales once put the general matter succinctly. “Oh master,”he was asked, “what is the most difficult thing to do?”“To know thyself,”he replied. “And the easiest?”“To give advice to others.”
  • Eastern religions also sometimes urge rather extreme systems of physical self-denial
  • INTERCESSORY PRAYER—DOES IT WORK?
  • Then came a multimillion-dollar study, carefully organized with six hospitals in which groups prayed for given patients from the day before they entered surgery until two weeks later, while another group of patients received no such prayer. Meanwhile, some of those being prayed for were told that they were being prayed... no effect whatsoever of intercessory prayer on the outcome... One hypothesis is that when told people are praying for you, you interpret your situation as being more dire than it really is, with associated stress.
  • IMHO. Per ina confutazione vedi Swinburne sullo studio Benson
  • RELIGION AND SUPPORT FOR SUICIDE ATTACKS
  • Religion has an external, social aspect and an internal, contemplative one. Across a variety of suicidal conditions (Palestinian surveys, a hostile prime for Israeli settlers), religious attendance (the social aspect) is positively correlated with support for suicide bombings, but prayer (the contemplative) is not.
  • RELIGION → SELF-RIGHTEOUSNESS → WARFARE
  • Religions tend to contribute to war in several ways. They encourage an in-group mentality,
  • But there is one final gift of many religions: self-righteousness.
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RESPONSE TO PLANTINGA’S ARGUMENT FROM “DWINDLING PROBABILITIES di Richard Swinburne

RESPONSE TO PLANTINGA’S ARGUMENT FROM “DWINDLING PROBABILITIES

  • La contestazione a S. : Plantinga claims correctly, we need first bare natural theology to argue for the existence of God (T) on the basis of all our background knowledge (K). Then, as Plantinga represents my style of argument, we must consider the probability, given (T& K), that (A) “God would make some kind of revelation …to humankind”–P( A/ T& K)... (B), “Jesus’s teachings were such that they could be sensibly interpreted and extrapolated to G”... (C) “Jesus rose from the dead”... (D) “In raising Jesus from the dead, God endorsed his teachings”... (E), “Jesus founded a church
  • Conseguenza. So call the probability that God endorsed the extrapolation of Jesus’s teachings in this way, given the previous evidence, P( E/ K& T& A& B& C& D). But to get the probability that G is true by this route on the only evidence we have (K), it is necessary to multiply these probabilities together
  • Esito: At each stage of multiplication, there will be a diminution of probability. Each individual... So the attempt to establish G by historical argument cannot give it a very high probability, not at all the kind of probability we need if we are “to know the great truths of the
  • Precisazione. Now, strictly speaking –as Plantinga acknowledges, but takes no further –P( G/ K) is the sum of the probabilities of the different routes to it. G might be true without some of these intermediate propositions being true.
  • Esempio. Maybe for example, in raising Jesus from the dead, God was not endorsing his teaching –so not-D; but God was endorsing only the teaching of the church which Jesus founded,
  • Regola generale. The more you say, the more you are likely to make a mistake. Yet G may be true without some of these conjuncts being true.
  • 2 repliche.
  • 1 the argument from dwindling probabilities applies, in so far as it does apply, not only to theological arguments, but to any argument of some length in history or science... consider a single page of a serious work of history, about the life of Julius Caesar for example, containing many propositions.
  • 2. My second point against the significance of “dwindling probabilities”is to note that the “dwindling”arises from the fact that in Plantinga’s discussion he supposes that all the evidence is put on the table at the beginning... Ma: as we add each conjunct to the hypothesis, we also add a new piece of evidence . In this way the probability may increase, not decrease.
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Response to a Statistical Study of the Effect of Petitionary Prayer di Richard Swinburne

Response to a Statistical Study of the Effect of Petitionary Prayer di Richard Swinburne

  • Di cosa parliamo. [A large-scale statistical study purporting to show whether petitionary prayer for recovery from illness has any effect, the ‘Benson study’ was published in April 2006.
  • Descrizione. groups.One patient group received intercessory prayer (for an uncomplicated recovery) after being informed that they may or may not receive prayer; one patient group did not receive prayer after being so informed; and one patient group received prayer after being informed that they would receive prayer. Individuals were prayed for by their first names only, and their identity was not known to those praying.
  • Esito. Compications occurred to 52 per cent of the first patient group, to 51 per cent of the second group, and to 59 per cent of the third
  • Teodicea. Although they are intrinsically bad states, pain and disability often serve good purposes for the sufferer and for others.My suffering provides me with the opportunity to show courage and patience.
  • when we pray for another person, God knows far better than we do whether it will be best for that person and others affected by him,
  • secular orientation of the prayer used by those praying in the Benson study 'for a successful surgery with a quick, healthy recovery and no complications'!
  • Fallimenti evcellenti. After all, Christians believe that the salvation of the world was brought about partly by God's failure to answer the prayer of his Son in the Garden of Gethsemane,
  • sometimes, perhaps often, it is equally good that what we should pray for should occur as it should not occur; and that God wants to interact with us by answering our requests, so long as we ask for a right reason.
  • Il sentimento della preghiera. One right reason is that he prays for a particular sufferer out of love and compassion for that sufferer. In the Benson prayer study, the people praying were NOT praying out of love and compassion for the particular sufferer for whom they were praying- they did not even know who that sufferer was.
  • They were praying in order to test a scientific hypothesis. Why should a good God pay any attention to these prayers?
  • Analogia. Suppose that I am a rich man who sometimes gives sums of money to worthy causes. I receive many letters asking me to give such gifts. Some foundation wants to know if there is any point in people writing such letters to me - do they make any difference to whether I give money to this cause or that? I realise that on this occasion, unlike on other occasions, the letter writers have no deep concern for the causes for which they write. So of course on this occasion I pay no attention to the letters.
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giovedì 4 febbraio 2016

Ingegneri ed economisti

Engineers and economists, creators of the modern world. Without either you are in the Stone Age. Add engineers and you get up to North Korea, with its 300 meter high skyscrapers and its atomic bombs (and starving people.) Add engineers and economists and you get to South Korea. 

HL ITALIANO HOME ECONOMICS The Consequences of Changing Family Structure Nick Schulz

HOME ECONOMICS The Consequences of Changing Family Structure Nick Schulz

  • a volte riesci a dire io solo se hai una famiglia o x la tua famiglia... ciò rende chiaro xchè famiglia ed economia (la scienza dell individualismo metodologico) siano tanto legate
  • solidità dell unione coniugale e solidità dell unione nazionale. xchè oggi attribuiamo una differenza tanto marcata alle due cose?
  • pochi matrimoni molti divorzi
  • tesi: la solidità familiare incide sull economia...
  • di solito si evita l argomento x nn infilarsi nel tunnel delle guerre culturali... si liquida dicendo che si tratta di scelte xsonali
  • es. sensibilità al rischio e nascita fuori dal matrimonio
  • ..........
  • something important was often missing from the broader public discussion of economics and economic outcomes: the effects of enormous changes to the structure of American family life
  • Un caso: the creasing frequency of out-of-wedlock birth
  • Tesi: while intact families have always been economically significant, I will argue that they may be more important than ever.
  • Una distinzione impossibile. Like many people who think about the economy, I considered the debates over family structure a cultural issue distinct from economic issues. But over time this bifurcated view became untenable.
  • Un esempio. It became difficult to discuss depressed wages for low-skilled workers without also bringing out-of-wedlock birth rates among lower-class
  • rates of entrepreneurial risk-taking among those raised in intact families
  • L'equivoco: discussing these issues exclusively in moral terms is part of what has turned many people off from wanting to discuss the centrality of family structure. Great numbers of people simply want to avoid awkward talk of what are seen as primarily personal issues
  • Il problema della famiglia. inextricably tied up with the country’s often bitter politics of race, feminism, and sexual politics.
  • La tipica reazione femminista a qs preoccupazioni: “restore the patriarchy to a perceived ’50s-era heyday
  • ......1 WHAT DO WE KNOW ABOUT CHANGING FAMILY STRUCTURE?...
  • quanti cittadini di oggi sono cresciuti in una solida famiglia?
  • il matrimonio è ancora forte tra le elites ma arretra presso i meno abbienti e i meno educati
  • matrimoni... divorzi... nati fuori dal matrimonio
  • In 2011, for the first time, fewer than 50 percent of households were made up of married couples.
  • unmarried couples, childless households and single-person households are growing
  • GOING TO THE CHAPEL?
  • marriage is still quite strong in affluent American precincts, but there has been tremendous erosion as one moves down the income and education scale.
  • While just 6 percent of children born to college-educated American mothers are born out of wedlock, the percentage for mothers with no more than a high school education is 44 percent
  • DIVORCE
  • Un disastro economico. But one reason for the decreasing numbers of children affected by divorce—the most important from our Home Ec standpoint—is the increase in out-of-wedlock births.
  • the decline of religiosity has likely corresponded to a weakening in the family
  • 3  THE ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF CHANGING FAMILY STRUCTURE
  • After all, there are many examples of children who grew up with a single parent but went on to be successful and live normal
  • Whatever anecdotes we may find, broader trends show that most of the consequences of unstable home life are negative.
  • Esperti della bancarotta familiare. Ron Haskins and Isabel Sawhill are two scholars at the Brookings Institution
  • Un libro. Sara McLanahan and Gary Sandefur: Growing Up with a Single Parent:
  • David Ellwood and Christopher Jencks put it, From an economic perspective, the most troubling feature of family change has been the spread of single motherhood.
  • HUMAN AND SOCIAL CAPITAL
  • Becker e Coleman.
  • Much crucial human capital is developed when people are young and throughout their adolescence.
  • The family is among the most important institutions for developing human and social capital. The social critic Christopher Lasch vividly describes how the family functions
  • “The union of love and discipline in the same persons. Parents first embody love and power,
  • Human and social capital—including a person’s character, which is shaped by the family—constitutes a crucial part of the skill
  • THE IMPORTANCE OF NONCOGNITIVE SKILLS
  • James Heckman has spent many years studying the importance to economic success of skills, including noncognitive skills. “Families are major producers of skills,” Heckman says.
  • These include the ability to play fairly with others, to delay gratification, to control emotions, to develop and maintain networks of friends and acquaintances, and much more.
  • Inequality in skills and schools is strongly linked to inequality in family environments
  • It is increasingly clear that some noncognitive skills, such as self-control, are not entirely genetic, inborn, or innate
  • Plasticità della volontà. Roy Baumeister and science writer John Tierney
  • ECONOMIC MOBILITY
  • Thomas DeLeire and Leonard Lopoo: the first study . . . that examines how family structure is associated with the income of children when they reach adulthood, separating out the potential influence of parental income. found that “it is not true that parents’ income alone enables children to succeed
  • THE FAMILY AND THE POOR
  • Nicholas Kristof of the New York Times, who has spent years investigating the lives and material conditions of poor people around the world, writes, “Liberals sometimes feel that it is narrow-minded to favor traditional marriage. Over time, my reporting on poverty has led me to disagree: Solid marriages have a huge beneficial impact on the lives of the poor
  • ......4  THE LONG SHADOW OF THE MOYNIHAN REPORT
  • monyhan: il problema è la famiglia... lui parlava dei negri
  • scoperta: + occupazione ma anche + ricorso al welfare... xchè?
  • nemici della diaagnosi: femministe... si accusano le libertà femminili
  • civil right: ci si distrae dal problema di fondo
  • il problema: tolleranza e librrtà xsonale sono valori irrinunciabili ma  che aggravano la situazione della famiglia
  • Heckman has long been an advocate of large state interventions aimed at helping at-risk children. Specifically, he advocates “large investments in early childhood education
  • Ma l'agensa H.  ha subito duri colpi. those who were part of the program still had out-of-wedlock birth rates well over 50 percent.
  • Inoltre: interventions Heckman and others are talking about are invasive.
  • STRENGTHENING INTACT FAMILIES. POLICY
  • For example, one idea is to tax divorce
  • Another idea is to use policy to delay divorce.
  • Leah Ward Sears and William J. Doherty: New research shows that about 40 percent of US couples already well into the divorce process say that one or both of them are interested in the possibility of reconciliation.
  • To address out-of-wedlock birth rates, what about ensuring that Americans, particularly the poor and middle class, have greater access to pregnancy control technologies? Sara McLanahan
  • McLanahan also advocates marriage education and preparation programs that might help strengthen marriages
  • develop family-friendly tax policies, such as expanding child tax credits. IMHO: diminuire la progressività delle aliquote (al fine di non penalizzare le famiglie monoreddito)
  • THE LIMITS OF POLICY
  • David Brooks: “influence of politics and policy is usually swamped by the influence of culture, ethnicity, psychology and a dozen other factors.”
  • 6  HUMAN CAPITAL, SOCIAL CAPITAL, AND CHARACTER
  • How might the government of a free society reshape the core values of its people and still leave them free?
  • one of the chief mechanisms for inculcating that soft capital, the family, has weakened
  • THINKING ABOUT CHARACTER
  • To have good character means at least two things: empathy and self-control.
  • James Q. Wilson said:  We see this when parents insist a child do his homework or practice piano instead of watching television, run with a well-behaved crowd
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Avoid News Towards a Healthy News Diet By Rolf Dobelli

Avoid News Towards a Healthy News Diet By Rolf Dobelli

  • Il problema: We are so well informed and yet we know so little. Why?
  • In the past few decades, the fortunate among us have recognized the hazards of living with an overabundance of food (obesity, diabetes) and have started to shift our diets. But most of us do not yet understand that news is to the mind what sugar is to the body.
  • Un'esperienza personale. I have now gone without news for a year, so I can see, feel and report the effects of this freedom first hand: less disruption, more time, less anxiety, deeper thinking, more insights.
  • No 1 –News misleads us
  • systematically News reports do not represent the real world. Our brains are wired to pay attention to visible, large, scandalous, sensational, shocking,
  • Esempio. Take the following event. A car drives over a bridge, and the bridge collapses. What does the news media focus on? On the car. On the person in the car. Where he came from. Where he planned to go. How he experienced the crash (if he survived). What kind of person he is (was). But –that is all completely irrelevant. What’s relevant? The structural stability of the bridge.
  • Terrorism is overrated. Chronic stress is underrated. •The collapse of Lehman Brothers is overrated. Fiscal irresponsibility is underrated. •Astronauts are overrated. Nurses are underrated. •Britney Spears is overrated. IPCC reports are underrated. •Airplane crashes are overrated. Resistance to antibiotics is underrated.
  • No 2 –News is irrelevant
  • Out of the approximately 10,000 news stories you have read in the last 12 months, name one that –because you consumed it –allowed you to make a better decision
  • At its best, it is entertaining, but it is still irrelevant.
  • Esempio. In 1914, the news story about the assassination in Sarajevo dwarfed all other reports in terms of its global significance.
  • The first Internet browser debuted in 1995. The public birth of this hugely relevant piece of software barely made it into the press despite its vast future impact.
  • No 3 – News limits understanding
  • News organizations pride themselves on correctly reporting the facts, but the facts that they prize are just epiphenomena of deeper causes.
  • Il difetto di ciò che conta. The important stories are non-stories:
  • No evidence exists to indicate that information junkies are better decision makers.
  • No 4 –News is toxic to your body
  • Stress cronico. News constantly triggers the limbic system. Panicky stories spur the release of cascades of glucocordicoid (cortisol). This deregulates your immune system and inhibits the release of growth hormones. 
  • No 5 –News massively increases cognitive errors
  • News feeds the mother of all cognitive errors: confirmation bias. We automatically, systematically filter out evidence that contradicts our preconceptions
  • exacerbates another cognitive error: the story bias. Our brains crave stories that “make sense”– even if they don’t correspond to reality.
  • This reminds me of high school. My history textbook specified seven reasons (not six, not eight) why the French Revolution erupted. The fact is, we don’t know why the French Revolution broke out.
  • No 6 –News inhibits thinking
  • Thinking requires concentration. Concentration requires uninterrupted time. News items are like free-floating radicals that interfere with clear thinking.
  • In a 2001 study1 two scholars in Canada showed that comprehension declines as the number of hyperlinks in a document increase.
  • No 7 –News changes the structure of your brain
  • News works like a drug. As stories develop, we naturally want to know how they continue.
  • The human brain is highly plastic. Nerve cells routinely break old connections and form new ones. When we adapt to a new cultural phenomenon, including the consumption of news, we end up with a different brain. Adaptation to news occurs at a biological level. News reprograms us. Most news consumers –even if they used to be avid book readers –have lost the ability to read and absorb lengthy articles or books.
  • Michael Merzenich (University of California, San Francisco), a pioneer in the field of neuroplasticity: “We are training our brains to pay attention to the crap.”Deep reading is indistinguishable from deep thinking.
  • No 8 – News is costly
  • News taxes productivity three ways:
  • First, count the consumption-time that news demands.
  • Second, tally up the refocusing time – or switching cost.
  • Third, news distracts us even hours after we’ve digested today’s hot items. News stories and images may pop into your mind hours, sometimes days later,
  • No 9 – News sunders the relationship between reputation and achievement
  • Fame is misleading because generally people become famous for reasons that have little relevance to our lives.
  • No 10 – News is produced by journalists
  • My estimate: fewer than 10% of the news stories are original. Less than 1% are truly investigative.
  • No 11 – Reported facts are sometimes wrong,
  • Today, the fact checker is an endangered species at most news companies
  • No 12 – News is manipulative
  • Our evolutionary past has equipped us with a good bullshit detector for face-to-face interactions.
  • Stories are selected or slanted to please advertisers (advertising bias) or the owners of the media (corporate bias), and each media outlet has a tendency to report what everyone else is reporting, and to avoid stories that will offend anyone (mainstream bias).
  • No 13 –News makes us passive
  • News stories are overwhelmingly about things you cannot influence. This sets readers up to have a fatalistic outlook on the world.
  • Una teoria della depressione. Viewed on a timeline, the spread of depression coincides almost perfectly with the growth and maturity of the mass media.
  • 14 –News gives us the illusion of caring
  • “We may want to believe that we are still concerned. We sing “We Are the World”
  • No 15 – News kills creativity
  • Things we already know limit our creativity. This is one reason that mathematicians, novelists, composers and entrepreneurs often produce their most creative works at a young age.
  • Fatti. I don’t know a single truly creative mind who is a news junkie. On the other hand, I know a whole bunch of viciously uncreative minds who consume news like drugs.
  • Policy. What to do instead Go without news. Cut it out completely. Go cold turkey. glance through the summary page of the Economist once a week. Go for magazines that connect the dots
  • Morale. Society needs journalism – but in a different way. Investigative journalism is relevant in any society.
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The Folly of Fools: The Logic of Deceit and Self-Deception in Human Life DI Robert Trivers - La teoria generale

The Folly of Fools: The Logic of Deceit and Self-Deception in Human Life DI Robert Trivers - La teoria generale
  • Programmino: the time is ripe for a general theory of deceit and self-deception based on evolutionary logic,
  • Tesi: We are thoroughgoing liars, even to ourselves. Our most prized possession—language—not only strengthens our ability to lie but greatly extends its range.
  • Scopo: we lie to ourselves the better to lie to others—but
  • Scienza triste: The topic is a negative one. This book is about untruth, about falsehoods, about lies, inward and outward. At times, it is a depressing subject
  • CHAPTER 1 The Evolutionary Logic of Self-Deception
  • Natural selection refers to the fact that in every species, some individuals leave more surviving offspring than do others, so that the genetic traits of the reproductively successful tend to become more frequent over time.
  • reciprocal relations are easily exploited by cheaters, that is, non-reciprocators, so that a sense of fairness may naturally evolve to regulate such relations in a protective manner.
  • At the heart of our mental lives, there seemed to be a striking contradiction—we seek out information and then act to destroy
  • Abbiamo occho d'aquila: together our sensory systems are organized to give us a detailed and accurate view of reality. E menti diaboliche: But once this information arrives in our brains, it is often distorted and biased to our conscious minds.
  • We repress painful memories, create completely false ones, rationalize immoral behavior, act repeatedly to boost positive self-opinion, and show a suite of ego-defense mechanisms.
  • Tesi biologica: Applied more broadly, the general argument is that we deceive ourselves the better to deceive others. the primary function of self-deception is offensive—measured
  • THE EVOLUTION OF SELF-DECEPTION
  • Due teorie concorrenti: biological approach defines “advantage”in terms of survival and reproduction, the psychological approach often defines “advantage”as feeling better,
  • The central claim of this book is that self-deception evolves in the service of deception—the better to fool others. Sometimes it also benefits deception by saving on cognitive load during the act, and at times it also provides an easy defense against accusations of deception (namely, I was unconscious of my actions).
  • Carico cognitivo. That is, the brain can act more efficiently when it is unaware of the ongoing contradiction.
  • Non siamo soli. The dynamics of deception and its detection have been studied in a broad range of other species
  • Una teoria dell'intelligenza. Deceiver and deceived are trapped in a coevolutionary struggle that continually improves adaptations on both sides. One such adaptation is intelligence itself.
  • The classic experiment demonstrating human self-deception shows that we often unconsciously recognize our own voices while consciously failing to do
  • self-deception is often associated with major immune effects,
  • Self-deception is intimately tied to false historical narratives, lies we tell ourselves about our past, usually in the service of self-forgiveness
  • religion, which acts as both an antidote to self-deception and an accelerant
  • Scienze sociali. the more social a discipline, the more its development is retarded by self-deception
  • DECEPTION IS EVERYWHERE
  • When I say that deception occurs at all levels of life, I mean that viruses practice it, as do bacteria, plants, insects, and a wide range of other animals.
  • L' ingenua fiducia dei mercati. It always amazes me to hear some economists say that the costs of deceptive excesses in our economy (including white-collar crime) will naturally be checked by market forces.
  • Disonestà che dirano 50mln di anni. consider the case of stick insects. These forms have existed for at least fifty million years
  • WHAT IS SELF-DECEPTION?
  • Filosofia. Some philosophers have imagined that self-deception is a contradiction in terms,
  • L' invenzione dell'inconscio: This contradiction is easily sidestepped by defining the self as the conscious mind,
  • So the key to defining self-deception is that true information is preferentially excluded from consciousness
  • DETECTING DECEPTION IN HUMANS VIA COGNITIVE LOAD
  • Cosa indaga la macchina della verità
  • Nervousness: is one of the negative consequences of being detected,
  • Control: In response to concern over appearing nervous (or concentrating too hard) people may exert control, trying to suppress behavior, with possible detectable side effects such as overacting,
  • Cognitive load: Lying can be cognitively demanding. This usually takes time and concentration, both of which may give off secondary cues and reduce performance on simultaneous tasks.
  • Prevalenza dell'overeaction. we blink less under increasing cognitive load (for example, while solving arithmetic problems). Recent studies of deception suggest that we blink less when deceiving... Nervousness is almost universally cited as a factor associated with deception, both by those trying to detect it as well as by those trying to avoid it, yet surprisingly enough, it is one of the weaker factors in predicting deception in scientific work.
  • Again, contra usual expectation, people often fidget less in deceptive situations.
  • men use fewer hand gestures while deceiving and both sexes often employ longer pauses when speaking deceptively.
  • there is by no means always a delay prior to lying.
  • Deceivers tend to have higher-pitched voices.
  • Another effect of suppression is the production of displacement activities.
  • the blocked energy easily activates irrelevant behavior
  • Il linguaggio dei bugiardi. We cut down on the use of “I”and “me”and increase other pronouns, as if disowning our
  • Il tuttavia del bugiardo. A truth teller might say, “Although it was raining, I still walked to the office”; a liar would say, “I walked to the office.”
  • Entra in scena l'aitoinganno. If it is cognitively expensive to lie, there is no obvious way to reduce the expense, other than to increase unconscious control.
  • SELF-DECEPTION IS OLDER THAN LANGUAGE
  • .in at least two widespread contexts—aggressive conflict and courtship—selection for deception may easily favor self-deception even when no language is involved.
  • Una teoria deprimente del linguaggio. On the other hand, language certainly greatly expanded the opportunities for deceit and self-deception in our own lineage.
  • Il dovere di ignorare. A very disturbing feature of overconfidence is that it often appears to be poorly associated with knowledge—that is, the more ignorant the individual, the more confident he or she maybe.
  • Un esempio. testimony—witnesses who are more mistaken in eyewitness identification and more confident that they are right, and this in turn has a positive effect on jurors.
  • NINE CATEGORIES OF SELF-DECEPTION
  • Self-Inflation Is the Rule in Life
  • Racconto tipo: the man in San Francisco in 1977 who ran his car into a pole and claimed afterward, as recorded by the police: “The telephone pole was approaching. I was attempting to swerve out of the way, when it struck my front end.”
  • In-Group/Out-Group Associations Among Most Prominent
  • La cosa più semplice è dividere il mondo in gruppi in modo da collocarsi in quello giusto. Just make some wear blue shirts and others red and within a half-hour you will induce in-group and out-group feelings based on shirt color. Once we define an individual as belonging to an out-group, a series of mental operations are induced that, often quite unconsciously, serve to degrade our image
  • Lunguaggio e gruppi. For example, if an out-group member steps on my toes, I am more likely to say, “He is an inconsiderate person,”though with an in-group member I will describe the behavior exactly: “He stepped on my toes.”
  • The Biases of Power
  • Il potere corrompe. When a feeling of power is induced in people, they are less likely to take others’viewpoint and more likely to center their thinking on themselves.
  • Moral Superiority
  • Moral hypocrisy is a deep part of our nature: the tendency to judge others more harshly for the same moral infraction than we judge ourselves—or to do so for members of other groups compared to members of our own group.
  • The Illusion of Control
  • occasionally administering electrical shocks at random creates much more anxiety (profuse sweating, high heart rate) than regular and predictable punishment.
  • But there is also something called an illusion of control, in which we believe we have greater ability to affect outcomes than we actually
  • La forma delle nuvole. It is interesting to note that lacking control increases something called illusory pattern recognition.
  • The Construction of Biased Social Theory
  • We have a theory of our marriages.
  • We each have a theory regarding our employment. Are we an exploited worker, underpaid and underappreciated
  • We usually have a theory regarding our larger society as well. Are the wealthy unfairly increasing their share of resources
  • these kinds of theories presumably evolved not only to help understand the world and to detect cheating and unfairness but also to persuade self and others of false reality, the better to benefit ourselves.
  • False Personal Narratives
  • We were more moral, more attractive, more “beneffective” to others than in fact we were.
  • Gli errori sono sempre lontani. An older self acted badly; a recent self acted better.
  • La grande asimmetria. When people are asked to supply autobiographical accounts of being angered (victim) or angering someone else (perpetrator), a series of sharp differences emerges.
  • There is also something called false internal narratives. An individual’s perception of his or her own ongoing motivation may be biased to conceal from others the true motivation.
  • Unconscious Modules Devoted to Deception
  • Il ladro di penne. I am an unconscious petty thief. I steal small objects from you while in your presence. I steal pens and pencils, lighters and matches, and other useful objects that are easy to pocket. I am completely unconscious of this. In summary, there appears to be a little unconscious module in me devoted to petty thievery, sufficiently isolated to avoid interfering with ongoing activity (such as talking).
  • E il ladro di idee. Stealing ideas will not leave much evidence and is very common in academia. I once wrote a paper that borrowed heavily from a well-known book,
  • THE HALLMARKS OF SELF-DECEPTION
  • Un indizio sicuro: the hallmark of self-deception in the service of deceit is the denial of deception,
continua

mercoledì 3 febbraio 2016

Avoid News di Rolf Dobelli

The Case Against News, Bryan Caplan | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty: "News, I like to say, is the lie that something important happens every day.  "



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News, I like to say, is the lie that something important happens every day


News is irrelevant. Out of the approximately 10,000 news stories you have read in the last 12 months, name one that - because you consumed it - allowed you to make a better decision. one piece of news that substantially increased the quality of your life 


What to do instead. summary page of the Economist once a week. Read magazines and books which explain the world


Pochi inconvenienti. If some bit of information is truly important to your profession, your company, your family or your community, you will hear it in time


I don't know a single truly creative mind who is a news junkie



Are abortion views sexist? By Katja Grace

Are abortion views sexist? By Katja Grace
  • Il giudizio sotto accusa: abortire xchè è femmina è sbagliato abortire xchè nn me la sento è coretto
  • obiezione: ma nessuno odia le donne in quanto tali le si evita x motivi pratici.
  • *****
  • Premessa 1: Abortion isn’t too bad according to half of Americans
  • Premessa 2: Selective abortion of female fetuses, on the other hand, is horrific according to both ends.
  • Conclusione: This is either hypocritical or extremely sexist.
  • Aborting someone because they are female is wrong. Aborting someone because you don’t want to look after them is compassionate. Ma: Gender specific abortions are common for economic and other pragmatic reasons too, not because people hate females especially.
  • The most feasible explanation for this inconsistency then is sexism in favor of females being
continua

How does Facebook make overt self obsession ok? di Katja Grace

How does Facebook make overt self obsession ok? di Katja Grace
  • chi sono i simpatici?
  • xchè parlare tanto di sè è tollerato su facebook?
  • 1 su f non si hanno interlocutori mirati
  • 2 non è segno di dominanza
  • 3 i narcisismo è sdoganato e si raggiungono nuovi eq
  • 4 nell online c è un vuoto che va riempito
  • 5 non disturbi (l altro può saltare) ma dimostri pur sempre di essere una xsonalità ricca. il narcisismo su f. nn è un monopolio
  • ***((*****
  • Fatto: People who talk about themselves a lot are generally disliked. This appears true of most human interaction, but apparently not of that on Facebook.
  • Trucco: it is ok to talk about yourself when asked
  • Altro trucco: Most writing on Facebook isn’t directed at anyone. È come pensare.
  • Altro trucco: The implicit rules on Facebook say that you must talk about yourself.
  • People understand that there is a void to be filled, a blank canvas to be painted.
  • Bragging or showing off a lot online lets the victim escape
continua

Capitale umano

Years of education is terrible measure of human capital. Look at broad-based test scores to get a sense of where a country’s economic future is heading.

Il corpo delle donne nella pubblicità DI Katja Grace e Robin Hanson

Il corpo delle donne nella pubblicità DI Katja Grace e Robin Hanson
  • donna-oggetto: ma cosa significa essere rappresentati come oggetti?
  • ipotesi: oggetto=sfigata
  • l esternalità è grande? nn penso rispetto agli stereo. abbiamo molte informazioni in aggiunta x giudicare il caso concreto in cui ci troviamo
  • il problema nn è il processo di stereotipizzazione ma la caratteristica che decidiamo di stereotipizzare. chi si concentra sulla denuncia degli stereotipi di genere accresce il focus su quella caratteristica
  • es.: quasi tutti i crimini commessi alla tv sono commessi da maschi ma la cosa nn è enfatizzata nè denunciata
  • lo stereotipo della donna oggetto produce esternalità ma è solo una delle mille possibili e chi si fissa su quella peggiora le cose... senza contare il beneficio dell attrice e di chi legge
  • Mmmm
  • Does SI make everyone look like swimsuit models?
  • William Easterly believes Sports Illustrated’s swimsuit issue externalises toward women
  • L'esternalità sotto accusa: young female body type as sex object’.
  • L' uomo tampina di poù? Forse ma...men do not seem on the whole less friendly when hoping for sex.
  • Cosa significa "oggetto"? ‘ipotesi: low status person to have sex with’,
  • La cosa syrana: gli uomini they have masses of much better information about the sexiness and status of women around them.
  • Ancora il solito problema: However as usual, we are focussing on the tiny gender related speck of a much larger issue. Whenever a person has more than one characteristic,
  • Il meccanismo. When we show clowns with big red noses it is an externality to all other people with big red noses.
  • La reazione abituale: we mostly don’t bother keeping track of all the expectations
  • Quando allora si crea lo steteotipo?  the viewers deciding that tallishness is more or less of a worthwhile category to accrue stereotypes about.
  • Il femminismo favorisce il processo. gender aspect of such externalities (and everything else) probably helps draw attention to gender
  • ***hanson risponde a Easterly***
  • violenza e arrapamento aggressivo? nessuna prova empirica e nemmeno teorie solide: 1 le donne reali nn sono così
  • le società con pubblicità stereotipata sesualmente sono anche quelle in cui la donna ha + diritti... qs nn prova che lo stereotipo sia liberante ma che abbia costi bassi sì
  • *******
  • .Easterly doesn’t explain how exactly watching swimsuit models induces disrespect and harassment,
  • few complain about similar effects on women from watching sexy rock stars.
  • the real issue here is status. women who are acting submissive to men, this lowers the status of women
  • Esagerazione: looking at swimsuit pictures violates the “rights of woman”even if the models themselves don’t mind, and no matter what the empirical consequences,
continua

Federalismo e secessione di Gianfranco Miglio e Augusto Barbera


Federalismo e secessione di Gianfranco Miglio e Augusto Barbera
  • Cap 1 federalismo stato moderno e ideologia
  • I due caposaldi del fed: 1 auto goverlo 2 limitazione del potere
  • Miglio: l unità come mito. Schmitt: categoria teologica
  • Indizio di ideologia in chi sostiene "lo stato è sempre esistito
  • Berbera: una riserva: il fed è sempre servito ad unire.
  • Miglio. Le condizioni del centralis o:
  • 1 omogeneità razziale
  • 2 buona tradizione amministrativa
  • 3 predisposizione geografica
  • 4 politiche di breve periodo (populismo)
  • 5 minacce i ternazionali. Il centralismo facilita la guerra
  • 6 economia poco sviluppata: basta copiare x avanzare
  • 7 barbera: voglia di stato sociale universale
  • Miglio. Federalismi falsi (tedesco) e debenerati (usa)
  • Bernard susser: anarco fed. Fed contro lo stato
  • Althusius vs hamilton. Fed contro e fed per unire
  • Fed come tradizione cattolica. Il sofferto tradimento di de gasperi sospinto da pio 12 verso la scelta unitaria
  • Miglio: il comunismo è il regime più coerente con lo stato moderno. Senza la guerra come sopravviverà lo stato?
  • Barbera: sopravvive in quanto garante dello stato sociale universale
  • Cap 2 fed e stato sociale
  • Il pericolo: una parte si organizza x lavorare, l altra per rapinare. Rent seeking. I furbi prosperano con lo stato sociale
  • La carità coatta è un valore x i cattolici?
  • Miglio: la veragiustificazione nn è etica ma utilitarista: pagando chi sta peggio evitiamo la loro aggressività
  • Barbera. Uno stato sociale favorisce la coesione sociale. Stato sociale cugino primo dello stato militare
  • Bismark. Lo stato sociale nasce con lui e mostra di essere una variante del socialismo
  • Ragioni della crisi dello ss: 1 crisi fiscale 2 denatalità 3 sfiducia nell onestà 4 immigrazione
  • Miglio: la riforma e il no profit privato. Scopre nuove forme di carità intelligente valorizzando la conoscenza locale
  • Accordo: il federalismo spinto argina lo stato sociale poichè rende trasparente la sua bolletta. Più centralismo più stato sociale
  • Miglio: la solidarietà tra cantoni deve nascere per libera iniziativa di questi ultimi
  • Costituzione italiana: è implicita la convinzione che lo ss sia un superamento dello stato di diritto. Bisognerebbe limitare il voto di chi gode dei privilegi dello ss
  • Cap3 neo federalismo e neo regionalismo a cfr
  • Il fed autentico: usa delle origini, medioevo, comuni, rep urbane, comunità elvetica e olandese
  • L autorità federale nn ha più potere dei federati
  • Barbera: le realizzazioni hanno tutte virato da quei modelli verso una centralizzazione
  • Miglio: il luogo originario del potere è il cantone che cede volontariamente e nn illimitatamente
  • Miglio: il governo deve essere sempre collegiale: direttorio.
  • Scelta collettiva? Maggioranze qualificate o estrazione tra alternative selezionate
  • Cap 6 diritto di secessione
  • Miglio: se la secessione è espliciramente esclusa allora nn è federalismo. La base consensuale è esclusa
  • Barbera. Le tesi di calhoun furono sconfitte con l appello alla sovranità popolare we alla the people of usa. Il diritto di secessione nn può essere prevista dalla costituzione di uno stato unitario
  • Appello al cielk di locke. La mancanza della sua costituzionalizzazione ha creato troppi morti in passato
  • Dire nn puoi secedere equivale a dire che nn esiste autogoverno
  • Qual è l unità più piccola che può secedere? Coincide con l unità in grado di autogovernarsi in modo parimenti efficiente rispetto allo stato
continua

Does Digital Communication Encourage or Inhibit Spiritual Progress? Diane Winston

Does Digital Communication Encourage or Inhibit Spiritual Progress? Diane Winston
Internet

  • when Sister Catherine Wybourne’s Digitalnun [1] helped form a community of Benedictine nuns [2] in Oxfordshire, England, she knew they could not afford to pursue the order’s mission of hospitality.
  • Wybourne, a former banker who is intrigued by technology, believed a virtual community could express traditional Benedictine hospitality in contemporary form [3].” The sisters launched a website that dispenses spiritual teachings via podcasts and videos, hosts conferences, sponsors online retreats, offers a prayer line, and allows participants to “converse” with the nuns.
  • the nuns embrace a worldwide community, many of whom would not have come to the monastery.
  • unprecedented opportunities for laypeople to study and learn.
  • The ability to pick and choose religious teachings without reference to religious authority or community
  • Overcoming Binaries
  • basing worldviews on alternatives that admit no ambiguity is a zero sum game: If we’re not winning, we must be losing.
  • The relationship between digital communication and spiritual progress is similarly a both/ and proposition.
  • affords new possibilities for spiritual engagement.
  • Spiritual Progress
  • Spiritual progress entails moving toward a deeper experience and awareness
  • Spiritual progress can result from education or from experience; it can be collective or individual.
  • For others, spiritual progress is attained through study.
  • Digital Communication
  • The explosion of online resources offering seekers opportunities to experience nirvana, Enlightenment, transcendence,
  • Occult knowledge is suddenly accessible, secret teachings clickable and esoteric teachings, formerly the province of trained masters, available to all.
  • BeliefNet [10], Bible Gateway [11] and the Vatican website [12] are perennially popular.
  • the first obstacle that digital communication poses to spiritual progress is selectivity.
  • Stig Hjarvard’s argument that media have assumed a key role in social orientation and moral instruction: ‘In earlier societies, social institutions like family, school and church were the most important providers of information.Today, these institutions have lost some of their former authority
  • Elizabeth Eisenstein’s classic The Printing Press as an Agent of Social Change [15] chronicles the impact of Gutenberg’s invention on Western civilization, printing press made possible widespread literacy, religious reform and modern science.
  • “logics” of digital communication—including individualization, commercialization and globalization—likewise
  • Critici: Individualization corrodes social ties
  • Risposta. Although scholars and religious leaders once wondered [16] if virtual religion would undermine real-life religious communities, the contrary is true: Practitioners supplement their real-world religious affiliations with virtual activities, including study, journaling and prayer.
  • Commercializzazione. Mara Einstein argues in Brands of Faith: Marketing Religion in a Commercial age. Mormons [18], Methodists [19], and Scientologists [20] have all launched major online campaigns to make their “product”more user-friendly. Ironically, such campaigns have the potential to reach seekers hoping to deepen their spiritual lives
  • The Digital Cosmos/ Chaos “We had the experience but missed the meaning”
-- T.S. Eliot,
  • Caveat: Its democratic nature can reinforce individualization to the detriment of community. Its openness challenges religious authority. 
  • commercialization creeps in, if not from providers than from users.
  • Ottimisti. Jane Shilling’s, suggestion in The New Statesman [21] that digital access has transformed at least one aspect of spirituality -- self-examination -- from an essentially elitest pursuit to a democratic
  • Pessimisti. Valerie Tarico’s belief that the Internet spells doom for organized religion [22]. Tarico argues that web content, highlighting the negative aspects of religious institutions, is a reason for diminishing numbers of adherents,
  • La personalizzazione: Jim Gilliam's "The Internet is My Religion"
  • Altrove la responsabilità della crisi. Internet is Not Killing Organized Religion [24] ,”Elizabeth Drescher writes, “At the end of the day, that is, it is not so much “the culture”—digital culture, secular culture—that is driving young people from churches, it is religious culture itself.”
  • Tesi finale. The challenges that beset us in this realm are not, primarily technological. They are personal. spirituality is a heightened case of human activity, not a special class.
  • Un'esperienza positiva: il diario del figlio sul padre morente. Madrigal explains: "The document became a shared diary of their relationship with their father and each other," he writes: "its tiny movements intimate, its arc gutting.”
  • Sta a noi: Humans find ways to push meaning through the pipes."
continua

Automation Makes Us Dumb By Nicholas Carr

Automation Makes Us Dumb By Nicholas Carr

  • già la prima ondata: de-skilling... i premitori do bottoni
  • piloti dottori architetti
  • se la prima ondata ha eroso le skill degli operai la seconda erode quelle dei professionisti
  • le virtù di un software grezzo
  • solo l allenamento regolare forma e mantiene le abilità
  • soluzione: free style automatoon: il pc che corregge suggerisce interpreta
  • Mmmmmmm
  • Artificial intelligence has arrived.
  • Worrisome evidence suggests that our own intelligence is withering as we become more dependent
  • La prima automazione. James Bright went into the field to study automation’s actual effects. An automated milling machine, for example, didn’t transform the metalworker into a more creative artisan; it turned him into a pusher of buttons. “de-skill” workers rather than to “up-skill” them.
  • Il pc oggi. Pilots rely on computers to fly planes; doctors consult them in diagnosing ailments; architects use them to design buildings.
  • Even the smartest software lacks the common sense,
  • the British aviation researcher Matthew Ebbatson calls “skill fade.” our skills get sharper only through practice,
  • Una soluzione possibile. tasks using either rudimentary software that provided no assistance or sophisticated software that offered a great deal of aid. The researchers found that the people using the simple software developed better strategies, made fewer mistakes and developed a deeper aptitude for the work.
  • With the rise of electronic health records, physicians increasingly rely on software templates. medicine more routinized
  • Timothy Hoff interviewed more than 75 primary-care physicians who had adopted computerized systems. The doctors felt that the software was impoverishing their understanding
  • Harvard Medical School professor Beth Lown, in a 2012 journal article written with her student Dayron Rodriquez, warned that when doctors become “screen-driven,”following a computer’s prompts rather than “the patient’s narrative thread,”their thinking can become constricted.
  • Computer-aided design has helped architects to construct buildings with unusual shapes and materials,
  • In his book “The Thinking Hand,”the Finnish architect Juhani Pallasmaa argues that overreliance on computers makes it harder for designers to appreciate the subtlest, most human qualities of their buildings.
  • Jacob Brillhart wrote in a 2011 paper, modern computer systems can translate sets of dimensions into precise 3-D renderings with incredible speed, but they also breed “more banal, lazy, and uneventful designs that are void of intellect, imagination and emotion.”
  • Soluzioni. There is an alternative. In “human-centered automation,”. The technology becomes the expert’s partner, not the expert’s replacement.
  • John Lee of the University of Iowa, “a less-automated approach, which places the automation in the role of critiquing the operator. human-focused approach is known as adaptive automation. It employs cutting-edge sensors and interpretive algorithms
conclusioni

martedì 2 febbraio 2016

Luigi Ballerini

Videointervista a Luigi Ballerini - Mare di Libri 2015 - YouTube:



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romanzo: zero. vive in una bolla e per non diventare matto si è inventato un altro, un amico immaginario.



imho: bolla e comunità. differenze e similitudine



educatore attento: le cose nn dipendono solo da te



l antidoto al virtuale è il reale. se ho amici veri mi interesserà poco di quel che pensa un anonimo di me



davanti alla tv: non giudicare subito. fai formare un giudizio a tuo figlio e poi confrontati. se fai il contrario nn lamentarti se poi nn parlano con te



i film vanno visti al cinema: è una forma di educazione. la ritualità conta.












Contro la medicalizzazione

ADHD Reconsidered, Bryan Caplan | EconLog | Library of Economics and Liberty: "Several readers have taken issue with my use of the term "ADHD."  To be honest, I'm not comfortable with it either, but my reason is the opposite of my critics.  Like the late great Thomas Szasz, my objection is that labels like ADHD medicalize people's choices - partly to stigmatize, but mostly to excuse.  In his words, "The business of psychiatry is to provide society with excuses disguised as diagnoses, and with coercions justified as treatments."  I realize this is an unwelcome view, but I do have a whole paper defending it, and I stand by it."



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Virtually normal di Andrew Sullivan - Liberationist queer Foucauld

Virtually normal di Andrew Sullivan - Liberationist queer Foucauld
  • Liberazionismo: The second predominant politics of homosexuality springs naturally out of the first. Or rather, it is a kind of reverse image
  • Imperativo esistenziale: combat
  • the two politics, at their purest, agree about the fundamental nature of homosexuality: that it does not, properly speaking, exist.
  • For the liberationists, homosexuality as a defining condition does not properly exist because it is a construct of human thought, generated in human consciousness by the powerful to control and define the powerless. •
  • Lf prescription: to be free of all social constructs, •
  • Identità: a fully chosen form of identity, •
  • rebellion against nature, •
  • this argument seems far less intuitively persuasive. Nature, after all, is an idea that comes naturally to people. •
  • Lf:  “homosexuality” does not refer to something tangible and universal; it is a definition of a particular way of being as defined by a particular culture. There’s plenty of evidence to suggest that this is true. •
  • Alcuni tipi di o: “trans-generational.” They are about the initiation of youths into adult culture •
  • Giovani sodomizzati: Coerunas Indians •
  •   northern Morocco, the Koran is taught by older scribes in a similar way
  • Lo zio materno in Guinea tribes, •
  • Nonnismo in the public schools of Great Britain, •
  • L efebo In ancient Greece, •
  • Native American: the berdache.  none of the berdache institutions seems to imply what we would understand as homosexuality: none is a relationship between two equal people of the same sex. •
  • modern American • emergence of the “fairy” • it would be difficult to argue that the “normal” men who had sex with fairies were really homosexual, • They were, rather, men who were attracted to womanlike men •
  • In other words, homosexuals, properly speaking, did not exist •
  • it means that because homosexuals could not understand themselves in this way, homosexuals simply weren’t. • 
  • one’s self-understanding depends on the social constructs •
  • Human nature does not exist; it is a spontaneous social creation. •  Human beings exist, but what they are and what they mean to each other is entirely contingent on the world they find themselves in. •
  • the work of Michel Foucault, •  most significant influence on liberationist thinkers  In many ways, he is to liberationism what Aquinas is to prohibitionism. •
  • Words are invariably instruments of power, •
  • This kind of argument was not new to Foucault, of course. Perhaps its originator was Rousseau, certainly present in Marx, •  But in Foucault, this argument is linked to a deep pessimism about the possibility of escape. •
  • x lf: the state as the source of oppression •
  • il potere è ovunque: for Foucault, the sources of repression and control were that much more elusive chi in marx
  • Per es:  Foucault was a skeptic about the claims of the sexual revolution in the modern West. •
  • simboli del potere The dialogue of the psychiatrist’s couch was merely an extension of the priest’s confessional; •
  • lf: The history of sexuality in the West is not a history from repression to liberation, but the exchange of one kind of power • •
  • Foucault sees the attempt to “free” gay people, first by identifying them, as another form of control: •
  • “no orgasm without ideology.” •
  • kant all origine: Foucault’s insight that the way we structure our thoughts changes the thoughts themselves • 
  • Obiezione: that does not mean that homosexual persons, however they understood themselves, did not exist •
  • There is overwhelming evidence in both that at least part of homosexuality is determined so early as to be essentially involuntary: • even, to some extent, genetically predictable.
  • But for the Foucauldeans, such contributions are essentially irrelevant.  Both science and psychology are simply further discourses, further traps for freedom, •
  • Unfortunately for Foucault, however, history itself, the very discourse of the past, concurs with science and psychology to suggest the presence of what we would understand as the homosexual, as the historian John Boswell has demonstrated. •
  • omosessuali nella storia: mille e una notte Ganymede •  Plato’s simposio Aristotle •  Aquinas, • Alain of Lille, •
  • in ancient Greece, where the language did not contain a word for homosexual,. Basta la descrizione
  • Throughout history, •there are people •  asserting their homosexuality in the face of unremitting hostility. •
  • Homosexuals have historically reacted to their erasure not simply by subterfuge or resistance or violence, but by a complex undermining of the culture itself, by “camp,” by irony, by laughter. 
  • Non tutto è oppressione: There is, in short, a space within any oppressive social structure where human beings can operate from their own will. • There is in Foucault, in short, little alertness to the resilient life •
  • The liberationist argument, with its pessimism about the possibility of real human freedom within traditional liberal society, must also confront a particularly discomforting fact: that the last few generations have seen a considerable flowering of gay culture and gay freedom. And this growth of homosexual freedom has continually had its vanguard in the United States, despite its tradition of fundamentalist Christianity, despite its capitalist system, despite its allegedly oppressive influence in world culture.
  • Elenco: flaws in Foucauldean politics. • 
  • Because the state is not the source of power, but merely part of a matrix of power structures, there is no focus to the rebellion. •
  • “queer” movement • una strategia d azione. attempt to generate an antipolitical politics, •
  • the tactic of “outing,” the publication of someone’s homosexuality against that person’s will,to force him or her to be free (to use Rousseau’s unforgettable phrase) •
  • “outing” follows the logic of liberationistIt challenges the boundaries of private and public which have been historically used to cordon off homosexuality from “public” life •  It is a classic case of Foucauldean resistance. •
  • Following Foucault, there is no concern in this endeavor that this activity might violate an individual’s rights or dignity, since that person is merely a function of the oppression that defines him. • the politics of liberation fails to catch the individuality of every human being. •
  • Most homosexuals are not, of course, in or out of the closet; they hover tentatively somewhere in between. • .
  • Queer strategy place structures above people, •
  • philosophy based on the uprooting of oppressive orthodoxy should end up enforcing it is not a new irony. •
  • Outing is only the most extreme form of this tendency. The use of language is a milder version. “gay” was no longer sufficiently liberationist, •
  • But the truth is that although language is susceptible to control and manipulation, it must also serve the complex needs of countless complicated individuals and must therefore reflect the results of a million choices •
  • Language that seeks to control by forcing meanings onto such a society will ultimately fail to work.
  • un chiaro caso di fallimento della strategia queer: issue of gays and lesbians in the United States military. its antipolitical politics made equality within the armed services a ludicrous endeavor
  • For a politics designed to subvert existing structures, participating in the very instrument of state power is a nonsensical •
  • Altro caso di palese fallimento: The other salient political instance is the battle for gay marriage. In this, as in access to the military, liberationist politics buckles under its own contradictions. same-sex marriage represent a suspect assimilationist goal for our movement, •. 
  • queer: their most common form of political activity was not a “demonstration” but an “action”; media blitz. •  politics of performance. •
  • ACT UP meetings were a cacophony of rival oppressions, with little means for distinguishing
  • non è un caso se il fondatore di act up sia un pubblicitario
  • There was not even a vision, à la Marx, of some future of freedom to which this smashing might lead. •
  • Judith Butler: “Power can neither be withdrawn. Nn resta che il: redeployment of power, •
  • A politics which seeks only to show and not to persuade •
  • difetto: the achievement will necessarily be transitory. •
  • Moreover, a cultural strategy as a political strategy is a dangerous one • majorities win the culture wars. •
  • La battaglia culturale:. It may be necessary, but it is not sufficient. •
  • The liberationists prefer to concentrate—for where else can they go?—on those instruments of power which require no broader conversation, no process of dialogue, •  So they focus on outing, on speech codes, on punitive measures against opponents on campuses, on the enforcement of new forms of language, by censorship and by intimidation.
  • • as liberationist politics is cultural, it is extremely vulnerable; and insofar as it is really political, it is almost always authoritarian
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lunedì 1 febbraio 2016

The myth of national defense di AAVV

The myth of national defense di AAVV
  • Intro hermann hoppe
  • 200 anni di democrazia. Ora possiamo giudicare. Il fallimento dell 11 settembre. Iraq afghanistan. I cittadini spiati ovunque.
  • Rudolph rummel 900:170mln di morti ammazzati dagli stati
  • Tesi ortodossa: le democrazie nn si fanno guerra tra loro.  E la guerra civike americana? E le kolte democrazie che hanno partorito dittature
  • Condizione per garantire una fornitura di sicurezza: diritto di secessione.
  • Proteggere la ns prop tassandola è una contraddizione in termini.
  • Alternative volontarie: guerriglia milizie mercenari partigiani
  • Cap 1 bassani lottieri
  • Illusione ottica: lo stato nn è sempre esistito (altrimenti il libertarismo sarebbe utopia). Prima della modernità la doppia morale nn esisteva.
  • Il diritto etico di governare: machiavelli botero
  • Il marxista nn è statalista solo perchè nn si occupa di istituzioni
  • Il medioevo fonte d ispirazione x i libertari
  • Stato: l unione prescinde dalla parentela. La teoria della cosca vincente (hoppenheimer)
  • Tesi:lo stato è un prodotto  del moderno, nasce nel 4/500 e si sviluppa dopo. La tesi nn è unanime, anche la grecia era uno stato, si dice. Controtesi: lo stato è naturale.
  • Tesi: lo stato ha ostacolato il progresso verso la libertà, combatterlo e restringerlo è doveroso.
  • Alternativa: piccole comunità autogovernate. Nord italia e centro europa  medievali, era comunale, oggi solo svizzera. Tassazione di fatto volontaria. I comandi del signore medioevale nn erano legge ma solo pretese
  • Il governato è molto più in balia del governante democratico che del signore medievale. Nel medioevo l exit right era sempre garantito e a costi relativi bassi. Il crimine nn era un problema sociale.
  • Machiavelli: inventa lo stato. Nessuna preoccupazione per la sicurezza dei governati
  • Carl schmitt: stato come concetto teologico: potenza infinita e assoluta. Il potere assoluto, ovvero: nn esistono diritti pre esistenti. Il potere assoluto spregio al consenso
  • Bodin e hobbes: voglia di potere assoluto per sedare i conflitti religiosi. Voglia di sicurezza
  • Locke difende lo stato come protettore dei diritti. Con lui nasce il costituzionalismo e lo stato minimo.
  • Rousseau: misticismo della volontà generale.
  • Molinari: il primo a sfidare l idea di stato minimo e il monopolio della difesa. Argomento etico: una legge naturale nn tollera eccezioni
  • Realismo europeo. Schmitt mosca pareto. Lo stato è un mezzo attraverso cui una classe (governanti) soggioga l altra (governati). È dalla violenza che nasce lo stato. Le piccole elites stanno dietro il tiranno e le democrazie, che quindi nn sono molto diverse.
  • Miglio: il declino dello stato. Le contraddizioni interne nn reggono
  • Santa alleanza:libertarismo e realismo europeo
  • Alternative istituzionali allo stato: soc primitive, far west, vichinghi, medioevo. Soprattutto il medioevo.
  • Il medioevo esalta la relazione. Le guerre erano meno frequenti e meno sanguinose. Le istituzioni più concorrenziali e quindi meno arroganti. Diritto di secessione.
  • Cap 3 monarchie e guerra erik kuehnelt leddihn
  • Tesi: monarchia antichità e cristianesimo =》 civiltà occidentale
  • Democrazia:la forma più antica di governo. Mandò a morte socrate. Trovò l opposizione degli intelletti più alti (plato e aristo) che la ritenevano un preambolo della tirannia. Tommaso la condannò ripetutamentente
  • Il revival democratico lo dobbiamo alla riv francese del divino marchese de sade: comandante della saction de piques, una ss della democrazia, un culto per i sessantottini
  • Democrazia ed eliminazione della chiesa. Democrazia e nazionalismo. Democrazia e omologazione. Democrazia e totalitarismo: politicizzare tutto. Diritti umani e ghigliottina. Democrazia e coscrizione. Democrazia e propaganda. Democrazia e indottrinamento (scuola di stato obbligatoria)
  • Il militarismo francese dovuto alla coscrizione spinse alla barbarie anche in altri paesi. Prima la guerra era terreni degli idealisti: chi mette a repentaglio la propria vita x una causa (es guerra civile spagnola)
  • Militarismo e indottrinamento: uniti contro il nemico.
  • Prerogative della modernità: guerra di massa guerra di sterminio campo di concentramento guerra contro i civili guerra ideologica. Altro che crociate. Usa e concentramento dei giapponesi. Campi della democratica gb
  • I mercenari erano di diverse nazioni e poco interessati a incrudelire la loro azione. Il re pagava la guerra e ambiva ad una pace conveniente
  • Storici della rivoluzione: furet schama secher meyer cabanes nass cretineau
  • Cosmopolitismo e monarchie: caro cugino... conmlo stato moderno nasce il nazionalismo. Mill: la democrazia ha problemi con il plurilinguismo.
  • La proposta di hitler: salvare i civiki dalla guerra. Rifiuto gb.
  • La guerra alleata contro la germania ormai sconfitta: guerra di devastazione. Bombe atomiche sul giappone. Monte cassino. Le havre. Dresda.
  • Le democrazie nn sanno fare la pace. Mai trattati ma dettati. Risentimento delle folle. Si pensa politicamente e nn storicamente, persone nn dinastie. Mancanza di generosità.  Miopia del politico.Yalta versailles: nascita di comunismo e nazismo.
  • Versailles fa saltare l impero e apre le porte alla germania prussizzata.
  • Risorgimento: spazzati decine di sovranità nome del nazionalismo.
  • Il monarca nn si sognerebbe di esportare la monarchia, il democratico esporta la democrazia. La monarchia è ritenuta naturale, la democrazia ideologica.
  • Nella dichiarazione d indipendenza la democrazia nn è nominata. I padri fondatori la odiavano come la peste
  • Benito mussolini si chiamava così per la fede anarchiaca del padre.
  • Il leone morente di lucerna: in onore dei mercenari fedeli
  • Le truppe napoleoniche invadono il tirolo: vi imponiamo la libertà
  • Nobiltà degli eserciti settecenteschi: ufficiali provenienti dalle migliori famiglie.
  • Le colpe di gruppo erano impensabili in precedenza.
  • Il monarca nn può vantarsi: nn è lì per la sua intelligenza o altro. Megalomania sventata. La dimensione è storica nn politica.
  • Rex sub lege fin dal medioevo. diritto di rivolta de la mariana e calvino. Tirannicidio tommaso.
  • Democrazia e incertezza del diritto. Democrazia coniglio impazzito
  • Cap 4 pro.iferazione nucleare bertrand lemenncier
  • Nucleare e indipendenza politica. Francia e usa
  • Governi: la proliferazione è un male. Per la sicurezza o per i governi?
  • La guerra asimmetrica può far bene alla libertà?
  • Il problema delle armi: la proliferazione delle armi aumenta le prob di aggressione o le diminuisce? Irrazionalità dell attore marginale
  • Monopolio: razionalità del falco. Proliferazione: razionalità della colomba.
  • Equilibrio del terrore come garanzia di pace. Un eresia per i nn economisti
  • Argomenti contro: irrazionalità degli attori e possibili incidenti.
  • Usa urss: simmetria degli armamenti.
  • L armamento nucleare porta pace a costi ridotti
  • L argomento dell irrazionalità è razzista? Sembrerebbe di sì
  • More gun less crime.
  • Cap 5 la pace democratica gerard radnitzky
  • Asimmetria: per il privato è rapina per il governo sono tasse. Il culto della maggioranza.
  • Burke: politica, ovvero l essenza dell abuso.
  • La crociata democratica.
  • Come motivare una truppa? I mercenari coi soldi. Gli altri con nazionalismo e ideologie
  • Lo stato è solo una contingenza della storia
  • Guerra e politica, parentela stretta: clausewitz. Gioco a somma zero (o negativa)
  • De jasay: lo stato è uno strumento di sfruttamento senza violenza.
  • Scelta sociale. Il metodo naturale: si soppesano le forze e si sintetizza la conclusione
  • L esempio degli scacchi: regole e vinca il più forte. Tutti si divertono e hanno le loro soddisfazioni.
  • Scelta sociale. Metodo artificiale. Kelsen. Procedura meccanica molto semplice. Selezione in base all esito previsto. La costituzione? Una cintura di castità di cui si possiede la chiave. Metodi privilegiati: democrazia, welfare (misurazione delle preferenze). Mistica della volontà generale.
  • Il metodo democratico: una macchina redistributiva
  • Il doppio standard a regime. Es della svezia: ipertassato il cittadino schiavo, esentata la multinazionale che investe.
  • Democrazia come churning society: la classe a dà alla classe b e viceversa. A speculare è l intermediario politico.
  • Le performance usa come protettore. Corea vietnam. La pace di wilson
  • Il rispetto degli accordi: le monarchie sono più affidabili.
  • Un governo è tanto più belligerante quanti più valori nn negoziabili esistono. L individualismo nn contempla tanti valori. La religione della democrazia è molto pericolosa. Il monarca è un proprietario e ragiona come tale. Chi finanzia la guerra? Finanziamenti distribuiti e concentrati.
  • Tesi ortodossa: la demo nn fa guerre alle altre demo. Ma cos è una demo? Definizione vaga quindi tesi vaga. Osten unden: l urss era una demo e stato di diritto.
  • Quali stati rispondono alla definizione rawlsiana di stato giusto? Boh. Nn lo sa di certo nemmeno lui. Si può sempre dire che gli stati rawlsiani nn si fanno la guerra tra loro.
  • Kohl:l euro eviterà le guerre tra gli europei. Ma le democrazie si possono fare guerra allora?
  • La guerra civile americana
  • Il colpevole è kant. Ma kant per "repubblica" intendeva un governo con check and balance. La monarchia polacca per es era descritta come una repubblica.
  • Campi di concentramento
  • Teucidide e le crudeltà nella guerra del peloponeso. Accusata la democrazia ateniese.
  • Il monarca è un prop il politico democratico un locatario. Si comportano di conseguenza. Preservare la dinastia
  • Walter lippman: usa, una demo verso il socialismo grazie alla guerra (ratchet effect).
  • James joll: i trucchi del politico demo per dichiarare guerra. Johnson in vietnam . Pearl harbour. Il volo di hess e churchill. Il lusitana
  • Trucchi per la guerra: 1 il controllo dei media, tv pubblica 2 provocare il nemico potenziale
  • Nn è la democrazia a impedire le guerre ma la rete di commerci + la deterrenza nucleare. Chi farà mai la guerra alla cina?
  • Dapprima le ideologie hanno sostituito la religione (goebbles era un teologo e hitler si paragonò a gesù), dopo è stata la volta della demo
  • Democrazia: concentrazione di potere come mai prima nella storia. Es il parlamenti svedese
  • Tesi delle democrazie pacifiche. Pericle provocò la guerra con sparta, entrambe erano democrazie, per quanto primitive. La guerra civile americana: due democrazie. A lungo l urss è stata considerata una demo (roosvelt l assunse a modello), poi quando diventò indifendibili i pareri mutarono
  • La mistica della volontà del popolo. Contro: i padri fondatori e la separazione dei poteri.
  • L opposizione fondamentale tra i democratici: democraticismo parlamentare vs separazione dei poteri e federazione. Ue vs usa
  • Stato. Nasce per produrre sicurezza e finisce per fare tutt altro. Il caso macro dell europa che sulla sicurezza parassita la pax americana. Lo stato sociale consente molte più rendite e ci sono più possibilità di comprare i voti
  • Democrazia e pace. Nasce anche dall equivoco si ciò che gli storicimintendono per violenza. Lo schiavismo della leva e tassazioni iperboliche nn sono forsemuna forma di violenza?
  • Cap 6 josepg stromberg mercenari e guerriglia. Un alternativa allo stato
  • 100mln: persone uccise dallo stato nel xx secolo
  • La vecchia guerra: eserciti professionali comandati da nobili al servizio del re. Un sistema poco costoso
  • Con la riv francese e la leva si cambia musica: guerra di massa senza più limiti. Un modello che nasce con la democrazia.
  • I mercenari del xv secolo italico. Assoldati dal signore avevano poco interesse a uccidere. Le città venivano saccheggiate solo se offrivano resistenza. Le regole della guerra erano molte e rigidamente osservate
  • La condanna di machiavelli: possono tradire. Una minaccia.
  • Gli italiani, che si affidavano ai mercenari, furono sbaragliati dai grandi eserciti nazionali, per es quello francese.
  • Questo nn accadde con la svizzera, due differenze: 1 territorio congeniale 2 guerriglia popolare e coesione sociale
  • Milizie volontarie: tipiche delle piccole repubbliche. Una soluzione efficiente
  • La guerriglia. Una soluzione a disposizione del più debole. La rivoluzione americana la impiegò appieno. Il sud avrebbe vinto la guerra civile se avesse evitato gli scontri frontali. Grande successo laddove fu impiegata
  • Guerra boera. Solo guerra totale e campi di concentramento ebbero ragione della guerriglia afrikaner
  • La guerriglia nn ha molte regole e commette parecchie atrocità, tuttavia resta guerra a bassa intensità. Se sommiamo i danni il paragone con la guerra fra stati nn regge.
  • La guerriglia può vincere senza alleati. Difficile, occorrono diverse condizioni, soprattutto orografiche.
  • Che guevara: comprese l i portanza di un comando decentrato e flessibile.
  • Mc whiney: le armi moderne avvantaggiano chi si difende
  • Una diffusione della guerriglia avvantaggia la difesa. Afghanistan urss. Vietnam usa. Nessuno ha mai invaso la svizzera.
  • La difesa anarchica: un misto di milizie, mercenari e guerriglieri volontari sulla difensiva. L utilitarismo conta poco in qs materia.
  • E il problema del free riding. Serve ancbe lui, segnala l esistenza della guerra i giusta. Hummell:senza free riding nn avremo la civiltà.
  • cap 8 jeffrey hummel ideologia e difesa
  • Problema libertario: come può una società libera resistere agli eserciti governativi.
  • Nella società senza stato dei cacciatori la guerra era permanente ma lo stato non si formava: la bassa densità consentiva sempre l exit strategy.
  • 10000 anni fa la nascita dell agricoltura, oltre a portare la pp, aumentò la densità e la concentrazione di popolazione stanziale. Anche i banditi si fecero stanziali e nacque lo stadio come macroparassita. North jared diamond
  • Glj stati che seppero sfruttare meglio la loro gallina dalle uova d oro, magari lasciando commerciare e lavorare. Presto la ricchezza divenne più importante della popolosità per realizzaremla potenza militare
  • Il problema del free rider di so,ito viene presentato come giustificazione dello stato. È invece la causa del suo emergere: la ribellione al bandito stanziale è un bene comune che viene sottoprodotto.
  • A motivi razionali se ne assommarono altri ideologici: con l alleanza tra poteri politico e religioso una forte ideologia pro stato viene a crearsi.
  • Geografia: in alcuni luoghi la centralizzazione è stata più importante. In europa la competizione tra banditi era più feroce e l arricchimento e lo sfruttamento razionale della gallina dalle uova d oro.
  • Come collassa uno stato? Mises previde il collasso socialista. In molti casi solo una guerra o una rivoluzione compiono l opera
  • Il resoconto razionale della stabilità statuale (la rivoluzione è un bene comune) nn tiene conto del ruolo delle idee nella storia umana (north). Il comunismo fu un ideologia prima che un rent seeking
  • L idea di stato è stabile ma ci sono molte false idee estremamente stabili: guarda alle religioni che si autoescludono
  • Spesso le idee sono contagiose: una rivolu tira le altre. Lo stato, potrebbe avere le ore contate
  • Cap 9 wàlter block: la difesa come bene pubblico
  • ...
  • Cap 11 jorg guido hulsmann: secessione
  • Secessione: un alternativa alle riforme che influenza le riforme.
  • Secessioni ed enclaves
  • Esempi: sfaldamento degli imperi, sfaldamento dell urss svizzrra baarle campione i ghetti, secessione delle colonie
  • Viaggio nella libertà, due percorsi alternativi: 1 secessione 2 lotta del re vs i nobili e poi democrazia. I liberali hanno seguito il secondo percorso rivelatosi fallimentare sbocciando in un xx secolo di fascismi.
  • Le guerre separatiste sono molto meno sanguinarie di quelle civili
  • Il mercato nero delle armi ha un lato positivo: indispensabile per rifornire i separatisti
  • Legge di botie: l unione esiste xchè la maggioranza ubbidisce. Per qs lo stato controlla la scuola. La guerra ideologica è forse la più importante.
  • In vandea la guerra ideologica perse. Lì fu determinante la forza.
  • La secessione è sempre una guerra privata, va condotta in prima persona, no mercenari. Una guerra giusta secondo agostino. Manuale: total resistence. Guida all esercito svizzero per la guerriglia vs l invasore
  • Necessario l aiuto dei civili
  • Alzare i costi di controllo dei territori secessionisti
  • Un vantaggio delle guerre di secessione: le nazioni nate in qs modo sono necessariamente liberali
  • In una società libera i servizi di difesa sono forniti in modo proporzionale alla minaccia sentita.
  • Efficacia militare degli eserciti volontari: i leader sono capaci, nelle milizie sono generalmente eletti. La dimensione è ottimale e mai sovradimensionata
  • Non serve unità di comando dove c è unità di principio. Il sud perse perchè accettò la guerra convenzionale. Esempi di successo: svizzera e olanda. Battaglie esemplari: contro unni magiari saraceni turchi
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L'asino di buridano di Gianfranco Miglio


L'asino di buridano di Gianfranco Miglio
  • Intro
  • La difficoltà delle riforme nasce dal ns risorgimento
  • Domani: basta costituzioni ma pluralità di statuti raccordati dalla giurisprudenza
  • Cap 1 risorgimento
  • Nord: dall xi secolo: borghesia urbana e mercanti. Poi lotte intestine e signorie
  • Sud: regni ereditari e latifondo. Poco commercio molta avvocatura.
  • Tutte unità indipendenti. Da tenere a mente quando si cfr con la germania, un caso ben diverso
  • Settecento: invasione giacobina e reastaurazione asburgica (il lombardo veneto fornisce il 25 per cento degli introiti asburgici)
  • L ammirazione per napoleone: giovani, avvocati senza cause con un infarinatura intellettuale.
  • I nuovi ricchi si affermano in piemonte. Cavour: utilitarista mercatista speculatore giocatore.
  • 2 miti: 1 nazionalismo e 2 parlamentarismo
  • L unità nn nasce da una guerra che ci vede uniti nello stesso destino. Anche i sacrifici sono molto relativi.
  • I gruppi politici della nuova nazione: raggruppamenti clientelari e fluttuanti. Trasformismo e consociativismo al posto dell alternanza
  • consociativismo: modello molto costoso (bisogna dare una fetta a tutti) in mancanza di uniformità
  • i protagonisti: un elite precariamente acculturata
  • come strutturare l amministrazione? l idea minghetti: regioni + consorzi. Poche regioni forti con possibilità di consorziarsi. idea molto moderna. si scatenarono gli "italiani" nazionalisti (maggioranza in parlamento) spalleggiati dalla retriva burocrazia subalpina che ambiva all egemonia: uno stato troppo fragile per permettersi la proposta minghetti ritirate da ricasoli
  • soluzione amministrativa: 59 (poi 69) province spezzettate, 8000 municipi e, nella sostanza, tutto nelle mani dei boiardi dell amministrazione centrale (piemontese). minghetti (lo statista più colto) si ritira e finisce l epoca della destra storica
  • meridione. d'azeglio e jacini contrari all'annessione. troppa distanza di economia e di costumi. ma i nemici erano troppi: 1 i garibaldini e 2 i restauratori lealisti
  • il re: il mezzogiorno ci darà la carne da cannone per i ns eserciti
  • fu una vera guerra civile. i briganti: ex ufficiali in rotta dell esercito borbonico. una resistenza duro che richedette legislazione straordinaria: la legge pica militarizzò tutto il sud. minghetti mitigò redistribuendo terre demaniali sequestrate (e spesso ricomprate dagli ex prop). alla fine il mezzogiorno cedette e in parlamento si trovò rappresentato dai latifondisti
  • Secessione naturale dal 1870: milioni di meridionali emigrati all estero
  • Antropologia: lombroso sergi ferri... l uomo meridionale è diverso: ubbidisce alle persone nn alle norme astratte. Il primo è tipico delle civiltà antiche e medievali (mafia camorra), il secondo delle civiltà mercantili (lex mercatoria)
  • Nelle scelte economiche il sud venne spesso sacrificato. Il liberismo stroncò le industrie nascenti colà. Le ferrovie del nord gravarono anche sui contribuenti meridionali. i treni e i trasporti facili, poi, fecero crollare i prezzi dei prodotti agricoli. Nella guerra doganale con la francia vennero protette le industrie del nord a detrimento del sud.
  • Le città crescono e la corruzione dilaga. Crispi primo duce. Il regime parlamentare si salva per miracolo
  • Attentato bresci:facilmente comprensibile, ormai il regime era praticamente una dittatura e bava beccaris sparava per le strade.
  • giolitti: relativa tranquillità ma centralizzazione ulteriore. Italia dei prefetti. Trattato con la spagna: favorito il nord a discapito dei vini meridionali. Giolitti: uomo cinico senza un progetto ma esperto nel galleggiare in un paese corrotto.
  • Prima guerra: tentennamenti farseschi. Poi viene buona la carne da cannone meridionale mandata a bagnare il carso col suo sangue. I reduci disoccupati saranno l ossatura del fascismo
  • Fascismo. Specializzato in finte soluzione la trovò anche per il sud arretrato: tutti assunti nello stato. Comincia la grande epopea del burocrate meridionale.
  • costituzione. Coacervo di contraddizzioni e compromessi: italia una e indivisibile e promosso il più ampio decentramento. De gasperi nn apprezzava la costituzione, era prob un conservatore monarchico. I ritardi nell attuazione nascondono una voglia di cambiare. Per mantenere e aggiornare il compromesso nasce la partitocrazia
  • Sud: si consolida un gruppo sociale forte specializzato nell incanalare il flusso degli aiuti
  • enrico mattei. Il ras della politica economica, finanziava tutti i partiti. È probabilmente all origine del malgoverno dell economia, trattava i ministri come subalterni ai suoi ordini.
  • boom. Il settore pubblico era forte ma molto meno forte di prima, quindi le cause erano essenzialmente due: 1 ricostruzione 2 iniziativa privata
  • regioni. Quelle a statuto speciale erano degli armistizi. Nelle altre nn credeva nessuno anche se i cattolici facevano la finta per stare nella tradizione di sturzo. Entità ben diverse da quelle ipotizzate da minghetti. Dietro di loro nè volontà popolare nè studio approfondito. Oggi sono grosse provincie buone per aiutare il governo nell amministrazione. Oggi servono alla rendita politica più che all autonomia. 
  • Terrorismo. Ottimo pretesto per un ulteriore compromesso e per far esplodere la spesa pubblica: sanità pensioni ecc. Debito dal 38 al 100 di fine anni 80. E poi inflazione, tanta inflazione
  • cap 2 un vero ordinamento federale
  • Punto decisivo: equilibrio tra il centro e le parti. Il contratto prevale sulla sovranità
  • statuto speciale: un buon esempio di resistenza alle lusinghe federali.
  • no al federalismo comunale: i municipi sono troppi. Meglio le macroregioni
  • direttorio: un governo ristrettissimo formato da membri eletti dalle macroregioni. 5 6 uomini. Si occupa di difesa e giustizia. E forse di altre materie in via concorrente
  • macroregioni: governate come ritengono opportuno
  • fisco:  tributi locali dei comuni. Tributi ordinari dells macroregione. Lo stato compartecipa
  • I parlamenti stanno nelle macroregioni. Eleggono i loro rappresentanti in prop stemperata alla popolosità che vanno all assemblea federale che è competente per le materie di spettanza
  • il senato federale è ad elezione diretta di tutti i cittadini, si occupa solo dei principi fondamentali della costituzione su propria iniziativa
  • chiarimento: l ass fed legifera tramite il senato a cui dà delega legislativa e di cui approva i disegni di legge o li rimanda indietro con richiesta di modifiche. Se il senato approva con maggioranze qualificate i suoi disegni questi diventano legge
  • la costituzione è soggetta a revisione periodica.
continua

Sul ragionevole dubbio

How to Be Reasonable at Steven Landsburg | The Big Questions: Tackling the Problems of Philosophy with Ideas from Mathematics, Economics, and Physics: "When you lower your standards, you increase the chance that Mr. or Ms. Average will be convicted of a crime, and raise the chance that the same Mr. or Ms. Average will become a crime victim. The right standard is the one that balances those risks in the way that Mr. or Ms. Average finds the least distasteful."



 A weak penalty has very little deterrent effect — so little that it’s not worth convicting an innocent person over. But a strong penalty can have such a large deterrent effect that it’s worth tolerating a lot of false convictions to get a few true ones.





'via Blog this' Sulla pena equa. Una pena elevata aumenta il rischio del Sig. Media di essere incarcerato a lungo (sia che sia colpevole sia che sia innocente). Una pena bassa aumenta il rischio di subire il crimine. Qual è il livello della pena ottimale per il Sig.Media? Ecco, quella è la pena equa. Oltre al livello dobbiamo però fissare anche lo standard di condanna (ovvero la prob. che specifica il concetto di ragionevole dubbio). Il beneficio di pene elevate deriva dalla deterrenza che producono. Quali sono le pene che producono più deterrenza? Le pene che colpiscono i crimini pianificati a tavolino (e quindi calcolando anche le possibili pene). Dove la deterrenza si dispiega appieno diventa più conveniente punire un innocente, e quindi abbassare gli standard di condanna.