sabato 19 marzo 2016

CHAPTER 2 IT’S NOT OUR INTELLIGENCE - The Secret of Our Success: How Culture Is Driving Human Evolution, Domesticating Our Species, and Making Us Smarter by Joseph Henrich

CHAPTER 2 IT’S NOT OUR INTELLIGENCE - The Secret of Our Success: How Culture Is Driving Human Evolution, Domesticating Our Species, and Making Us Smarter by Joseph Henrich - ildominiodelpianeta adattamentosenzamutazione lesploratoredisperso bambinovsscimmia rattiemanocalda

CHAPTER 2 IT’S NOT OUR INTELLIGENCERead more at location 340
Note: 2@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ Edit
Humans have altered more than one-third of the earths’ land surface.Read more at location 342
Note: ANIMALE TRASFORMATIVO Edit
we are the ecologically dominant species on the planet.Read more at location 346
Not only did ancient hunter-gatherers expand into most of the earth’s terrestrial ecosystems, we probably also contributed to the extinction of much of its megafauna—that is, to the extinction of large vertebrates like mammoths, mastodons, giant deer, woolly rhinos, immense ground sloths, and giant armadillos, as well as some species of elephants, hippos, and lions.Read more at location 351
Note: IMPERIALISMO DEI CACCIATORI Edit
AustraliaRead more at location 355
the continent was home to a menagerie of large animals, including two-ton wombats, immense meat-eating lizards (see figure 2.1), and leopard-sized marsupial lions.Read more at location 356
Note: ESTINZIONI DOVUTE ALL UOMO Edit
loss of 88% of Australia’s big vertebrates.Read more at location 357
Americas,Read more at location 358
horses, camels, mammoths, giant sloths, lions, and dire wolves, representing a loss of over 75% of the existing megafauna.Read more at location 359
Other species have also spread widely and achieved immense ecological success; however, this success has generally occurred by speciation, as natural selection has adapted and specialized organisms to survive in different environments. Ants, for example,Read more at location 369
Note: ALTRE SPECIE DI SUCCESSO. LE FORMICHE Edit
more than 14,000 different species with vast and complicated sets of genetic adaptations.5 Meanwhile, humans remain a single speciesRead more at location 372
Note: SPECIAZIONE. NOI NN CI ADATTIAMO ALL AMBIENTE MUTANDO GENETICAMENTE Edit
We have, for example, much less genetic variation than chimpanzees and show no signs of splitting into subspecies. By contrast, chimpanzees remain confined to a narrow band of tropical African forest and have already diverged into three distinct subspecies.Read more at location 374
Note: UOMO/SCIMMIA Edit
Most would agree that it traces, at least in part, to our ability to manufacture locally appropriate tools,Read more at location 379
Note: COSA CI DISTINGUE? MOLTI PENSANO AGLI STRUMENTI Edit
Many researchers also point to our cooperative abilities and diverse forms of social organization.Read more at location 381
Note: IPOTESI DELLA COOPERAZIONE Edit
Why can’t other animals achieve this? The most common answer is that we are simply more intelligent. We have big brains with ample cognitive processing power and other souped-up mental abilitiesRead more at location 388
Note: IPOTESI IQ Edit
humans evolved “improvisational intelligence,” which allows us to formulate causal models of how the world works.Read more at location 391
Note: PINKER. L IPOTESI DELL INTELLIGENZA FLESSIBILE Edit
Note: FARE MODELLI Edit
An alternative, though perhaps complementary, view is that our big brains are full of genetically endowed cognitive abilities that have emerged via natural selection to solve the most important and recurrent problems faced by our hunter-gatherer ancestors.Read more at location 395
Note: L IPOTESI DELL INTELLIGENZA SPECIFICA Edit
these cognitive mechanisms take in problem-specific information and deliver solutions.Read more at location 398
A third common approach to explaining our species’ ecological dominance focuses on our prosociality, our abilities to cooperate intensively across many different domains and extensively in large groups.Read more at location 403
Note: IPOTESI PRO SOCIAL Edit
However, as I’ll show, none of these approaches can explain our ecological dominance or our species’ uniqueness without first recognizing the intense reliance we have on a large body of locally adaptive, culturally transmitted information that no single individual, or even group, is smart enough to figure out in a lifetime.Read more at location 409
Note: IPOTESI INSUFFICIENTI Edit
In chapter 3, lost European explorers will teach us about the nature of our vaulted intelligence, cooperative motivations, and specialized mental abilities.Read more at location 413
Note: L ESPLORATORE DISPERSO Edit
I want to warm up by shaking your confidence on just how smart our species really is relative to other primates.Read more at location 414
Note: QUANTO PIÙ INTELLIGENTI DEGLI ALTRI Edit
our cultural learning abilities give rise to “dumb” processes that can, operating over generations, produce practices that are smarter than any individual or even group. Much of our seeming intelligence actually comes not from raw brainpower or a plethora of instincts, but rather from the accumulated repertoire of mental toolsRead more at location 419
Note: INTELLIGENZA HAYEKIANA Edit
Cultural learning refers to a more sophisticated subclass of social learning abilities in which individuals seek to acquire information from others, often by making inferences about their preferences, goals, beliefs, or strategies and/or by copying their actions or motor patterns.Read more at location 430
Note: APPRENDIMENTO CULTURALE: CAPACITÀ DI SELEZIONARE LA FONTE DA CUI APPRENDERE Edit
Showdown: Apes versus Humans Let’s begin by comparing the mental abilities of humans with two other closely related large-brained apes: chimpanzees and orangutans.Read more at location 434
Note: UOMO VS SCIMMIA Edit
it might be misleading to compare apes to fully culturally equipped adults, who, for example, know fractions.Read more at location 439
Note: PER NN BARARE Edit
researchers often compare toddlers to nonhuman apes (hereafter just “apes”).Read more at location 440
Note: BAMBINO VS SCIMMIA Edit
In a landmark study, Esther Herrmann, Mike Tomasello, and their colleagues at the Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology in Leipzig, Germany, put 106 chimpanzees, 105 German children, and 32 orangutans through a battery of 38 cognitive tests.Read more at location 443
Note: IL TEST Edit
On all the subtests of mental abilities, except social learning, there’s essentially no difference between chimpanzees and two-and-a-half-year-old humans, despite the fact that the two-and-a-half-year-olds have much larger brains.Read more at location 453
Note: POCA DIFFERENZA TRA CERVELLI PICCOLU (SCIMMIE) E GRANDI (BIMBI) Edit
By contrast, for the social learning subtest, the averages shown in figure 2.2 actually conceal the fact that most of the two-and-a-half-year-olds scored 100% on the test, whereas most of the apes scored 0%.Read more at location 457
Note: A COPIARE I BIMBI VINCONO A MANI BASSE Edit
Interestingly, however, older apes do not generally do better on these tests than younger apes—quite unlike humans. By age three, the cognitive performances of chimpanzees and orangutans—at least in these tasks—are about as good as they get.Read more at location 463
Note: TRA LE SCIMMIE NN ESISTE IL VECCHIO SAGGIO Edit
Memory in Chimpanzees and UndergraduatesRead more at location 475
Note: MEMORIA Edit
Let’s consider first the available data comparing humans and chimpanzees in (1) working memory and information processing speed, and then in (2) games of strategic conflict.Read more at location 477
Note: MEMORIA E STRATEGIA. DOVE STACCHIAMO DI PIÙ LA SCIMMIA? Edit
If you take an intelligence test, you may hear a list of numbers and then be asked to recall those numbers in reverse order. This measures your working memory. Working memory, along with information processing speed, are often considered two of the foundations of intelligence.Read more at location 481
Note: WORKING MEMORY Edit
we might expect adult humans to significantly outperform any chimpanzees in head-to-head competition.Read more at location 487
Two Japanese researchers, Sana Inoue and Tetsuro Matsuzawa, set up just such a chimp-versus-human showdown.Read more at location 490
These chimps faced off against university students.16 For working memory, our species did well.Read more at location 496
However, when the numeral flashes got quicker and the task got tougher, Ayumu beat all the humans. Interestingly, as the flash of numbers sped up, Ayumu’s performance remained consistent whereas the humans’ performance, as well as that of the other chimps, rapidly degraded.Read more at location 500
Every chimpanzee was faster than every human, and their speed did not vary with their performance. By contrast, faster human responses tended to be less accurate.Read more at location 503
The young chimps, who actually outperformed their mothers, would probably defeat any group of young kids.Read more at location 511
the point stands that the humans did not obviously dominate their fellow apes on either working memory or information processing speed, despite our much larger brains.Read more at location 514
Note: ... MA L UOMO NN DOMINA. ANZI... Edit
The True MachiavelliansRead more at location 517
This view emphasizes that our brains and intelligence are specialized for dealing with other people and argues that our brain size and intelligence arose from an “arms race” in which individuals competed in an ever-escalating battle of wits to strategically manipulate, trick, exploit, and deceive each other.Read more at location 520
Note: L IPOTESI DELL INTELLIGENZA MACHIAVELLICA. COMPETIZONE Edit
If this is so, we should be particularly good in games of strategic conflict compared to chimpanzees.19Read more at location 522
Note: GIOCHI DI COMPETIZIONE STRATEGICA E CONOSCENZA PROFONDA Edit
To win, the first thing to realize is that both players should be as unpredictable as possible.Read more at location 535
Note: GIOCO DELL INCONTRO E CONOSCENZA PROFONDA Edit
To see this, put yourself into the shoes of the Matcher.Read more at location 536
If you deviate from 50%, your opponent will be able to exploit you more frequently. Now consider matters from the position of the Mismatcher: if you now similarly flip a coin, the Matcher will shift to play mostly L, since that gives him four instead of one. To compensate, as a Mismatcher you need to play R 80% of the time.Read more at location 539
A research team from Caltech and Kyoto University tested six chimpanzees and two groups of human adults: Japanese undergraduates and Africans from Bossou, in the Republic of Guinea. When chimpanzees played this asymmetric variant of Matching Pennies (figure 2.4), they zoomed right in on the predicted result, the Nash equilibrium. Humans, however, systematically and consistently missed the rational predictions, with Mismatchers performing particularly poorly.Read more at location 544
Note: IL GIOCO DELL INCONTRO: CROLLA L IPOTESI MACHIAVELLICA Edit
A final insight into the humans’ poor performance comes from an analysis of participants’ response times, which measures the time from the start of a round until the player selects his move.Read more at location 555
Note: TEMPI DELLA SCELTA Edit
It’s as if the humans were struggling to inhibit or suppress an automatic reaction. This pattern may reflect a broader bug in human cognition:Read more at location 557
Note: FRENARE UN ISTINTO Edit
the slower player sometimes unconsciously imitates the choice of his or her opponent.21 The reason is that we humans are rather inclined to copy—spontaneously, automatically, and often unconsciously. Chimpanzees don’t appear to suffer from this cognitive “bug,” at least not nearly to the same degree.Read more at location 563
Note: CHI VIENE DOPO IMITA Edit
I could have also tapped the vast literature in psychology and economics, which tests the judgment and decision-making of undergraduates against benchmarks from statistics, probability, logic, and rationality. In many contexts, but not all, we humans make systemic logical errors,Read more at location 568
Note: TUTTA LA LETTERATURA SUI BIAS Edit
basketball betters see certain players get the “hot-hand,” even when they are actually seeing lucky streaks that are consistent with the player’s typical scoring percentage. Meanwhile, rats, pigeons and other species don’t suffer from such reasoning fallacies,Read more at location 575
Note: I RATTI NN CREDONO NELLA MANO CALDA. ED HANNO RAGIONE

venerdì 18 marzo 2016

NON-SHARED ENVIRONMENT DOESN’T JUST MEAN SCHOOLS AND PEERS di scott alexander

#alexander ereditarietà

NON-SHARED ENVIRONMENT DOESN’T JUST MEAN SCHOOLS AND PEERS di scott alexander

  • STATO DELL'ARTE. studies of many different traits tend to find that ~50% of the variation is heritable and ~50% is due to non-shared environment, with the contribution of shared environment usually lower and often negligible. This is typically summarized as “50% nature, 50% nurture”. That summary is wrong.
  • DISCARICA. Non-shared environment isn’t really “non-shared environment” the way you would think. It’s more of a dumpster. Anything that isn’t genetic or family-related gets tossed into the non-shared environment term. Here are some of the things that go into that 50% non-shared environment:
  • ERRORI Measurement error is neither genetics nor family, so it ends up in the non-shared environmental term. .. 
  • Imagine a world where intelligence is entirely genetic. Some identical twins take an IQ test, one makes some lucky guesses, the other is tired, and they end up with a score difference of 5 points. Then some random unrelated people take the test and they get the 5 point difference plus an extra 20 point difference from genuinely having different IQs. In this world, scientists would conclude that about 80% of IQ is genetic and 20% is environmental. But in fact in terms of real, stable IQ differences, 100% would be genetic and 0% environmental....
  • Riemann and Kandler (h/t JayMan) run a study which is an excellent demonstration of this. Classical twin studies sometimes use self-report to determine personality – ie they ask people to rate how extraverted/conscientious/whatever they are. These studies find that most personality traits are about 40% genetic, 60% non-shared environmental. Riemann and Kandler obsessively collect every possible measurement of personality – self-report, other-report, multiple different tests – and average them out to get an unusually accurate and low-noise estimate of the personality of the twins in their study. They find that variation in personality is about 85% genetic, 15% non-shared environmental. So it looks like much of the non-shared environmental variation in traditional studies of personality was just error.
  • FORTUNA TRADIZIONALEBob becomes a junior advertising executive at Coca-Cola, where he designs a new ad targeting young female consumers. His identical twin Rob becomes a junior advertising executive at Pepsi-Cola, where he designs his own new ad targeting young female consumers. Both ads are very successful – in fact, exactly equally successful. But Coke’s CEO is a crony capitalist who wants to replace everyone in the company with his college buddies, so he ignores Bob’s good work and demotes him to a low-level position.
  • FORTUNA BIOLOGICAThe genome can’t encode the location of every cell in the body. Instead, it specifies high-level processes which create lower-level processes which create those cells. .. Thus, identical twins have different fingerprints, different freckles, and different birthmarks... The immune system. Immunology is still poorly understood, but it seems very important. Immune reactions and neuroinflammation have been implicatedto one degree or another in a lot of psychiatric diseases.
  • EPIGENETICAWe know that identical twins have substantially differentepigenetics, and there are hints that this underlies discordant behavior.
  • One of these – or maybe some 3e I don’t know about – is probably the reason for less-than-perfect twin concordance in conditions like Parkinson’s disease, migraine, autism, and schizophrenia. Needless to say, anything that can make you schizophrenic can probably affect your personality and life outcomes pretty intensely.... But all of this gets counted as “non-shared environment” in a twin study, and used to play up the importance of schools and peer groups.
  • TURKHEIMER. ... concludes: “We emphasize that these findings should not lead the reader to conclude that the nonshared environment is not as important as had been thought.” But although I have a huge amount of respect for Turkheimer, I kind of want to conclude that the nonshared environment is not as important as had been thought. My guess is that the nonshared environment as Turkheimer discusses it – differential parenting, schools, peers, and so on – is only a fraction of the “nonshared environmental” term in genetics studies.
  • If that were true, it would mean that nature is more important than we thought relative to environment in terms of things we can understand and possibly affect. That would make the quest to change important outcomes like intelligence, personality, income, or criminality by changing society even more daunting. And it would make the opportunity to change those outcomes through genetic engineering even more tempting.
  • Non esiste il gene del... Esempio: il crimine. Crime is heritable.  And yet, there is no crime gene.  The fact that we have to write such a qualification speaks to a woeful ignorance of genetics that pervades much of the public and academia.  Mercifully, we can sidestep long discussions of molecular biology and skip right to the “law” that takes the possibility of a crime gene off the table.  It is in fact, the newly dubbed “4th Law of Behavior Genetics” and it’s quite simple.  For complex traits, there are, for the most part, likely hundreds or thousands of genes involved, most of which generally contribute only very small effects to any given outcome.  Not only are there many genes involved, but the complexity of how these genes operate is amazing.  There are genes that influence other genes, genes that assemble neurons and run them, and genes that perform any number of other banal processes in the body.
  • Interazione geni ambiente sopravvalutata. An eager public and a misinformed segment of the academy has caricatured the science and turned these two topics into nonsense.  As Pinker notes, “it’s all about interactions” and other such rallying cries are used reflexively rebut discussions like this one.  Do not fall into that trap. As we’ve said countless times, both genes and the environment matter, but that does not mean that they always interact in a statistical sense, and it doesn’t mean that “everything” is an “interaction.”  Writers (including the authors of this essay) continue to make this point, and yet it continues to be ignored.  While there are some social scientists that argue that genetic effects can only surface when triggered by environmental stimuli, they are flat-out wrong.  Yes, there is evidence indicating that genetic effects can be dependent on environmental exposure, but there is also evidence that genes can have effects on behavioral phenotypes that are fully independent of gene-environment interactions

Jason Brennan sul precariato scolastico

#brennan
Estimating the Cost of Adjunct Justice: A Case Study in University Business Ethics by JASON BRENNAN
  • UNA TESI PROVOCATORIA. Many news sources, magazines, and activists claim that adjuncts are exploited and should receive better pay and treatment. This paper never affirms nor denies that adjuncts are exploited. Instead, we show that any attempt to provide a significantly better deal faces unpleasant constraints and trade-offs. “Adjunct justice”would cost universities somewhere between an additional $ 15-50 billion per year. At most, universities can provide justice for a minority of adjuncts at the expense of the majority, as well as at the expense of poor students.
  • MEGLIO AIUTARE GLI STUDENTI. Instead of spending money helping adjuncts, universities could reduce tuition or provide scholarships for poor undergraduates. There’s a pretty strong case that this is a priority over helping adjuncts from the standpoint of social justice.
  • GENTRIFICATION. Implementing any of the proposals we’ve seen increases the pay and prestige of these jobs. But as pay rises, it is likely that higher skilled or better qualified people will end up receiving those jobs. We might call this the problem of “job gentrification”. Higher quality applicants will compete for those jobs. Many current adjuncts have marginal qualifications and will end up losing their jobs altogether.
  • IL PRECARIO RAZIONALE NN CHIEDE STABILITÀ. to substitute minimally good jobs to cover all the classes currently taught by adjuncts, universities would have to fire 2/ 3rds of all current adjuncts. If we assume that current adjuncts are rational people, then we should presume that they prefer working as adjuncts
  • PREFERENZA IMPLICITA. Most professional adjuncts are highly skilled people, with very high IQs, with impressive resumes. They could get good jobs with benefits and good pay in some other sector of the economy. They could easily learn other skills that would be of great value to employers. (Social justice warriors: note the use of the word, “most”.) But, they chose “academia out of a love of scholarship and teaching”. This indicates that they prefer B) working as contingent faculty with few benefits and low pay, and participating in an exploitative and corrupt system, to C) getting a different kind of job with better pay and better benefits in a less corrupt sector of the economy. Of course they’d each prefer A) having a permanent, TT or equivalent job with good pay and benefits in the academy.
  • QUALITÀ INSEGNAMENTO. One study claims that tenure-track professors tend to be worse teachers (at the introductory level) than adjuncts or other non-tenure-track instructors.
continua

Designer Babies Are Nothing to Fear: A Reply to Dan Klein By bryan caplan

#caplan riproduzione
Designer Babies Are Nothing to Fear: A Reply to Dan Klein By bryan caplan
  • OBIEZIONE: IL PASSATO CI SARÀ ESTRANEO. You could say exactly the same about all the economic growth that happened since 1900. It has undeniably and dramatically "attenuated coherence with the past." I'm tempted to say "So what?,"
  • NON AVREMO SENSO DELLA STORIA. The main thing I learn from history is that the past was awful, and the present far from satisfactory. A future society of designer babies should be more able to appreciate this lesson...In any case, most people currently have almost no sense of "historical coherence,"...
  • CI IPERSPECIALIZZEREMO. We're already grateful for the amazing fruits of specialization that we already enjoy.
  • CALERÀ L EMPATIA TRA LE PERSONE. do you really think parents are going to select against genes for sympathy?...Kindness is one of the main things parents try to instill in their kids.
  • IL GOVERNO SARÀ COUNVOLTO. In Western societies, controlling reproductive choice is widely seen as totalitarian. Who today does not recoil in the face of the Supreme Court's notorious 1927 decision to allow mandatory sterilization?
  • CI SARÀ UN COORDINAMENTO DA RICOSTRUIRE. to be honest, I hope Dan's right. In my view, existing levels of "social coherence" and "connectedness" are dangerously high, the cause of most of man's inhumanity to man
  • RICCHI SEMPRE PIÙ RICCHI. The same goes for any high-cost novelty. Fortunately, the market usually outmaneuvers populist bellyaching long enough to turn novel luxuries into affordable conveniences.
continua

Genetic Engineering Is Reproductive Freedom By bryan caplan

#caplan
Genetic Engineering Is Reproductive Freedom By bryan caplan
  • ANALOGIA CONTRACCEZIONE. Will contraception lead to a dystopian society? It depends. If governments control individuals' contraception, then yes. If individuals control their own contraception, then no. The same goes for genetic engineering. In the hands of the government, it would be a pillar of totalitarianism.
  • RICCHI SEMPRE PIÙ RICCHI? The first customers will be wealthy eccentrics, but in a few decades, GE will be affordable and normal.
  • ARM RACE? Most people find my prediction frightening. Some paint GE as a pointless arms race; it's individually tempting, but society is better off without it. Others object that GE would increase inequality; the rich will buy alpha babies, and the rest of us will be stuck with betas. But there's something fishy about these complaints: If better nurture created a generation of wonder kids, we would rejoice.
  • ALTEZZA. On my office wall, I have a picture of my dad at his high school graduation, towering a foot above his grandparents. Such height differences were common at the time because childhood nutrition improved so rapidly. I doubt that the grandparents who attended that graduation saw height as an "arms race" or griped that rich kids were even taller.
  • OBIEZIONE DELLA VANITÀ GENITORIALE. The logic is hard to see. We praise parents who nurture their kids' health, intelligence, beauty, athletic ability, or determination because we know they're all good traits for kids to have.
  • PRIVATI E GOVERNO. .If parents had complete control over their babies' genetic makeup, the end result would be a healthier, smarter, better-looking version of the diverse world of today.If governments had complete control over babies' genetic makeup, the end result could easily be a population docile and conformist
continua

giovedì 17 marzo 2016

Attitudes In Psychiatry By Scott Alexander

#alexander psichiatria

Attitudes In Psychiatry By Scott Alexander

  • 2 attitudini dello psichiatra
  • Attitude 1 says that patients know what they want but not necessarily how to get it, and psychiatrists are there to advise them. So a patient might say “I want to stop being depressed”, and their psychiatrist might recommend them an antidepressant drug, or a therapy that works against depression.
  • Attitude 2 says that people are complicated. Sometimes this complexity makes them mentally ill, and sometimes it makes them come to psychiatrists and ask for help, but there’s no guarantee that the thing that they’re asking about is actually the problem.
  • Tipico errore di 1. A woman goes to a plastic surgeon asking him to fix her nose, which she insists is hideously deformed. The plastic surgeon thinks the nose looks perfectly normal and asks her to be cleared by a psychiatrist before surgery. The psychiatrist diagnoses the woman with body dysmorphic disorder, a delusional belief that one of their body parts is unbearably ugly. The psychiatrist advises the woman and her surgeon that plastic surgery does not work for this disease; if the woman gets her operation, she’ll inevitably either think that the new nose is just as ugly as the old one, or she’ll switch to focusing on something else like her ears or her mouth. He suggests she get psychotherapy instead. After several years of psychotherapy, the woman learns not to worry so much about her nose.
  • Tipico errore di 2. I remember a textbook talking about a case study by a famous psychiatrist. The patient had come in talking about how her husband was being borderline-emotionally-abusive to her. The psychiatrist interrupted her and said that she was perpetuating this dynamic to feed her own narcissism. The patient said this was absolutely not true and she wasn’t narcissistic. The psychiatrist said she would never be able to get over her provoking-her-husband problem until she admitted the depth of her narcissism. The patient refused to keep seeing the psychiatrist after that, and the psychiatrist commented that it had been a hopeless case
  • I tend to lean way toward Attitude 1. I’m not sure I can justify it. Part of it is my personality: conflict scares me and I want to be liked.
  • Part of it is that Attitude 2 has a lot of its philosophical grounding in Freud, and I really don’t trust Freud.

A Short Essay on the Freedom of the Will Bryan Caplan

#caplan libero arbitrio
A Short Essay on the Freedom of the Will Bryan Caplan
  • Cos'è il l.a. the ability to choose more than one thing.
  • Obiezione: "Every effect must have a cause;
  • Quantum confusion. a probabilistic theory of choice is just as contrary to the freedom of the will as a fully deterministic one. The argument here is extremely simple. Imagine that my action is determined by the roll of a six-sided die; if it comes up six, I raise my arm.
  • COSA SCEGLIAMO. To begin with, we choose our beliefs. Secondly, we choose many of our bodily movements. Thirdly, we choose many of our mental processes
  • 6 argomenti
  • 1 osservazione. mi sembra di essere libero. la scienza si basa sull osservazione. ogni argomento contro l introspezoone si applica immediatamante a vista udito... tatto
  • 2 assurdità dello scetticismo... se siamo determinati ogni discussione è insensata visto che la ragione nn esiste o comunque nn è accessibile
  • 3 argomento do moore. vince l argomento con le premesse più solide. sono libero è la premessa più solida. qs discussione è sensata è un altre solida premessa
  • 4 argomento della falsificazione. i deterministi dovranno portarmi una legge che predice quando alzerò la mano a quel punto io la confuterò nn alzando la mia mano
  • OSSERVAZIONE. I observe that I choose freely, at least sometimes; and if you introspect, you will see it too. There is no reason to assume that these observations are illusory... argument against the validity of introspection might be applied, ipso facto, to sight, hearing, touch, taste,
  • ASSURDITÀ DELLO SCETTICISMO. I shall begin with the assumption of determinism, and show that it leads to the self-contradictory position of abject skepticism. Now it is a fact that people disagree on many questions; this leads us to wonder if on any given issue we are correct. How is the determinist to come to grips with this?
  • MOORE. C. Moore's Proof of the External World Extended. Since no premise has greater initial plausibility than "This is a hand," said Moore, it is in principle impossible for that claim to be overturned.
  • IL PREDITTORE ASSOLUTO. Thought Experiment... Our brilliant neurophysiologists come up with an equation that they claim will predict all of our behavior.... Suppose that the equation says that the next thing that you will do is raise your arm. Do you seriously believe that you couldn't falsify this prediction by failing to raise your arm?
  • OBIEZIONI
  • 1 le dipendenze ci tolgono la libertà. c è confusione tra scelte e piacere. una scelta piacevole è più facile ma non meno libera di una scelta spiacevole. il caso del bottone che stermina l umanità
  • 2 la massa è un gregge che nn sa cosa sia la libertà. la massa dimostra tutti giorni di sapere cosa sia usando il trrmine libertà in modo appropriato
  • 3 xchè gruppi differenti fanno scelte differenti se tutti gli individui sono librri? ma il fenomeno nn presenta alcuna contraddizione
  • 4 la dottrina del la. non consente spiegazioni complete. ma qs considrrazione non segnala alcun paradosso
  • DIPENDENZE. normal person is free to use or not use alcohol; but certain people are not free to not use it. The choice is "too hard" for them to make.
  • My objection to this is basically that it just contradicts experience. Imagine that there were a button in front of you, the pressing of which would instantly exterminate all human life. You would not (I hope) want to press this button. But can you really say that you do not feel just as _free_ to do so as you would to dial a phone number? Suppose someone pointed a gun at you and told you to push the button. Would you not be free to refrain? But if you are free in these extreme cases, how could you be unfree to refrain from drinking alcohol
  • Pleasant choices are "easier" not in the sense that they are more free
  • L INDUZIONE NN È UNA LOGICA. Almost all humans use the language and concepts of free will.... experience of free will permeates the lives of ordinary people
  • STRANE REGOLARITÀ. different groups behave consistently differently. There is nothing amazing about this. The typical criminal makes a long series of brutal choices over his life; there is a systematic pattern to his choices. Does this show that each of his actions was not a choice?
  • TROPPI TIPI STRANI.   Another objection to the doctrine of free will is that it renders a persons choices inexplicable. But there is really no paradox here, anyway. Of course it is possible to "explain" a choice, in the sense of describing the actor's motives, goals, impulses, and so on. But we must remember that these were simply the factors that the agent chose to go along with; we are explaining which factors out of the cosmos of possibilities that the actor drew upon when making his choice.
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A Proof of Free Will By Michael Huemer

#huemer libero arbitrio

A Proof of Free Will By Michael Huemer
  • free-will thesis: 
  • 1. With respect to the free-will issue, we should refrain from believing falsehoods. (premise)
  • 2. Whatever should be done can be done. (premise)
  • 3. If determinism is true, then whatever can be done, is done. (premise)
  • 4. I believe MFT. (premise)
  • 5. With respect to the free-will issue, we can refrain from believing falsehoods. (from 1,2)
  • 6. If determinism is true, then with respect to the free will issue, we refrain from believing falsehoods. (from 3,5)
  • 7. If determinism is true, then MFT is true. (from 6,4)
  • 8. MFT is true. (from 7)
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mercoledì 16 marzo 2016

Quanto leggi?

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2016/03/15/business/media/moneyball-for-book-publishers-for-a-detailed-look-at-how-we-read.html?_r=1&referer=

On average, fewer than half of the books tested were finished by a majority of readers. Most readers typically give up on a book in the early chapters. Women tend to quit after 50 to 100 pages,

Pharmaceuticals should be more dangerous.

http://www.fdareview.org/05_harm.php